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Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Saturday 04/04 (3-Leg) Featuring Austin Reaves!: High Probability Plays
Latest NBA betting preview: Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers. Get predictions and top picks. Check out our 3-leg player parlay. Keywords: NBA parlay picks, player parlay bets, best NBA parlay today.
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
As the Lakers prepare to face the Mavericks, all eyes will be on Austin Reaves, but it's worth considering the under on his combined points and assists at 36.5. While Reaves has been solid lately, averaging 20.8 points and 5.4 assists over his last five games, the numbers tell a different story when he's on the road. Specifically, he's averaging just 21.6 points and 4.6 assists away from home, and against the Mavericks, his recent outings have shown a drop-off, with only 13 points and 2.8 assists per game. Moreover, his consistency has waned against tough defenses like Dallas, contributing to an unblemished but misleading recent hit rate. With the Mavericks eager to clamp down on him, expect Reaves to struggle to hit that 36.5 mark. Betting the under feels like a savvy move in this matchup.
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
As the Denver Nuggets gear up to face the San Antonio Spurs, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic. The reigning MVP has been a force, but the numbers suggest we might see him fall short of the 24.5 combined rebounds and assists mark. While he's averaged nearly 31.6 combined over his last five games, a closer look reveals a trend when he plays at home. His averages dip to 14.6 rebounds and 12.4 assists in recent home games, which would comfortably keep him under that 24.5 threshold. Against the Spurs specifically, Jokic has averaged just 12 rebounds and 8.8 assists at home in their last five matchups. With the Nuggets likely focusing more on scoring from their perimeter players, it's plausible Jokic's contributions could be more subdued than usual tonight. Given his recent home hit rate of 6 out of 11, betting the under feels like a savvy move.
Austin Reaves (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 41.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-114)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
As the Lakers face off against the Mavericks, Austin Reaves finds himself in a tricky spot, especially given his recent away performances. Averaging 21.6 points on the road lately, his production dips when facing Dallas, where he's only managed around 13 points per game. His overall contributions in rebounds and assists also reflect a downward trend; averaging only 3.4 boards and 2.8 assists in away matchups against this opponent. With Reaves combining for about 30.32 expected points, rebounds, and assists, it's evident he's not hitting that 41.5 mark consistently. Moreover, having hit the under in all 13 of his last away games, there's a clear pattern emerging. The Mavericks' defense will likely exploit his tendencies, making the under a compelling play. With the stakes high, don't expect Reaves to break out of his shell in Dallas this time around.
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