Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 17.5 Rebounds + Assists (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Atlanta Hawks gear up to face the New York Knicks, all eyes will be on Jalen Johnson, but the numbers suggest a cautious approach. Averaging 11.2 rebounds and 5.2 assists over his last five games, he's been effective, yet his away performances tell a different story. On the road, his averages slip to 10 rebounds and 7.4 assists. Against the Knicks, his track record isn't stellar either-he manages just 9.8 rebounds and 6 assists in away matchups. With an expected stat value of 14.33 and a solid hit rate of 4-for-4 recently, the trend leans toward him struggling to crack the 17.5 mark. Given the Knicks' stout defense, targeting the Under seems not only prudent but also backed by a solid 52.4% implied probability. In a game where every possession matters, Jalen may find it hard to compile those numbers on the road.

LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 34.5 Points + Assists (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Lakers face off against the Rockets, all eyes will naturally turn to LeBron James. However, betting the under on his combined points and assists at 34.5 feels like a savvy move. Recently, LeBron's numbers at home have dipped; he's averaging just 19 points and 8.8 assists in his last five games at the Staples Center. Against Houston, he's managed 20.2 points and 5.8 assists recently, but that drops to 26.6 points and 7.4 assists at home - still shy of our target. With an impressive 17 out of his last 20 games hitting the under, and a solid home hit rate of 11 from 12, it's clear that LeBron is more focused on facilitating than piling up stats. Given the Lakers' depth and the pace of the game, expecting LeBron to fall under 34.5 seems not just plausible but likely.

Draymond Green (Golden State Warriors) Under 6.5 Assists (-132)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Warriors gear up to face the Suns, all eyes will be on Draymond Green's playmaking ability. However, considering his recent form and the matchup, an under on his assists at 6.5 makes for a compelling wager. Green's averaging around 6.6 assists in his last five road games, but against Phoenix, he's only hit 3.4 assists per game in their last few meetings. With the Suns' defense tightening up, they're likely to focus on limiting his opportunities to distribute, which hasn't been a problem for them historically. In fact, Green has only recorded 2 out of 3 hits on this line in his last outings. With an expected stat value around 4.6, this bet leans heavily in favor of the under, making it a savvy pick as he navigates a tough game on the road.

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