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Model picks & player props
NFL
Washington
Sun 4 Oct 2026, 9:30 AM ET
Indianapolis Colts
VS
Washington Commanders

Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders and backs Under 19.5 hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $400.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Indianapolis Colts
under 19.5 points
Under 19.5 Alternate Team Total Points
You bet$10 If it wins$40.00Best price+300
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win32.8%
The price says23.5%

The model graded 70 markets for Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $400 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 4 Oct 2026, 9:30 AM ET at Washington.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alternate Team Total Points Indianapolis Colts Under 19.5 Long-shot33% chance +300
Alternate Team Total Points Members only Lean45% chance Members
Team Totals Q1 Members only Lean57% chance Members
Team Total Members only Lean58% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean50% chance Members
Alternate Team Totals H1 Members only Lean48% chance Members
Team Totals H1 Members only Lean55% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot37% chance Members
Moneyline Q2 Members only Lean46% chance Members
Receiving Yards × 6 props Highup to 73% Members
Rushing Attempts × 2 props Highup to 72% Members
Passing Yards × 2 props Highup to 72% Members
Rushing Yards × 2 props Highup to 73% Members
Receptions × 7 props Highup to 77% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →

Indianapolis Colts and Washington Commanders last met on Sun 4 Oct 2026: Indianapolis Colts won 30-13. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alternate Team Total Points
Under
19.5
+300
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 72,711+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington CommandersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington CommandersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington CommandersMoneyline Q2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Indianapolis Colts

  • Bryce Boettcher LBQuestionable
  • Anthony Gould WROut
  • Drew Ogletree TEQuestionable
  • Justin Walley CBOut
  • Cam Taylor-Britt CBOut
  • Alec Pierce WROut

Washington Commanders

  • Daron Payne DTOut
  • Jer'Zhan Newton DTOut
  • Javon Kinlaw DTOut
  • John Bates TEQuestionable
  • Treylon Burks WRQuestionable
  • Terry McLaurin WROut
  • Laremy Tunsil OTOut
  • Jaylin Lane WROut
  • Charles Omenihu DEQuestionable
Availability updated Oct 31, 12:03PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 15 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability15 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

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See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Terry McLaurin WAS Receiving Yards
Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS Rushing Attempts
Marcus Mariota WAS Passing Yards
Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS Rushing Yards
Tyler Warren IND Receiving Yards

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineWashington Commanders to winNo line posted

Washington Commanders vs Indianapolis Colts moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadWashington Commanders spreadNo line posted

Washington Commanders vs Indianapolis Colts spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsColts @ CommandersNo line posted

Washington Commanders vs Indianapolis Colts game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Commanders — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders — recent results

Washington Commanders have won 1 of their last 5 games; Indianapolis Colts have won 2 of their last 5.

Washington Commanders — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L17–23SFAway
D27–27NYGHome
L13–30INDHome
W33–31SEAHome
L20–37DALAway
Indianapolis Colts — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L10–16MINAway
L20–26TENHome
L22–34PITAway
W30–13WSHAway
W19–17HOUHome

Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Washington Commanders won 0, Indianapolis Colts won 1.

DateWashington CommandersIndianapolis ColtsWinner
Oct 41330Indianapolis Colts

Who’s out or in doubt

15 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Washington Commanders
PlayerStatus
Daron Payne DTOUT
Jer'Zhan Newton DTOUT
Javon Kinlaw DTOUT
John Bates TEQUESTIONABLE
Treylon Burks WRQUESTIONABLE
Terry McLaurin WROUT
Laremy Tunsil OTOUT
Jaylin Lane WROUT
Indianapolis Colts
PlayerStatus
Bryce Boettcher LBQUESTIONABLE
Anthony Gould WROUT
Drew Ogletree TEQUESTIONABLE
Justin Walley CBOUT
Cam Taylor-Britt CBOUT
Alec Pierce WROUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Colts vs Commanders, or as Commanders vs Colts. The most recent game between them was Sunday 4 October 2026 at Washington. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 4 Oct 2026Indianapolis Colts beat Washington Commanders 30-13 on the road

Indianapolis Colts: last 5 results

  1. 25 Oct 2026Lostat Minnesota Vikings 10-16
  2. 18 Oct 2026Lostvs Tennessee Titans 20-26
  3. 11 Oct 2026Lostat Pittsburgh Steelers 22-34
  4. 4 Oct 2026Wonat Washington Commanders 30-13
  5. 27 Sep 2026Wonvs Houston Texans 19-17

Washington Commanders: last 5 results

  1. 19 Oct 2026Lostat San Francisco 49ers 17-23
  2. 11 Oct 2026Drewvs New York Giants 27-27
  3. 4 Oct 2026Lostvs Indianapolis Colts 13-30
  4. 27 Sep 2026Wonvs Seattle Seahawks 33-31
  5. 20 Sep 2026Lostat Dallas Cowboys 20-37

Quick answers

Who won the last Washington Commanders vs Indianapolis Colts game? Indianapolis Colts won their last meeting 30-13 on 4 October 2026.

How have Indianapolis Colts and Washington Commanders done lately? Indianapolis Colts won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold. Washington Commanders won 1, drew 1 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders head-to-head record

Final scores · 3 meetings on record
Indianapolis Colts 2–1 across the last 3 meetings (meetings on record since 2018)

Last meeting: Sun 4 Oct 2026, Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders: the Colts won 30-13.

DateGameScoreWinner
4 Oct 2026Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Commanders13–30Indianapolis Colts
30 Oct 2022Washington Commanders @ Indianapolis Colts16–17Washington Commanders
16 Sep 2018Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Commanders9–21Indianapolis Colts

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