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Model picks & player props
Atlanta Falcons
VS
Indianapolis Colts

Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 6:05AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NFL
Indianapolis
Sun 9 Nov 2025, 2:30PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Indianapolis Colts Moneyline +130

The model graded 20 markets for Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $230 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 9 Nov 2025, 2:30PM at Indianapolis.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win61.0%
The price says43.5%
Best price+130
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Indianapolis Colts High61% chance +130
Spread High67% chance —
Spread High67% chance —
Spread High66% chance —
Moneyline Long-shot39% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Indianapolis Colts · $100 returned $230

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Indianapolis Colts
+130
+ 19 more markets
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Unlock every graded pick for this game

All 20 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,403+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Indianapolis ColtsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indianapolis ColtsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indianapolis ColtsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indianapolis ColtsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta FalconsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Atlanta Falcons

  • Da'Shawn Hand DTQuestionable
  • Gervon Dexter Sr. DTQuestionable
  • Michael Penix Jr. QBQuestionable
  • Trey Sermon RBOut
  • Malik Verdon LBOut
  • DeAngelo Malone LBOut

Indianapolis Colts

  • Coleman Owen WRQuestionable
  • Alec Pierce WRQuestionable
  • Josh Downs WRQuestionable
  • Charvarius Ward CBQuestionable
  • Tyler Warren TEQuestionable
  • Will Mallory TEQuestionable
  • Carson Towt TEOut
  • Sean McKeon TEQuestionable
  • Cameron Mitchell CBOut
Availability updated Aug 30, 10:31PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 15 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability15 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineIndianapolis Colts to winNo line posted

Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadIndianapolis Colts spreadNo line posted

Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsFalcons @ ColtsNo line posted

Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Atlanta Falcons @ Indianapolis Colts — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Atlanta Falcons at Indianapolis Colts — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts — recent results

Indianapolis Colts have won 0 of their last 4 games; Atlanta Falcons have won 3 of their last 4.

Indianapolis Colts — last 4
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L16–25DETHome
L6–34ATLHome
D13–13NEAway
L30–38HOUAway
Atlanta Falcons — last 4
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W17–12MIAAway
W34–6INDAway
L7–27DENHome
W19–17NOHome

Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Indianapolis Colts won 0, Atlanta Falcons won 1.

DateIndianapolis ColtsAtlanta FalconsWinner
Aug 22634Atlanta Falcons

Who’s out or in doubt

15 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Indianapolis Colts
PlayerStatus
Coleman Owen WRQUESTIONABLE
Alec Pierce WRQUESTIONABLE
Josh Downs WRQUESTIONABLE
Charvarius Ward CBQUESTIONABLE
Tyler Warren TEQUESTIONABLE
Will Mallory TEQUESTIONABLE
Carson Towt TEOUT
Sean McKeon TEQUESTIONABLE
Atlanta Falcons
PlayerStatus
Da'Shawn Hand DTQUESTIONABLE
Gervon Dexter Sr. DTQUESTIONABLE
Michael Penix Jr. QBQUESTIONABLE
Trey Sermon RBOUT
Malik Verdon LBOUT
DeAngelo Malone LBOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
9
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
09 Nov 25 Moneyline Atlanta Falcons ✗ MISS
09 Nov 25 Spread Indianapolis Colts -6.5 ✗ MISS
09 Nov 25 Spread Indianapolis Colts -5.5 ✓ HIT
09 Nov 25 Total Points Over 48.5 ✓ HIT
09 Nov 25 Total Points Under 48.5 ✗ MISS
09 Nov 25 Moneyline Indianapolis Colts ✓ HIT
09 Nov 25 Spread Indianapolis Colts +1.5 ✓ HIT
09 Nov 25 Spread Indianapolis Colts +3.5 ✓ HIT
09 Nov 25 Total Points Under 42.5 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Falcons vs Colts, or as Colts vs Falcons. The most recent game between them was Sunday 9 November 2025 at Indianapolis. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 5 meetings on record
Indianapolis Colts 3–2 across the last 5 meetings · these games average 46.2 points (meetings on record since 2015)
DateGameScoreWinner
22 Aug 2026Atlanta Falcons @ Indianapolis Colts6–34Atlanta Falcons
9 Nov 2025Atlanta Falcons @ Indianapolis Colts31–25Indianapolis Colts
24 Dec 2023Indianapolis Colts @ Atlanta Falcons29–10Atlanta Falcons
22 Sep 2019Atlanta Falcons @ Indianapolis Colts27–24Indianapolis Colts
22 Nov 2015Indianapolis Colts @ Atlanta Falcons21–24Indianapolis Colts
Today's selected board

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