On Sunday 4 October 2026, Washington Commanders play Indianapolis Colts in the NFL. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Darius Slayton (IND) Over 1.5 Receptions, priced at +168 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Darius Slayton (IND) Over 1.5 Receptions (+168)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Washington Commanders play Indianapolis Colts in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Darius Slayton (IND) Over 1.5 Receptions. It was priced at +168 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $26.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Darius Slayton (IND) Over 1.5 Player receptions alternate (+168)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Washington Commanders play Indianapolis Colts in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Darius Slayton (IND) Over 1.5 Player receptions alternate. It was priced at +168 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $26.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Marcus Mariota (WAS) Over 159.5 Player pass yds alternate (-417)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Washington Commanders play Indianapolis Colts in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Marcus Mariota (WAS) Over 159.5 Player pass yds alternate. It was priced at -417 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Washington Commanders vs Indianapolis Colts: Indianapolis Colts (+168)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Washington Commanders play Indianapolis Colts in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Indianapolis Colts. That is a Team Total bet. It was priced at +168 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $26.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Washington Commanders vs Indianapolis Colts: Indianapolis Colts (-120)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Washington Commanders play Indianapolis Colts in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Indianapolis Colts. That is a Team Total bet. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Washington Commanders vs Indianapolis Colts: Indianapolis Colts (+165)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Washington Commanders play Indianapolis Colts in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Indianapolis Colts. That is a Team Total bet. It was priced at +165 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $26.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Washington Commanders v Indianapolis Colts. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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