Today's Ligue 1 Best Bets: Picks, Predictions and Odds for ALL Games on Thursday 09/24

As Barcelona hosts Getafe, the smart play here is to expect a low-scoring affair, betting on under 5.5 total goals. Barcelona's recent form is nothing short of dominant, with a perfect 5-0-0 record at home, scoring an impressive average of 2.6 goals while conceding a mere 0.6. Their attacking prowess is complemented by a staggering xG average of 0, suggesting they’ve been clinical and efficient. On the flip side, Getafe has struggled significantly, averaging just 0.2 goals away from home and failing to find the net against Barcelona in their last five encounters. With their xG stats pointing to a lack of real attacking threat, it’s hard to envision this matchup yielding more than a few goals. With all signs pointing to a tightly contested game, taking the under feels like the savvy move here.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City: Tottenham Hotspur -1.5 Goal Handicap (+116)

Tottenham Hotspur faces Coventry City in a matchup that promises to tilt heavily in favor of the home side. Despite a recent home record that’s been a bit shaky—1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five—they have the ability to dominate this encounter. Tottenham's attacking prowess, averaging 16 shots per game at home, should carve through Coventry’s defense, which has struggled away from home with just one win in five matches. Coventry, on the other hand, has only managed a goal per game on their travels, while conceding two. With Spurs’ expected goals (xG) hovering around a disappointing zero in recent outings, they’ll be eager to turn that around against a Coventry side that averages just as poorly. The home advantage combined with a desperate need for a win makes a -1.5 handicap on Spurs an enticing prospect. Expect them to deliver a decisive victory.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City: Tottenham Hotspur -1.5 Goal Handicap (+116)

As Tottenham Hotspur prepares to face Coventry City, the case for backing Spurs with a -1.5 handicap is compelling. While Spurs have struggled for form lately, their attacking prowess remains evident, averaging a hefty 16 shots per game at home, even if the goals haven’t flowed as freely with an average of just 0.8 scored. Coventry, meanwhile, has faltered on the road, managing only one win in their last five away matches while conceding an alarming average of two goals per game. Their overall xG figures paint a stark picture, suggesting they’ve struggled to create meaningful chances. With Spurs needing to turn their home form around, they have the edge in quality and attacking potential to win convincingly, making the handicap of -1.5 an enticing option for punters looking to capitalize on the gap in class.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City: Tottenham Hotspur Draw No Bet (-556)

Tottenham Hotspur may be in a rough patch, but facing Coventry City at home offers a glimmer of hope for their fans. Despite a shaky recent record, the Spurs have consistently created more chances, averaging 16 shots per game at home. Their low scoring averages don’t tell the whole story; they’ve been unfortunate in finding the net, with an xG that suggests better days are ahead. Meanwhile, Coventry struggles on the road, coming off a dismal run of just one win in their last five away games. Their away goal-scoring average sits at a mere one per game, and their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed frequently. With Tottenham’s attacking potential and the home advantage, backing them for a Draw No Bet feels prudent. They simply have the edge to bounce back and claim all three points in this matchup.

Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama: Both Teams To Score: Yes (-145)

In this fiery Brazilian Campeonato clash, Botafogo and Vasco da Gama are both primed to find the net. While Botafogo's recent home form may raise eyebrows, their record against Vasco is a remarkable 4-1-0 in the last five encounters. Even though they’ve struggled to score lately, averaging just 0.8 goals at home, they’ve conceded 1.6, setting the stage for a potential shootout. On the other side, Vasco’s scoring woes on the road haven’t deterred their resilience. With an average of 0.6 goals scored away, they still face Botafogo's leaky defense, which has allowed multiple goals in recent outings. Given both teams’ tendencies to concede, particularly in their last few matches, betting on both teams to score seems a savvy play. With the rivalry heating up, expect goals to flow in this must-watch derby!

That is the model's read on today's Ligue 1 card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.