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Model picks & player props
Soccer
Stade du Moustoir, Lorient
Outdoor
Sun 18 Oct 2026, 5:15 PM CEST
AS Monaco
4-2-0 · 2-1-0 awayWWDWD
VS
Lorient
2-2-2 · 1-1-1 at homeLWDLW

AS Monaco vs Lorient Prediction & Picks · Sun 18 Oct

Our model graded 13 markets for AS Monaco vs Lorient and backs Lorient hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $260.

13
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Lorient
to win, money back on a draw
Lorient Draw No Bet
You bet$10 If it wins$26.00Best price+160
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win37.2%
The price says36.9%

The model graded 13 markets for AS Monaco vs Lorient (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $260 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 18 Oct 2026, 5:15 PM CEST at Stade du Moustoir.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Draw No Bet Lorient Long-shot37% chance +160
Spread Members only Long-shot36% chance Members
Head to Head (3-Way) Members only Long-shot26% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot26% chance Members
Total Goals Members only Lean49% chance Members
Both Teams to Score Members only Lean55% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
AS Monaco are the model's favourite to beat Lorient, with a 68% chance to win. Kick-off Sun 18 Oct, 5:15 PM CEST at Stade du Moustoir. Best bet: Lorient at +160.
How they've been scoring this season
AS MonacoLorient
Won-drawn-lost4-2-02-2-2
Goals scored per game1.71.0
Goals allowed per game0.81.0
On the road / at home2-1-0 away1-1-1 at home
Last 5 gamesWWDWDLWDLW
Their games average 2.3 total goals this season.
From the 6 AS Monaco and 6 Lorient games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: AS Monaco about 5 in 10 to win. Now: about 5 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
ResultMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Lorientabout 3 in 10$3.77$3.70
Drawabout 3 in 10$3.66$3.60
AS Monacoabout 5 in 10$2.17$2.06

On this match the bookies keep about $6.60 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 50 books we check.

All Soccer odds this week →

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Draw No Bet
Lorient
+ 12 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
LorientDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
LorientSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
LorientHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
LorientMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
LorientSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
LorientSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
AS MonacoSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
LorientSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
YesBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Over on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Over
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Lorient
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

AS Monaco

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

FC Lorient

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For AS Monaco vs Lorient: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Same game parlay

Written 13 Oct

Lorient vs AS Monaco Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks

On Tuesday 13 October 2026, Lorient play AS Monaco in Ligue 1. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Lorient Draw No Bet, priced at +160 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Lorient vs AS Monaco: Lorient Draw No Bet (+160)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Lorient gears up to host AS Monaco, there's a compelling case for backing the home side in the Draw No Bet market. Lorient’s recent form at home shows a mix of resilience and tactical discipline, with their last five matches yielding two wins, one draw, and two losses. They’ve consistently averaged 1.2 goals scored and allowed, a sign of their balanced play. What's particularly intriguing is their historical matchup against Monaco, where Lorient has managed to secure two wins in their last five encounters. While both teams share an xG average of zero in their last five outings, Lorient's ability to create more threatening chances at home—averaging nearly 12 shots—might just give them the edge. With a solid home crowd behind them, this could tip the balance in favor of Lorient, making them a worthy choice for a Draw No Bet.

Lorient vs AS Monaco: Lorient +0 Goal Handicap (+145)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Lorient welcomes AS Monaco, this matchup feels ripe for an upset, especially considering recent form. Lorient’s home record, while mixed, shows a resilience that can’t be overlooked. They’ve bagged two wins in their last five outings and have managed to score consistently, averaging 1.2 goals at home. What’s particularly intriguing is that they seem to match up well against Monaco, holding a 2-2-1 record in their last five meetings. Despite a lack of xG fireworks lately, Lorient has been creative, averaging nearly 12 shots per game at home, which suggests they can generate chances. With Monaco's defense showing vulnerabilities, the stage is set for Lorient to snatch a point or more. Backing Lorient with a handicap of 0 feels like a savvy move; they have the momentum and the home advantage to spring a surprise.

That is how our model reads Lorient v AS Monaco. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk

Betting angles

5 markets live
MoneylineAS Monaco @ Lorient+270
5-2-13Lorient form 2023-24
Home form5-2-13

Lorient vs AS Monaco moneyline; the model reads Lorient's win chance at 32% for this fixture.

Draw No BetAS Monaco @ Lorient+160

Lorient to win with the stake returned on a draw; the model prices this at 43%.

Both Teams to ScoreAS Monaco @ Lorient-139
58%both teams score %
Lorient50%

Lorient vs AS Monaco both-teams-to-score angle; our model makes both teams scoring 58% here.

Total GoalsAS Monaco @ LorientOver +2.5 -110
54%model over %
Home ov2.570%

Lorient vs AS Monaco total-goals angle; the model prices Over at 54% here.

SpreadAS Monaco @ LorientLorient 0 +150

Lorient on the 0 goal handicap; the model prices this cover at 43%.

AS Monaco @ Lorient — what the model found

Our model graded 13 betting markets for AS Monaco at Lorient — 13 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

13
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 13 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 12 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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AS Monaco @ Lorient — where the money went

Since betting opened on AS Monaco at Lorient, the market has moved away from Over across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Total Points — Over 2.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 2.5▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Draw▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Lorient▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Lorient 0.25▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — AS Monaco -1▲ Money came for this
Spread — AS Monaco -0.25▲ Money came for this
Spread — Lorient 1▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

AS Monaco @ Lorient — model preview

Lorient v AS Monaco, 13 October 2026. Top of the list: Lorient Draw No Bet. Our model likes 2 bets in this game. Here is why, in plain English.

On Tuesday 13 October 2026, Lorient play AS Monaco in Ligue 1. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Lorient Draw No Bet, priced at +160 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Lorient vs AS Monaco: Lorient Draw No Bet (+160)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Lorient gears up to host AS Monaco, there's a compelling case for backing the home side in the Draw No Bet market. Lorient’s recent form at home shows a mix of resilience and tactical discipline, with their last five matches yielding two wins, one draw, and two losses. They’ve consistently averaged 1.2 goals scored and allowed, a sign of their balanced play. What's particularly intriguing is their historical matchup against Monaco, where Lorient has managed to secure two wins in their last five encounters. While both teams share an xG average of zero in their last five outings, Lorient's ability to create more threatening chances at home—averaging nearly 12 shots—might just give them the edge. With a solid home crowd behind them, this could tip the balance in favor of Lorient, making them a worthy choice for a Draw No Bet.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for AS Monaco vs Lorient in the Soccer. The next scheduled game is Sunday 18 October 2026 at Stade du Moustoir. The model has generated 13 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

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