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Model picks & player props
Soccer
Groupama Stadium, D?cines-Charpieu
Outdoor
Sun 18 Oct 2026, 8:45 PM CEST
Nice
2-2-2 · 0-0-2 awayLDLWW
VS
Lyon
3-2-1 · 2-1-0 at homeDWDWL

Nice vs Lyon Prediction & Picks · Sun 18 Oct

Our model graded 12 markets for Nice vs Lyon and backs Nice 3.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $104.

12
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Nice
with a 3.5-goal head start
Nice 3.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$10.40Best price-2500
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win92.3%
The price says89.1%

The model graded 12 markets for Nice vs Lyon (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $104 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 18 Oct 2026, 8:45 PM CEST at Groupama Stadium.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Nice 3.5 High92% chance -2500
Total Goals Members only High79% chance Members
Draw No Bet Members only Long-shot25% chance Members
Spread Members only High85% chance Members
Both Teams to Score Members only Lean56% chance Members
Head to Head (3-Way) Members only Long-shot18% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot18% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →
Lyon are the model's favourite to beat Nice, with a 79% chance to win. Kick-off Sun 18 Oct, 8:45 PM CEST at Groupama Stadium. Best bet: Nice 3.5 at -2500.
How they've been scoring this season
NiceLyon
Won-drawn-lost2-2-23-2-1
Goals scored per game0.81.8
Goals allowed per game1.20.7
On the road / at home0-0-2 away2-1-0 at home
Last 5 gamesLDLWWDWDWL
Their games average 2.3 total goals this season.
From the 6 Nice and 6 Lyon games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Lyon about 6 in 10 to win. Now: about 6 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
ResultMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Lyonabout 6 in 10$1.76$1.69
Drawabout 2 in 10$4.25$4.20
Niceabout 2 in 10$5.08$5.00

On this match the bookies keep about $6.80 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 50 books we check.

All Soccer odds this week →

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Nice
+3.5
-2500
+ 11 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
NiceSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NiceDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NiceSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NiceSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
YesBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NiceSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NiceHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NiceMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Under on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Under
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Unibet Se
on Nice
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

OGC Nice

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Olympique Lyonnais

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Nice vs Lyon: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

2 markets live
MoneylineNice @ LyonNo line posted
4-2-2past meetings (last 8)
Nice21%Home form10-2-8Away form11-4-5
past meetings, home wins4 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Lyon have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 2.

Both Teams to ScoreNice @ Lyon-147
58%both teams score %
4 / 8past meetings, both scored
Lyon70%Nice70%
past meetings, both scored4 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 70% of Lyon's and 70% of Nice's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 58% here.

Total GoalsNice @ LyonOver +1.5 -526
81%model over %
3 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.575%Away ov2.560%past meetings avg2.6
past meetings, over 2.53 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 2.6 goals, over 2.5 in 3 of them; the model prices Over at 81% here.

Nice @ Lyon — what the model found

Our model graded 12 betting markets for Nice at Lyon — 12 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

12
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 12 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 11 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Nice @ Lyon — where the money went

Since betting opened on Nice at Lyon, the market has moved away from Under across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Total Points — Under 2.75▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 2.75▲ Money came for this
Spread — Lyon -1▲ Money came for this
Spread — Nice 1▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 3▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 3▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 2.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 2.5▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Nice vs Lyon in the Soccer. The next scheduled game is Sunday 18 October 2026 at Groupama Stadium. The model has generated 12 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Nice vs Lyon head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Lyon 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Sun 15 Feb 2026, Nice at Lyon: Lyon won 2-0.

DateGameScoreWinner
15 Feb 2026Nice @ Lyon2–0Lyon
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