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Model picks & player props
Genoa
VS
Sassuolo

Genoa vs Sassuolo Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 12:55AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Outdoor
Mon 3 Nov 2025, 5:30PM
6
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Genoa Head to Head (3-Way) +205

The model graded 6 markets for Genoa vs Sassuolo (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $305 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 3 Nov 2025, 5:30PM at Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win41.9%
The price says32.8%
Best price+205
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Head to Head (3-Way) Genoa Lean42% chance +205
Moneyline Lean42% chance —
Both Teams to Score Lean60% chance —
Moneyline Lean40% chance —
Head to Head (3-Way) Lean40% chance —
Draw No Bet High62% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Genoa · $100 returned $305

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 43 of 91 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeAug 30
AS Monaco
Marseille @ AS Monaco
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $187
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Head to Head (3-Way)
Genoa
+205
+ 5 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
GenoaHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
GenoaMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
YesBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SassuoloDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Genoa

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Sassuolo

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Genoa vs Sassuolo: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineGenoa @ SassuoloNo line posted
3-2-3past meetings (last 8)
Draw51%Genoa42%Home form3-5-12Away form6-6-8
past meetings, home wins3 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Sassuolo have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 3. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreGenoa @ SassuoloNo line posted
60%both teams score %
7 / 8past meetings, both scored
Sassuolo50%Genoa50%Free board15-12
past meetings, both scored7 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 50% of Sassuolo's and 50% of Genoa's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 60% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsGenoa @ SassuoloNo line posted
7 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.550%Away ov2.535%past meetings avg3.3
past meetings, over 2.57 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 3.3 goals, over 2.5 in 7 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Genoa @ Sassuolo — what the model found

Our model graded 6 betting markets for Genoa at Sassuolo — 6 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 6 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 5 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Genoa @ Sassuolo — model preview

Expert analysis and top Serie A betting picks for Sassuolo vs Genoa. Featuring picks like NA player props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, Serie A parlay odds, soccer parlay.

Sassuolo vs Genoa: Sassuolo Draw No Bet (-145)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Sassuolo's performance at home is statistically stronger than Genoa's performance away. Sassuolo averages 1 goal per game at home, compared to Genoa's 0.6 away. Moreover, Sassuolo's average shots on target at home (3) is higher than Genoa's away (2.2), suggesting a higher scoring potential. Sassuolo’s expected goals (xG) at home is 0.66, indicating they consistently create scoring opportunities. Comparatively, Genoa's xG away is higher (0.92), but they fail to convert these into actual goals (0.6), indicating inefficiency in finishing. Furthermore, Genoa's higher average fouls committed away (11.6) could lead to more free-kick opportunities for Sassuolo. Despite recent form, the data suggests Sassuolo has the edge in this game, making them a good choice for the Draw No Bet market.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
03 Nov 25 Head to Head (3-Way) Genoa ✓ HIT
03 Nov 25 Moneyline Genoa ✓ HIT
03 Nov 25 Both Teams to Score Yes ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Genoa vs Sassuolo in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Monday 3 November 2025 at Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore. The model has generated 6 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Genoa 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
12 Apr 2026Sassuolo @ Genoa2–1Genoa
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