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The Bet Better Margin Index

What a bet actually costs, measured every day

The bookmaker's margin — the overround built into a set of prices — is the price you pay to place a bet. It is rarely published. This index measures it directly from a live multi-book odds archive and updates daily.

Updated 2026-09-09 · 71 days in the series
4.79%
Head-to-head margin
(the headline index)
7.59%
Most expensive market type
Player props
4,805,875
Markets measured
on this day alone
48
Bookmakers
in the sample

On a $100 bet, a 4.79% margin is about $4.79 of built-in cost before the result is known.

Margin by market type

Market type Mean margin Median Markets Books
Head-to-head (two-way) 4.79% 4.65% 439,362 48
Handicaps / spreads 5.64% 5.13% 775,905 45
Totals (over / under) 6.24% 6.21% 1,707,721 44
Other markets 6.46% 6.25% 23,873 24
Match result (three-way) 7.43% 7.27% 549,023 47
Player props 7.59% 7.00% 1,309,991 19

Read it as a price ladder: the simpler the bet, the less it costs you. Player props carry the widest margins of any market type measured here.

Which sports cost you the least

The same head-to-head margin, split by sport on the latest day measured. A lower number means the bookmakers keep less of every dollar bet on that sport.

Sport Margin Cost on $100 Markets Books
MLB 4.48% $4.48 56,665 31
College football 4.59% $4.59 100,701 18
NBA 4.63% $4.63 35,034 20
NFL 4.69% $4.69 104,968 20
NHL 4.89% $4.89 33,993 21
AFL 4.97% $4.97 2,876 12
UFC / MMA 5.02% $5.02 58,542 23
NRL 5.19% $5.19 8,424 18
WNBA 5.65% $5.65 18,362 20

Head-to-head markets only, sports with at least 5 measured markets on the day. Want the margin stripped out of a specific set of prices? The no-vig calculator does it for any two or three-way market.

Head-to-head margin, last 30 days

From 2026-08-11 to 2026-09-09.

Method

For every bookmaker's quote on every market, we sum the implied probabilities of all outcomes. A fair market sums to 1.00; anything above that is the margin. We record each quote as a separate observation, so a market quoted by 40 bookmakers contributes 40 measurements rather than one average.

Handicap markets are paired on the absolute value of the line, because the two sides carry opposite numbers. Head-to-head markets may have two or three outcomes; every other market type is measured two-way. Observations that resolve outside 0–30% are mispaired or stale quotes and are excluded — on the latest day that filter removed at most 0.66% of observations in any market type.

The index reports aggregates only. It publishes no odds, no prices and no bookmaker identities, so it can be reused freely without redistributing licensed market data.

Use the data

The full daily series is available as CSV: betbetter-margin-index.csv — released under CC BY 4.0.

Cite this index Glush, E. (2026). The Bet Better Margin Index: daily measured bookmaker margins across market types. Bet Better. https://betbetter.world/studies/margin-index

The research behind it

The method here is the one used in three published working papers, each with its own DOI: The Price of a Bet (margins across bookmakers, competitions and props), Well Calibrated, Unevenly Priced (market calibration and the favourite–longshot tilt), and The Price of Complexity (why quoted margins near 5% become a realized hold near 10%).

Companion studies: bookmaker margins · price vs hold · market calibration

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