Geraldo Perdomo (ARI) Under 1.5 Stolen Bases (-5000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In the upcoming clash between the Padres and Diamondbacks, all eyes should be on Geraldo Perdomo's base-running prowess—well, at least for those who bet on the over. With Perdomo's recent tendency to stay put, opting for smart base-running over aggressive steals, an under on 1.5 stolen bases feels like a prudent play. He’s been swiped just one time in his last ten games, a stark contrast to his earlier season energy. The Padres' pitching staff has a knack for keeping runners at bay, boasting one of the lower stolen base allowances in the league. With their ability to control the game and Perdomo's cautious approach, it’s hard to envision him breaking loose for two steals against this tough Padres lineup. In a game that could see heightened focus on pitching duels, expect Perdomo to be more of a base-sitter than a base-thief.

Corbin Carroll (NA) Under 1.5 Doubles (-2000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Padres host the Diamondbacks, all eyes will be on Corbin Carroll, but bettors might want to consider taking the under on his doubles total. Carroll has been a bright spot for Arizona, but the matchup against San Diego’s pitching staff is daunting. The Padres have been exceptional at limiting extra-base hits, showcasing a strong bullpen that thrives in high-pressure situations. Moreover, recent trends indicate that Carroll has struggled against left-handed pitchers, and with the Padres likely deploying a southpaw, his chances of finding gaps in the defense diminish. While his talent is undeniable, the numbers reveal a player who’s been held to fewer than 1.5 doubles in several key matchups lately. With an implied probability of 95.2% for this under bet, it’s clear that the odds favor a quiet night for Carroll in terms of extra-base hits, making this a compelling wager.

Geraldo Perdomo (ARI) Under 4.5 Total Bases (-256)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Padres welcome the Diamondbacks to Petco Park, all eyes will be on Geraldo Perdomo. While he’s shown flashes of brilliance, recent trends suggest he might struggle against San Diego's pitching. The Padres’ staff has been sharp, particularly at home, boasting a solid strikeout rate that could neutralize Perdomo’s bat. Additionally, Perdomo's recent form has been inconsistent, and he’s facing a tough matchup against a Padres bullpen that thrives on limiting extra-base hits. With a model prediction hovering around 0.83 total bases, the likelihood of him surpassing the 4.5 threshold seems slim. The Padres have been known to tighten the screws against left-handed hitters, and with Perdomo's recent struggles against similar arms, betting on him to finish under 4.5 total bases is not just a cautious move—it’s a savvy one given the prevailing trends on both sides.

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