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Model picks & player props
Tampa Bay Lightning
VS
Ottawa Senators

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 8:40AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NHL
Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Indoor
Tue 7 Apr 2026, 11:00PM
2
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Tampa Bay Lightning 1.5 Spread -233

The model graded 3 markets for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $143 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Tue 7 Apr 2026, 11:00PM at Canadian Tire Centre.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win79.6%
The price says69.9%
Best price-233
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Tampa Bay Lightning 1.5 High80% chance -233
Saves × 1 prop Leanup to 57% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Tampa Bay Lightning
+1.5
-233
+ 1 more market
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All 2 game markets and 1 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,403+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Tampa Bay LightningSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Pontus Holmberg RWOut

Ottawa Senators

  • Artem Zub DOut
  • Jake Sanderson DOut
Availability updated May 5, 4:10PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and watch the availability of Pontus Holmberg, Artem Zub and Jake Sanderson.
FactorThis fixture
Availability3 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Linus Ullmark Ottawa Senators Saves

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Ottawa SenatorsNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Ottawa Senators moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineTampa Bay Lightning +1.5No line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Ottawa Senators puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Ottawa Senators total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Ottawa Senators — what the model found

Our model graded 3 betting markets for Tampa Bay Lightning at Ottawa Senators — 2 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 3 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 2 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators — recent results

Ottawa Senators have won 1 of their last 5 games; Tampa Bay Lightning have won 2 of their last 5.

Ottawa Senators — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–4CARHome
L1–2CARHome
L2–3CARAway
L0–2CARAway
W3–1TORHome
Tampa Bay Lightning — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2MTLHome
W1–0MTLAway
L2–3MTLHome
W3–2MTLAway
L2–3MTLAway

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Ottawa Senators won 1, Tampa Bay Lightning won 1.

DateOttawa SenatorsTampa Bay LightningWinner
Apr 762Ottawa Senators
Mar 2824Tampa Bay Lightning

Who’s out or in doubt

3 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Ottawa Senators
PlayerStatus
Artem Zub DOUT
Jake Sanderson DOUT
Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Pontus Holmberg RWOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Ottawa Senators — model preview

Winning bets for Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning? We break down NHL odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Linus Ullmark. Explore NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning stats and odds.

Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning : Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5 (-233)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Tuesday night's matchup between Ottawa Senators and Tampa Bay Lightning is shaping up to be a real treat. The Lightning have been striking with precision recently, boasting a 4-1 record in their last 5 away games, and outperforming the Senators in terms of average goals with 1.8 compared to the Senators' 0.8. Meanwhile, the Senators have been struggling to keep the puck out of their net, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game at home. Despite their commendable 4-1 track record against the Lightning, the Senators' recent performance suggests that they'll be hard-pressed to replicate this success. The Lightning, on the other hand, seem poised to extend their winning streak. Betting on the Lightning to cover the 1.5 puck line seems like a smart move given their superior form and scoring prowess.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Lightning vs Senators, or as Senators vs Lightning. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 7 April 2026 at Canadian Tire Centre. The model has generated 2 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Even at 1–1 across the last 2 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
7 Apr 2026Tampa Bay Lightning @ Ottawa Senators6–2Ottawa Senators
28 Mar 2026Ottawa Senators @ Tampa Bay Lightning4–2Tampa Bay Lightning
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