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NHL

Nikita Kucherov

Tampa Bay Lightning

Value call

Nikita Kucherov (Tampa Bay Lightning) has one live pick today: under 0.5 assists that pays $255 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
36 in 100
Predicted
0.6 assists
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 35.8% · before adjusting for past results 45.4% · the book's price implies 39.2% · gap -3.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Philadelphia Flyers @ Tampa Bay Lightning
Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay, FUT · Indoor
Mon 5 Oct, 7:00 PM ET
Nikita Kucherov
under 0.5 assists
Assists Under 0.5 +155 (2.55) · $100→$255
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 36 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$25.50 Odds+155
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nikita Kucherov is Under 0.5 on Assists.
On Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 36 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 36%, the price says 39%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 8:15AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Assists45.4%35.8%39.2%2.79+6.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers: Nikita Kucherov Under 0.5 Assists (+155)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Tampa Bay Lightning are playing at home against the Philadelphia Flyers, and it's clear that the Flyers are struggling lately, with only one win in their last ten games. Meanwhile, the Lightning have picked up five wins in the same stretch, which suggests they're in better form. Nikita Kucherov is a talented player, but with the way both teams are playing, there's a good chance he may not rack up any assists tonight. The Flyers' defense has been tight, and the Lightning might focus more on shooting than passing. This matchup feels pretty even overall, but Kucherov could face challenges creating opportunities. Betting on him to get under 0.5 assists seems like a solid choice given the current state of both teams.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Nikita Kucherov has 3 goals and 8 assists (11 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
8 Oct 26vs MIN0221020:55
5 Oct 26vs PHI0221021:59
3 Oct 26vs WSH0113022:46
1 Oct 26@ NYR1011024:07
15 Apr 26vs NYR0001020:54
13 Apr 26vs DET1123016:29
11 Apr 26@ BOS0002020:21
9 Apr 26@ MTL0111123:12
7 Apr 26@ OTT0113019:41
6 Apr 26@ BUF1013023:30
Quick answers:How many points does Nikita Kucherov average?How many shots on goal does Nikita Kucherov average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Oct 26 Philadelphia Flyers @ Tampa Bay Lightning Assists — — — Pending

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About This Player

Nikita Kucherov (Tampa Bay Lightning) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nikita Kucherov is Under 0.5 on Assists. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.1% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning on Monday 5 October at Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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