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The latest Bet Better model pick for Linus Ullmark is Over 22.5 on Saves.
On the Saves market the model assigns a model win probability of 57%, versus the book's implied 50%, for a model edge of +7.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:03PM UTC
NHL

Linus Ullmark

Ottawa Senators

+7.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Saves Over 22.5 +100 (2.00)
+7.1% Edge
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Ottawa Senators
Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, FUT · Indoor
Tue 7 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
57.1%
Implied Probability
50.0%
Model Edge
+7.1%
Predicted Value
24.4 Saves

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Saves57.1%—50.0%1.75+7.1%

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AI Analysis

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Linus Ullmark (Ottawa Senators) Over 22.5 Saves (+100)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In the Ottawa Senators' home game against the Tampa Bay Lightning, the spotlight is on Linus Ullmark. The Senators' goalie has been a rock in recent home games, with an average of 22.8 saves. That's a hair above our Over 22.5 line in the 'Player Total Saves' market. While Ullmark's goals against average is slightly elevated at 2.6, he’s been facing a flurry of shots, with an average of 25.4 against him. This indicates that he's not just active in net, but effective as well. His overall performance follows a similar pattern, with a saves average of 22.6 and shots against average of 25.8. While his hit streaks are modest at just 1 game each, we're looking at a goalie who's stepping up when it counts. So, for a game with Ullmark in goal, betting Over 22.5 on total saves is a play you

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
SavesModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
24.4projected saves (model)
Line22.5Model proj24.4Last oppTBLListed3

Linus Ullmark (Ottawa Senators) NHL Saves: BetBetter's model projects 24.4 saves against a market line of 22.5 vs TBL. 3 matchups tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Apr 26 Tampa Bay Lightning @ Ottawa Senators Saves 22.5 Over +100 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Linus Ullmark (Ottawa Senators) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Linus Ullmark is Over 22.5 on Saves. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.1% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators on Tuesday 7 April at Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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