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Model picks & player props
Minnesota Wild
VS
Tampa Bay Lightning

Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 11, 9:37PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NHL
Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay
Indoor
Tue 24 Mar 2026, 11:30PM
5
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Minnesota Wild 1.5 (Spread)
The model graded 5 markets for Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $158 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 74.4%, fair odds 1.34, book price -172, model edge +11.1%. Tip-off Tue 24 Mar 2026, 11:30PM at Benchmark International Arena.

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread
Minnesota Wild
+1.5
+ 4 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Minnesota WildPuck LinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota WildPuck LinesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay LightningPuck LinesPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Minnesota Wild

  • Zach Bogosian DOut
  • Filip Gustavsson GOut
  • Jonas Brodin DOut
  • Joel Eriksson Ek COut
  • Charlie Stramel COut

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Pontus Holmberg RWOut
Availability updated Jul 1, 9:26PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 6 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability6 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Tampa Bay LightningNo line posted

Minnesota Wild @ Tampa Bay Lightning moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineMinnesota Wild +1.5No line posted

Minnesota Wild @ Tampa Bay Lightning puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Minnesota Wild @ Tampa Bay Lightning total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Minnesota Wild @ Tampa Bay Lightning — what the model found

Our model graded 5 betting markets for Minnesota Wild at Tampa Bay Lightning — 5 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

5
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 5 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 4 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Who’s out or in doubt

6 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Pontus Holmberg RWOUT
Minnesota Wild
PlayerStatus
Zach Bogosian DOUT
Filip Gustavsson GOUT
Jonas Brodin DOUT
Joel Eriksson Ek COUT
Charlie Stramel COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Minnesota Wild @ Tampa Bay Lightning — model preview

Latest NHL betting preview: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like Nikita Kucherov. Keywords: NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild stats and odds.

Nikita Kucherov (Tampa Bay Lightning) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+135)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In the upcoming clash of the titans between Tampa Bay Lightning and Minnesota Wild, one player to keep an eager eye on is none other than Nikita Kucherov. The man's been on fire recently, averaging a sizzling 1.2 goals across the last five games. There's a reason why his stick's been hotter than a Florida summer, folks. It's because he's been unloading an average of 3.6 shots per game. And when he's in the familiar confines of his home ice? Those shots jump up to 4.2 on average. Now, I know his current home hit streak is resting at a flat zero, but don't let that fool you. In his last four home games, he's found the back of the net twice. The guy's a sniper, and the stats are backing him for a "Yes" in the 'Anytime Goalscorer' market. Bet on Kucherov to light the lamp.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Wild vs Lightning, or as Lightning vs Wild. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 24 March 2026 at Benchmark International Arena. The model has generated 5 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

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