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Model picks & player props
NHL
Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay
Indoor
Thu 8 Oct 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Minnesota Wild
VS
Tampa Bay Lightning

Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 7 markets for Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning and backs Minnesota Wild 3.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $111.

7
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Minnesota Wild 3.5
Minnesota Wild 3.5 Puck Lines
You bet$10 If it wins$11.10Best price-909
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win98.0%
The price says90.1%

The model graded 7 markets for Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $111 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 8 Oct 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Benchmark International Arena.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Puck Lines Minnesota Wild 3.5 High98% chance -909
Spread Members only High61% chance Members
Total Goals Members only High99% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot40% chance Members
3-Way Moneyline Members only Long-shot29% chance Members
Puck Lines Members only High98% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NHL game on today's board →

Minnesota Wild and Tampa Bay Lightning last met on Thu 8 Oct 2026: Tampa Bay Lightning won 3-2. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NHL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Puck Lines
Minnesota Wild
3.5
-909
+ 6 more markets
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All 7 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 72,873+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Minnesota WildPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota WildSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota WildMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota Wild3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay LightningPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Minnesota Wild

  • Jared Spurgeon DOut
  • Brock Faber DOut
  • Filip Gustavsson GOut
  • Marcus Foligno LWOut
  • Nick Foligno LWOut

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Zemgus Girgensons CDay-to-day
  • Erik Cernak DDay-to-day
  • Yanni Gourde COut
Availability updated Nov 1, 1:42PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 8 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability8 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Minnesota WildNo line posted

Minnesota Wild @ Tampa Bay Lightning moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineMinnesota Wild +1.5No line posted

Minnesota Wild @ Tampa Bay Lightning puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Minnesota Wild @ Tampa Bay Lightning total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Minnesota Wild @ Tampa Bay Lightning — what the model found

Our model graded 7 betting markets for Minnesota Wild at Tampa Bay Lightning — 7 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

7
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 7 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 6 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning — recent results

Tampa Bay Lightning have won 2 of their last 5 games; Minnesota Wild have won 4 of their last 5.

Tampa Bay Lightning — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–5NSHAway
W6–4WPGHome
L4–5UTAAway
L3–6COLAway
W6–2VGKAway
Minnesota Wild — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–1WSHAway
L3–4NYIHome
W3–1UTAAway
W4–2VANAway
W5–1SEAAway

Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Tampa Bay Lightning won 2, Minnesota Wild won 1.

DateTampa Bay LightningMinnesota WildWinner
Oct 832Tampa Bay Lightning
Mar 2463Tampa Bay Lightning
Mar 415Minnesota Wild

Who’s out or in doubt

8 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Zemgus Girgensons CDAY-TO-DAY
Erik Cernak DDAY-TO-DAY
Yanni Gourde COUT
Minnesota Wild
PlayerStatus
Jared Spurgeon DOUT
Brock Faber DOUT
Filip Gustavsson GOUT
Marcus Foligno LWOUT
Nick Foligno LWOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Minnesota Wild @ Tampa Bay Lightning — model preview

Latest NHL betting preview: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like Nikita Kucherov. Keywords: NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild stats and odds.

Nikita Kucherov (Tampa Bay Lightning) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+135)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In the upcoming clash of the titans between Tampa Bay Lightning and Minnesota Wild, one player to keep an eager eye on is none other than Nikita Kucherov. The man's been on fire recently, averaging a sizzling 1.2 goals across the last five games. There's a reason why his stick's been hotter than a Florida summer, folks. It's because he's been unloading an average of 3.6 shots per game. And when he's in the familiar confines of his home ice? Those shots jump up to 4.2 on average. Now, I know his current home hit streak is resting at a flat zero, but don't let that fool you. In his last four home games, he's found the back of the net twice. The guy's a sniper, and the stats are backing him for a "Yes" in the 'Anytime Goalscorer' market. Bet on Kucherov to light the lamp.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Wild vs Lightning, or as Lightning vs Wild. The most recent game between them was Thursday 8 October 2026 at Benchmark International Arena. The model has generated 7 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 8 Oct 2026Tampa Bay Lightning beat Minnesota Wild 3-2 at home
  • 24 Mar 2026Tampa Bay Lightning beat Minnesota Wild 6-3 at home
  • 3 Mar 2026Minnesota Wild beat Tampa Bay Lightning 5-1 at home

Minnesota Wild: last 5 results

  1. 1 Nov 2026Wonat Washington Capitals 5-1
  2. 29 Oct 2026Lostvs New York Islanders 3-4
  3. 27 Oct 2026Wonat Utah Mammoth 3-1
  4. 25 Oct 2026Wonat Vancouver Canucks 4-2
  5. 24 Oct 2026Wonat Seattle Kraken 5-1

Tampa Bay Lightning: last 5 results

  1. 31 Oct 2026Lostat Nashville Predators 4-5
  2. 29 Oct 2026Wonvs Winnipeg Jets 6-4
  3. 24 Oct 2026Lostat Utah Mammoth 4-5
  4. 23 Oct 2026Lostat Colorado Avalanche 3-6
  5. 20 Oct 2026Wonat Vegas Golden Knights 6-2

Quick answers

Who won the last Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild game? Tampa Bay Lightning won their last meeting 3-2 on 8 October 2026.

How have Minnesota Wild and Tampa Bay Lightning done lately? Minnesota Wild won 4 and lost 1 of the last 5 results we hold. Tampa Bay Lightning won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning head-to-head record

Final scores · 3 meetings on record
Tampa Bay Lightning 2–1 across the last 3 meetings

Last meeting: Thu 8 Oct 2026, Minnesota Wild at Tampa Bay Lightning: the Lightning won 3-2.

DateGameScoreWinner
8 Oct 2026Minnesota Wild @ Tampa Bay Lightning3–2Tampa Bay Lightning
24 Mar 2026Minnesota Wild @ Tampa Bay Lightning6–3Tampa Bay Lightning
4 Mar 2026Tampa Bay Lightning @ Minnesota Wild5–1Minnesota Wild

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