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Model picks & player props
Minnesota Wild
VS
Tampa Bay Lightning

Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 1, 2:30AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NHL
Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay
Indoor
Tue 24 Mar 2026, 11:30PM
5
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Minnesota Wild 1.5 Spread -172

The model graded 5 markets for Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $158 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Tue 24 Mar 2026, 11:30PM at Benchmark International Arena.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win74.4%
The price says63.3%
Best price-172
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Minnesota Wild 1.5 High74% chance -172
Puck Lines High98% chance —
Total Goals High99% chance —
Puck Lines High98% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Minnesota Wild
+1.5
-172
+ 4 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Minnesota WildSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota WildPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay LightningPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Minnesota Wild

  • Filip Gustavsson GOut
  • Jonas Brodin DOut
  • Joel Eriksson Ek COut

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Pontus Holmberg RWOut
Availability updated May 18, 6:29PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 4 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability4 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Tampa Bay LightningNo line posted

Minnesota Wild @ Tampa Bay Lightning moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineMinnesota Wild +1.5No line posted

Minnesota Wild @ Tampa Bay Lightning puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Minnesota Wild @ Tampa Bay Lightning total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Minnesota Wild @ Tampa Bay Lightning — what the model found

Our model graded 5 betting markets for Minnesota Wild at Tampa Bay Lightning — 5 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

5
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 5 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 4 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning — recent results

Tampa Bay Lightning have won 2 of their last 5 games; Minnesota Wild have won 1 of their last 5.

Tampa Bay Lightning — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2MTLHome
W1–0MTLAway
L2–3MTLHome
W3–2MTLAway
L2–3MTLAway
Minnesota Wild — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–4COLAway
L2–5COLHome
W5–1COLHome
L2–5COLAway
L6–9COLAway

Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Tampa Bay Lightning won 1, Minnesota Wild won 1.

DateTampa Bay LightningMinnesota WildWinner
Mar 2463Tampa Bay Lightning
Mar 415Minnesota Wild

Who’s out or in doubt

4 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Pontus Holmberg RWOUT
Minnesota Wild
PlayerStatus
Filip Gustavsson GOUT
Jonas Brodin DOUT
Joel Eriksson Ek COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Minnesota Wild @ Tampa Bay Lightning — model preview

Latest NHL betting preview: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like Nikita Kucherov. Keywords: NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild stats and odds.

Nikita Kucherov (Tampa Bay Lightning) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+135)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In the upcoming clash of the titans between Tampa Bay Lightning and Minnesota Wild, one player to keep an eager eye on is none other than Nikita Kucherov. The man's been on fire recently, averaging a sizzling 1.2 goals across the last five games. There's a reason why his stick's been hotter than a Florida summer, folks. It's because he's been unloading an average of 3.6 shots per game. And when he's in the familiar confines of his home ice? Those shots jump up to 4.2 on average. Now, I know his current home hit streak is resting at a flat zero, but don't let that fool you. In his last four home games, he's found the back of the net twice. The guy's a sniper, and the stats are backing him for a "Yes" in the 'Anytime Goalscorer' market. Bet on Kucherov to light the lamp.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Wild vs Lightning, or as Lightning vs Wild. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 24 March 2026 at Benchmark International Arena. The model has generated 5 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Even at 1–1 across the last 2 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
24 Mar 2026Minnesota Wild @ Tampa Bay Lightning6–3Tampa Bay Lightning
4 Mar 2026Tampa Bay Lightning @ Minnesota Wild5–1Minnesota Wild
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