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Model picks & player props
NHL
PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Indoor
Sat 14 Nov 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Ottawa Senators
12-8 · 5-5 awayLWWLW
VS
Pittsburgh Penguins
7-12 · 4-4 at homeLLWLW
Our model's predicted score: Pittsburgh Penguins 3.3 – Ottawa Senators 2.8

Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction & Picks · Sat 14 Nov

Our model backs Pittsburgh Penguins in Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $255.

1
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins 3-Way Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$25.50Best price+155
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win36.6%
The price says39.2%

For Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins (NHL), this is the model’s pick — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $255 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 14 Nov 2026, 7:00 PM ET at PPG Paints Arena.

Predicted score: Pittsburgh Penguins 3.3 – Ottawa Senators 2.8. Kick-off Sat 14 Nov, 7:00 PM ET at PPG Paints Arena. Best bet: Pittsburgh Penguins at +155.
How they've been scoring this season
Ottawa SenatorsPittsburgh Penguins
Won-lost12-87-12
Goals scored per game3.23.2
Goals allowed per game3.03.5
On the road / at home5-5 away4-4 at home
Last 5 gamesLWWLWLLWLW
Their games average 6.5 total goals this season.
From the 20 Ottawa Senators and 19 Pittsburgh Penguins games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Senators about 5 in 10 to win. Now: about 5 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Senatorsabout 5 in 10$1.84 (-119)$1.80 (-125)
Penguinsabout 5 in 10$2.19 (+119)$2.10 (+110)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.20 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 26 books we check.

All NHL odds this week →

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
3-Way Moneyline
Pittsburgh Penguins
Player props & full board
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Pittsburgh Penguins3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Pittsburgh Penguins on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Pittsburgh Penguins
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Unibet
on Over
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Ottawa Senators

  • Nick Cousins COut
  • Andre Burakovsky LWOut
  • Warren Foegele LWOut
  • William Eklund LWOut

Pittsburgh Penguins

  • Elmer Soderblom LWOut
  • Bryan Rust RWOut
  • Trevor van Riemsdyk DOut
  • Ryan Graves DOut
Availability updated Nov 11, 5:15PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 8 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability8 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Pittsburgh PenguinsNo line posted
2-3last 5 record
GF/G2.6GA/G3.6Shots/G26.4vs Senators2-3

Ottawa Senators @ Pittsburgh Penguins moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LinePittsburgh Penguins +1.5No line posted
2-3last 5 record
GF/G2.6GA/G3.6Shots/G26.4vs Senators2-3

Ottawa Senators @ Pittsburgh Penguins puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Ottawa Senators @ Pittsburgh Penguins total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Ottawa Senators @ Pittsburgh Penguins — what the model found

Our model graded 1 betting market for Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins — 1 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

1
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 1 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins — recent results

Pittsburgh Penguins have won 2 of their last 5 games; Ottawa Senators have won 3 of their last 5.

Pittsburgh Penguins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–2SJAway
L2–5ANAAway
W5–2LAAway
L2–6BOSHome
L2–3VGKHome
Ottawa Senators — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–3COLHome
L2–3WSHHome
W4–2UTAHome
W2–1BUFAway
L3–6ANAAway

Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Pittsburgh Penguins won 1, Ottawa Senators won 1.

DatePittsburgh PenguinsOttawa SenatorsWinner
Mar 2643Pittsburgh Penguins
Feb 323Ottawa Senators

Who’s out or in doubt

8 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Pittsburgh Penguins
PlayerStatus
Elmer Soderblom LWOUT
Bryan Rust RWOUT
Trevor van Riemsdyk DOUT
Ryan Graves DOUT
Ottawa Senators
PlayerStatus
Nick Cousins COUT
Andre Burakovsky LWOUT
Warren Foegele LWOUT
William Eklund LWOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Ottawa Senators @ Pittsburgh Penguins — where the money went

Since betting opened on Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins, the market has moved away from Pittsburgh Penguins across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Spread — Pittsburgh Penguins -1.5▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Pittsburgh Penguins▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Ottawa Senators▲ Money came for this
Spread — Ottawa Senators -1.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Ottawa Senators 1.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Pittsburgh Penguins 1.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 6.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 6.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Ottawa Senators @ Pittsburgh Penguins — model preview

Unlock potential winning bets for Pittsburgh Penguins playing Ottawa Senators. Includes analysis on key players like Brady Tkachuk. Analysis includes NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Pittsburgh Penguins vs Ottawa Senators stats and odds.

Brady Tkachuk (Ottawa Senators) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+160)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Senators vs Penguins, or as Penguins vs Senators. The next scheduled game is Saturday 14 November 2026 at PPG Paints Arena. The model has generated 1 game pick for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins: game facts

When it starts and how they have been going

Ottawa Senators play Pittsburgh Penguins on Saturday 14 November 2026. It starts at 7:00 PM ET at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh. It is an NHL game.

Where they last met

  • 26 Mar 2026Pittsburgh Penguins beat Ottawa Senators 4-3 on the road
  • 2 Feb 2026Ottawa Senators beat Pittsburgh Penguins 3-2 on the road

Ottawa Senators: last 5 results

  1. 12 Nov 2026Wonvs Colorado Avalanche 4-3
  2. 10 Nov 2026Lostvs Washington Capitals 2-3
  3. 7 Nov 2026Wonvs Utah Mammoth 4-2
  4. 4 Nov 2026Wonat Buffalo Sabres 2-1
  5. 1 Nov 2026Lostat Anaheim Ducks 3-6

Pittsburgh Penguins: last 5 results

  1. 11 Nov 2026Wonat San Jose Sharks 3-2
  2. 8 Nov 2026Lostat Anaheim Ducks 2-5
  3. 7 Nov 2026Wonat Los Angeles Kings 5-2
  4. 5 Nov 2026Lostvs Boston Bruins 2-6
  5. 3 Nov 2026Lostvs Vegas Golden Knights 2-3

Quick answers

When is Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins? Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins is on Saturday 14 November 2026. It starts at 7:00 PM ET at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh.

Who won the last Pittsburgh Penguins vs Ottawa Senators game? Pittsburgh Penguins won their last meeting 4-3 on 26 March 2026.

Where is Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins being played? It is being played at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins: the season so far

From every final score this season

Ottawa Senators are 12-8 this season and Pittsburgh Penguins are 7-12. Pittsburgh Penguins are 4-4 at home. Ottawa Senators are 5-5 on the road. Pittsburgh Penguins score 3.2 goals a game and let in 3.5. Ottawa Senators score 3.2 and let in 3.0. Pittsburgh Penguins games have averaged 6.7 goals in total; Ottawa Senators games have averaged 6.2.

SeasonOttawa SenatorsPittsburgh Penguins
Won-lost12-87-12
At home7-34-4
On the road5-53-8
Last 105-54-6
Goals scored a game3.23.2
Goals let in a game3.03.5
Goals scored at home3.33.0
Goals scored away3.13.4
Against winning sides7-34-9
Current runWon 1Won 1
Biggest win5-1 at San Jose Sharks7-0 at Philadelphia Flyers
Heaviest loss7-2 vs St. Louis Blues6-2 vs Boston Bruins

Teams they have both played

  • Against San Jose Sharks: Pittsburgh Penguins won 3-2 on the road; Ottawa Senators won 5-1 on the road.
  • Against Anaheim Ducks: Pittsburgh Penguins lost 2-5 on the road; Ottawa Senators lost 3-6 on the road.
  • Against Los Angeles Kings: Pittsburgh Penguins won 5-2 on the road; Ottawa Senators lost 5-6 on the road.

Rest before this game

Pittsburgh Penguins last played on Wednesday 11 November, 3 days before this game. Ottawa Senators last played on Thursday 12 November, 2 days before.

Quick answers

How are Pittsburgh Penguins doing this season? Pittsburgh Penguins are 7-12 this season: 4-4 at home and 3-8 on the road.

How many goals do Ottawa Senators score a game? Ottawa Senators score 3.2 goals a game this season and let in 3.0, across 20 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Even at 1–1 across the last 2 meetings

Last meeting: Thu 26 Mar 2026, Pittsburgh Penguins at Ottawa Senators: the Penguins won 4-3.

DateGameScoreWinner
26 Mar 2026Pittsburgh Penguins @ Ottawa Senators3–4Pittsburgh Penguins
3 Feb 2026Ottawa Senators @ Pittsburgh Penguins2–3Ottawa Senators
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