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NHL

Andrei Vasilevskiy

Tampa Bay Lightning

Value call

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Tampa Bay Lightning) has one live pick today: over 22.5 saves that pays $210 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
50 in 100
Predicted
23.7 saves
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 50.3% · the book's price implies 47.6% · gap +2.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Winnipeg Jets @ Tampa Bay Lightning
Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay, FUT · Indoor
Thu 29 Oct, 7:00 PM ET
Andrei Vasilevskiy
over 22.5 saves
Saves Over 22.5 +110 (2.10) · $100→$210
Value call
LEANWins about 50 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$21.00 Odds+110
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Andrei Vasilevskiy is Over 22.5 on Saves.
On Saves, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 50%, the price says 48%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 2:32PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Saves50.3%—47.6%1.99+2.7%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets: Andrei Vasilevskiy Over 22.5 Saves (+110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Tampa Bay Lightning have been strong lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games. Andrei Vasilevskiy, their goaltender, will face a Winnipeg Jets team that has struggled, winning only 3 of their last 10. Vasilevskiy is likely to see a good number of shots, especially since the Jets average over 23 hits a game. This suggests they are not afraid to get physical and create chances. We're betting on Vasilevskiy to make over 22.5 saves in this matchup. He has been solid and will need to be sharp against a Jets team that can generate offense. The most concrete risk here is that both teams are playing closely matched, which could mean fewer shots than expected. Still, the odds are decent for him to have a busy night in goal.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
SavesModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
23.7projected saves (model)
Line21.5Model proj23.7Last oppWPGListed21

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Tampa Bay Lightning) NHL Saves: BetBetter's model projects 23.7 saves against a market line of 21.5 vs WPG. 21 matchups tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Oct 26 Seattle Kraken @ Tampa Bay Lightning Saves 21.5 Over -115 ✓ HIT
13 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Lightning @ New York Rangers Saves 23.5 Under -120 ✓ HIT
29 Oct 26 Winnipeg Jets @ Tampa Bay Lightning Saves — — — Pending
29 Oct 26 Winnipeg Jets @ Tampa Bay Lightning Saves — — — Pending
15 Oct 26 Seattle Kraken @ Tampa Bay Lightning Saves — — — Pending
05 Oct 26 Philadelphia Flyers @ Tampa Bay Lightning Saves — — — Pending

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About This Player

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Tampa Bay Lightning) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andrei Vasilevskiy is Over 22.5 on Saves. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.7% on this pick. Their next game is Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning on Thursday 29 October at Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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