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NHL

Andrei Vasilevskiy

Tampa Bay Lightning

Value call

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Tampa Bay Lightning) has one live pick today: over 23.5 saves that pays $330 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
37 in 100
Predicted
23.4 saves
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 37.1% · before adjusting for past results 46.9% · the book's price implies 30.3% · gap +6.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Philadelphia Flyers @ Tampa Bay Lightning
Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay, FUT · Indoor
Mon 5 Oct, 7:00 PM ET
Andrei Vasilevskiy
over 23.5 saves
Saves Over 23.5 +230 (3.30) · $100→$330
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 37 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$33.00 Odds+230
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Andrei Vasilevskiy is Over 23.5 on Saves.
On Saves, our numbers say this bet wins about 37 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 37%, the price says 30%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 8:12AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Saves46.9%37.1%30.3%2.69+16.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers: Andrei Vasilevskiy Over 23.5 Saves (+230)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Andrei Vasilevskiy has been a solid goaltender for the Tampa Bay Lightning, and they're up against a struggling Philadelphia Flyers team that has only won one of their last ten games. With the Flyers' recent scoring troubles, Vasilevskiy might see a lot of shots, which could push his save count up. Betting on Vasilevskiy to make over 23.5 saves feels like a smart play here, especially since the teams are closely matched this season. The main risk is that if the Lightning dominate the game, the Flyers might not get enough shots on goal to meet the target. Still, Vasilevskiy's ability to handle pressure makes this pick worth considering.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
SavesModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
23.4projected saves (model)
Line31.5Model proj23.4Last oppPHIListed15

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Tampa Bay Lightning) NHL Saves: BetBetter's model projects 23.4 saves against a market line of 31.5 vs PHI. 15 matchups tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Oct 26 Philadelphia Flyers @ Tampa Bay Lightning Saves — — — Pending
05 Oct 26 Philadelphia Flyers @ Tampa Bay Lightning Saves — — — Pending
05 Oct 26 Philadelphia Flyers @ Tampa Bay Lightning Saves — — — Pending
05 Oct 26 Philadelphia Flyers @ Tampa Bay Lightning Saves — — — Pending
05 Oct 26 Philadelphia Flyers @ Tampa Bay Lightning Saves — — — Pending
05 Oct 26 Philadelphia Flyers @ Tampa Bay Lightning Saves — — — Pending

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About This Player

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Tampa Bay Lightning) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andrei Vasilevskiy is Over 23.5 on Saves. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.6% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning on Monday 5 October at Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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