Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jake Guentzel is Over 0.5 on Shots on Goal.
On the Shots on Goal market the model assigns a model win probability of 96%, versus the book's implied 94%, for a model edge of +1.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
NHL
Jake Guentzel
Tampa Bay Lightning
Latest Model Pick
Shots on Goal
Over 0.5
-1667 (1.06)
+1.2% Edge
Tampa Bay Lightning
@
Detroit Red Wings
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, FUT · Indoor
Fri 17 Oct, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
94.3%
Predicted Value
3.4 Shots on Goal
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Shots on Goal | 95.5% | — | 94.3% | 1.05 | +1.2% |
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Jake Guentzel (Tampa Bay Lightning) Over 0.5 Shots On Goal (-1667)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
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Betting angles
Markets & formShots on GoalModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
3.4projected shots (model)
Line0.5Model proj3.4Last oppDETListed1
Jake Guentzel (Tampa Bay Lightning) NHL Shots on Goal: BetBetter's model projects 3.4 shots against a market line of 0.5 vs DET. 1 matchup tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Jake Guentzel (Tampa Bay Lightning) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jake Guentzel is Over 0.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.2% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings on Friday 17 October at Little Caesars Arena, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.
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