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Model picks & player props
NHL
Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
Indoor
Sun 8 Nov 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Tampa Bay Lightning
VS
Winnipeg Jets

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 23 markets for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets and backs Winnipeg Jets hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $268.

20
Game markets graded
3
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Winnipeg Jets
Winnipeg Jets 3rd Period Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$26.80Best price+168
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win35.3%
The price says37.3%

The model graded 23 markets for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $268 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 8 Nov 2026, 6:00 PM ET at Canada Life Centre.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
3rd Period Moneyline Winnipeg Jets Long-shot35% chance +168
Spread Members only Lean53% chance Members
3rd Period Puck Line Members only Lean49% chance Members
Puck Lines Members only High66% chance Members
3rd Period 3-Way Moneyline Members only Long-shot24% chance Members
3rd Period Puck Lines Members only High75% chance Members
3-Way Moneyline Members only Long-shot39% chance Members
2nd Period Moneyline Members only Long-shot39% chance Members
2nd Period Puck Line Members only Lean50% chance Members
Points × 1 prop Highup to 77% Members
Saves × 1 prop Leanup to 54% Members
Shots on Goal × 1 prop Highup to 64% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Tampa Bay Lightning and Winnipeg Jets last met on Sun 8 Nov 2026: Winnipeg Jets won 4-3. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NHL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
3rd Period Moneyline
Winnipeg Jets
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Winnipeg Jets3rd Period MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Winnipeg JetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Winnipeg Jets3rd Period Puck LineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Winnipeg JetsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Winnipeg Jets3rd Period 3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Winnipeg Jets3rd Period Puck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay LightningPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay Lightning3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Winnipeg Jets3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay LightningPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Winnipeg Jets2nd Period MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Winnipeg Jets2nd Period Puck LineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Winnipeg JetsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Winnipeg Jets2nd Period 3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay LightningSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Winnipeg Jets2nd Period Puck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Brayden Point COut

Winnipeg Jets

  • Elias Salomonsson DOut
  • Vladislav Namestnikov COut
  • Nick Bjugstad COut
Availability updated Nov 10, 3:30PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 4 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability4 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

The preview

Written 9 Nov

Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

On November 08, 2026 our model has run Tampa Bay Lightning at Winnipeg Jets and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Winnipeg Jets 2nd Period Moneyline (+114), which we rate long shot confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Winnipeg Jets 2nd Period Moneyline (+114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Winnipeg Jets have been struggling lately, winning only 2 of their last 10 games. They do block a decent number of shots, but they also take a lot of hits. The Tampa Bay Lightning, on the other hand, are in better form, winning 6 of their last 10. They've been solid defensively, blocking more shots than the Jets. Still, the Jets are at home and this game is rated as nearly even. Betting on the Jets to win the second period could pay off since they might be eager to turn things around. Just remember, they need to find a way to score more consistently against a tough Lightning team.

Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Winnipeg Jets 3-Way Moneyline (+190)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Winnipeg Jets are struggling lately, winning only 2 of their last 10 games. They face the Tampa Bay Lightning, who have a solid roster too, making this a tough matchup. However, the Jets have the home ice advantage, which can boost their performance. Betting on the Jets to win might be a smart move since they're an underdog with a real chance here. While both teams have had players who haven't hit their stride yet, the Jets could surprise us. Just remember, the Lightning can be tricky to beat, so this game might be closer than we hope.

Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Winnipeg Jets 2nd Period 3-Way Moneyline (+200)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Winnipeg Jets have been struggling lately, winning only 2 of their last 10 games. However, they can be tough to play against at home, landing a good number of hits and blocking shots well. This means they can disrupt the Lightning's offense, especially in the second period when teams often get tired. The Tampa Bay Lightning have won 6 of their last 10, making them a solid team, but they might underestimate the Jets at Canada Life Centre. The Jets have a decent shot as underdogs, and betting on them to win the second period could pay off nicely. Just remember, the Lightning are no slouch, and their recent form makes this a close call.

Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Brandon Hagel Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Brandon Hagel has been buzzing lately, and the matchup against the Winnipeg Jets could be a great opportunity for him. The Jets haven't been winning much, managing only two victories in their last ten games. This could lead to more chances for Hagel to fire off shots as the Jets try to keep the Lightning at bay. Hagel's ability to score is backed by his solid play, and with the Jets blocking fewer shots than average, he might find openings to shoot. However, it's worth noting that both teams are close in blocking shots, so it could be a tight battle. Still, we're confident he can hit over 2.5 shots on goal in this game.

Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Stuart Skinner Over 23.5 Saves (-108)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Stuart Skinner needs to make over 23 saves for this bet to win tonight. He's been in a tough spot with the Winnipeg Jets, who have struggled lately, winning only 2 of their last 10 games. The Tampa Bay Lightning, on the other hand, are playing well, winning 6 of their last 10, which means Skinner could face a lot of shots tonight. Skinner's team blocks shots at a decent rate, but they still allow a lot of opportunities for the other team. With Tampa Bay pushing for more offense, it's likely Skinner will see plenty of action in goal. The biggest risk is how close the teams are in terms of recent form, so while it's a solid pick, there's no guarantee he'll hit that save mark.

Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Brandon Hagel Over 0.5 Points (-135)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Brandon Hagel has been doing well lately, and the matchup against the Winnipeg Jets looks promising for him. The Jets have struggled, winning only 2 of their last 10 games. With their focus on blocking shots and racking up hits, it might open up opportunities for Hagel to make a mark. He's been playing well, and the Lightning have won 6 of their last 10, giving them good momentum. While the Jets do block a decent number of shots, Hagel's skills make him a strong pick to score points in this game. He's been finding ways to get involved on the ice, and with the home crowd at Canada Life Centre, the energy could help him shine. The biggest risk is how close both teams can be, but with the way Hagel has been performing, it's worth a shot to bet on him getting over 0.5 points.

That is everything our model likes in this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · Read the full preview · Every pick for that day

Same game parlay

Written 9 Nov

Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks

On Monday 9 November 2026, Winnipeg Jets play Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Tampa Bay Lightning +2.5, priced at -769 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Tampa Bay Lightning +2.5 (-769)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Winnipeg Jets play Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL. The bet we are looking at is Tampa Bay Lightning +2.5. That is a Spread bet. It was priced at -769 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Neal Pionk (Winnipeg Jets) Over 0.5 Shots On Goal (-556)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Winnipeg Jets play Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL. The bet we are looking at is Neal Pionk (Winnipeg Jets) Over 0.5 Shots On Goal. It was priced at -556 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Winnipeg Jets v Tampa Bay Lightning. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · Read the full preview · Every pick for that day

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Brandon Hagel Tampa Bay Lightning Points
Stuart Skinner Winnipeg Jets Saves
Brandon Hagel Tampa Bay Lightning Shots on Goal

+ 3 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Winnipeg JetsNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Winnipeg Jets moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineWinnipeg Jets +1.5No line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Winnipeg Jets puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Winnipeg Jets total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Winnipeg Jets — what the model found

Our model graded 23 betting markets for Tampa Bay Lightning at Winnipeg Jets — 20 on the game itself and 3 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
3
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 23 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 22 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets — recent results

Winnipeg Jets have won 4 of their last 5 games; Tampa Bay Lightning have won 3 of their last 5.

Winnipeg Jets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–2NJHome
W4–3TBHome
W6–2VANHome
W5–4MTLAway
L0–7CARAway
Tampa Bay Lightning — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–3MINAway
L3–4WPGAway
W4–1CHIHome
W4–2DETHome
L4–5NSHAway

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets — recent meetings

These two have met 4 times recently: Winnipeg Jets won 2, Tampa Bay Lightning won 2.

DateWinnipeg JetsTampa Bay LightningWinner
Nov 843Winnipeg Jets
Oct 2946Tampa Bay Lightning
Mar 641Winnipeg Jets
Jan 3014Tampa Bay Lightning

Who’s out or in doubt

4 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Winnipeg Jets
PlayerStatus
Elias Salomonsson DOUT
Vladislav Namestnikov COUT
Nick Bjugstad COUT
Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Brayden Point COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Winnipeg Jets — model preview

Winnipeg Jets v Tampa Bay Lightning, 9 November 2026. Top of the list: Neal Pionk (Winnipeg Jets) Over 1.5 Shots On Goal. Our model likes 6 bets in this game.

On November 08, 2026 our model has run Tampa Bay Lightning at Winnipeg Jets and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Winnipeg Jets 2nd Period Moneyline (+114), which we rate long shot confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Lightning vs Jets, or as Jets vs Lightning. The most recent game between them was Sunday 8 November 2026 at Canada Life Centre. The model has generated 20 game picks and 3 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 8 Nov 2026Winnipeg Jets beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4-3 at home
  • 29 Oct 2026Tampa Bay Lightning beat Winnipeg Jets 6-4 at home
  • 5 Mar 2026Winnipeg Jets beat Tampa Bay Lightning 4-1 at home

Tampa Bay Lightning: last 5 results

  1. 8 Nov 2026Lostat Winnipeg Jets 3-4
  2. 7 Nov 2026Wonat Minnesota Wild 4-3
  3. 5 Nov 2026Wonvs Chicago Blackhawks 4-1
  4. 3 Nov 2026Wonvs Detroit Red Wings 4-2
  5. 31 Oct 2026Lostat Nashville Predators 4-5

Winnipeg Jets: last 5 results

  1. 10 Nov 2026Wonvs New Jersey Devils 4-2
  2. 8 Nov 2026Wonvs Tampa Bay Lightning 4-3
  3. 5 Nov 2026Wonvs Vancouver Canucks 6-2
  4. 3 Nov 2026Wonat Montreal Canadiens 5-4
  5. 1 Nov 2026Lostat Carolina Hurricanes 0-7

Quick answers

Who won the last Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning game? Winnipeg Jets won their last meeting 4-3 on 8 November 2026.

How have Tampa Bay Lightning and Winnipeg Jets done lately? Tampa Bay Lightning won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold. Winnipeg Jets won 4 and lost 1 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets: the season so far

From every final score this season

Tampa Bay Lightning are 11-6 this season and Winnipeg Jets are 8-11. Winnipeg Jets are 5-5 at home. Tampa Bay Lightning are 3-6 on the road. Winnipeg Jets score 2.8 goals a game and let in 3.4. Tampa Bay Lightning score 3.7 and let in 3.1. Winnipeg Jets games have averaged 6.2 goals in total; Tampa Bay Lightning games have averaged 6.8. Winnipeg Jets have won their last 4.

SeasonTampa Bay LightningWinnipeg Jets
Won-lost11-68-11
At home8-05-5
On the road3-63-6
Last 106-44-6
Goals scored a game3.72.8
Goals let in a game3.13.4
Goals scored at home4.03.0
Goals scored away3.42.6
Against winning sides5-45-9
Current runLost 1Won 4
Biggest win6-2 at Vegas Golden Knights6-2 vs Vancouver Canucks
Heaviest loss5-1 at New York Rangers7-0 at Carolina Hurricanes

Teams they have both played

  • Against Vancouver Canucks: Winnipeg Jets won 6-2 at home; Tampa Bay Lightning won 4-2 at home.
  • Against Chicago Blackhawks: Winnipeg Jets lost 3-4 on the road; Tampa Bay Lightning won 4-1 at home.
  • Against Minnesota Wild: Winnipeg Jets won 5-2 at home; Tampa Bay Lightning won 4-3 on the road.

Quick answers

How are Winnipeg Jets doing this season? Winnipeg Jets are 8-11 this season: 5-5 at home and 3-6 on the road.

How many goals do Tampa Bay Lightning score a game? Tampa Bay Lightning score 3.7 goals a game this season and let in 3.1, across 17 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets head-to-head record

Final scores · 4 meetings on record
Even at 2–2 across the last 4 meetings · these games average 6.8 goals

Last meeting: Sun 8 Nov 2026, Tampa Bay Lightning at Winnipeg Jets: the Jets won 4-3.

DateGameScoreWinner
8 Nov 2026Tampa Bay Lightning @ Winnipeg Jets4–3Winnipeg Jets
29 Oct 2026Winnipeg Jets @ Tampa Bay Lightning6–4Tampa Bay Lightning
6 Mar 2026Tampa Bay Lightning @ Winnipeg Jets4–1Winnipeg Jets
30 Jan 2026Winnipeg Jets @ Tampa Bay Lightning4–1Tampa Bay Lightning
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