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Model picks & player props
Winnipeg Jets
VS
Tampa Bay Lightning

Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 1:08AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NHL
Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay
Indoor
Fri 30 Jan 2026, 12:00AM
2
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Winnipeg Jets 1.5 Spread -161

The model graded 2 markets for Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $162 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 30 Jan 2026, 12:00AM at Benchmark International Arena.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win72.6%
The price says61.7%
Best price-161
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Winnipeg Jets 1.5 High73% chance -161
Total Goals High99% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Winnipeg Jets
+1.5
-161
+ 1 more market
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All 2 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,376+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Winnipeg JetsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Winnipeg Jets

  • Elias Salomonsson DOut
  • Neal Pionk DOut
  • Vladislav Namestnikov COut
  • Gustav Nyquist RWOut
  • Alex Iafallo LWOut
  • Morgan Barron COut

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Pontus Holmberg RWOut
Availability updated May 5, 4:10PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Tampa Bay LightningNo line posted

Winnipeg Jets @ Tampa Bay Lightning moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineWinnipeg Jets +1.5No line posted

Winnipeg Jets @ Tampa Bay Lightning puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Winnipeg Jets @ Tampa Bay Lightning total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Winnipeg Jets @ Tampa Bay Lightning — what the model found

Our model graded 2 betting markets for Winnipeg Jets at Tampa Bay Lightning — 2 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 2 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 1 graded call for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning — recent results

Tampa Bay Lightning have won 2 of their last 5 games; Winnipeg Jets have won 1 of their last 5.

Tampa Bay Lightning — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2MTLHome
W1–0MTLAway
L2–3MTLHome
W3–2MTLAway
L2–3MTLAway
Winnipeg Jets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–6SJHome
L3–5UTAAway
L2–6VGKAway
L1–7PHIHome
W3–2STLAway

Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Tampa Bay Lightning won 1, Winnipeg Jets won 1.

DateTampa Bay LightningWinnipeg JetsWinner
Mar 614Winnipeg Jets
Jan 3041Tampa Bay Lightning

Who’s out or in doubt

7 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Pontus Holmberg RWOUT
Winnipeg Jets
PlayerStatus
Elias Salomonsson DOUT
Neal Pionk DOUT
Vladislav Namestnikov COUT
Gustav Nyquist RWOUT
Alex Iafallo LWOUT
Morgan Barron COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Winnipeg Jets @ Tampa Bay Lightning — model preview

Unlock potential winning bets for Tampa Bay Lightning playing Winnipeg Jets. Includes analysis on key players like Connor Hellebuyck. Analysis includes NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets stats and odds.

Connor Hellebuyck (Winnipeg Jets) Over 23.5 Saves (-130)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Jets vs Lightning, or as Lightning vs Jets. The most recent game between them was Friday 30 January 2026 at Benchmark International Arena. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Even at 1–1 across the last 2 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
6 Mar 2026Tampa Bay Lightning @ Winnipeg Jets4–1Winnipeg Jets
30 Jan 2026Winnipeg Jets @ Tampa Bay Lightning4–1Tampa Bay Lightning
Today's selected board

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