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Model picks & player props
NHL
UBS Arena, New York
Indoor
Sat 10 Oct 2026, 7:30 PM ET
Tampa Bay Lightning
VS
New York Islanders

Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 21 markets for Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders and backs New York Islanders hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $310.

20
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
New York Islanders
New York Islanders 3-Way Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$31.00Best price+210
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win34.3%
The price says32.3%

The model graded 21 markets for Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $310 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 10 Oct 2026, 7:30 PM ET at UBS Arena.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
3-Way Moneyline New York Islanders Long-shot34% chance +210
2nd Period Moneyline Members only Lean44% chance Members
3rd Period Moneyline Members only Lean43% chance Members
2nd Period 3-Way Moneyline Members only Long-shot30% chance Members
3rd Period 3-Way Moneyline Members only Long-shot30% chance Members
3rd Period Puck Line Members only Lean56% chance Members
2nd Period Puck Lines Members only Long-shot12% chance Members
2nd Period Puck Line Members only Lean58% chance Members
Total Goals Members only Lean49% chance Members
Points × 1 prop Long-shotup to 12% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Tampa Bay Lightning and New York Islanders last met on Sat 10 Oct 2026: Tampa Bay Lightning won 5-3. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NHL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
3-Way Moneyline
New York Islanders
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 1 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 72,711+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
New York Islanders3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York Islanders2nd Period MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York Islanders3rd Period MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York Islanders2nd Period 3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York Islanders3rd Period 3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York Islanders3rd Period Puck LineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York Islanders2nd Period Puck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York Islanders2nd Period Puck LineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York Islanders3rd Period Puck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York Islanders3rd Period Puck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York IslandersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York IslandersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York Islanders2nd Period Puck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York Islanders3rd Period Puck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Zemgus Girgensons CDay-to-day
  • Yanni Gourde COut

New York Islanders

  • Ryan Pulock DDay-to-day
  • Matias Maccelli LWOut
  • Calum Ritchie COut
  • Alexander Romanov DOut
  • Mathew Barzal COut
Availability updated Oct 30, 1:17PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Tony DeAngelo New York Islanders Points

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans New York IslandersNo line posted
3-2last 5 record
GF/G3.0GA/G3.0Shots/G26.8vs Lightning2-3

Tampa Bay Lightning @ New York Islanders moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineNew York Islanders +1.5No line posted
3-2last 5 record
GF/G3.0GA/G3.0Shots/G26.8vs Lightning2-3

Tampa Bay Lightning @ New York Islanders puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ New York Islanders total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Tampa Bay Lightning @ New York Islanders — what the model found

Our model graded 21 betting markets for Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders — 20 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 21 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 20 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders — recent results

New York Islanders have won 3 of their last 5 games; Tampa Bay Lightning have won 3 of their last 5.

New York Islanders — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–3MINAway
W4–3NSHAway
L3–6DALAway
L2–3LAHome
W3–2ANAHome
Tampa Bay Lightning — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W6–4WPGHome
L4–5UTAAway
L3–6COLAway
W6–2VGKAway
W4–2VANHome

Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: New York Islanders won 0, Tampa Bay Lightning won 1.

DateNew York IslandersTampa Bay LightningWinner
Oct 1035Tampa Bay Lightning

Who’s out or in doubt

7 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Islanders
PlayerStatus
Ryan Pulock DDAY-TO-DAY
Matias Maccelli LWOUT
Calum Ritchie COUT
Alexander Romanov DOUT
Mathew Barzal COUT
Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Zemgus Girgensons CDAY-TO-DAY
Yanni Gourde COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Tampa Bay Lightning @ New York Islanders — model preview

New York Islanders v Tampa Bay Lightning, 11 October 2026. Top of the list: New York Islanders h2h_p2. Our model likes 6 bets in this game.

On October 10, 2026 our model has run Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Over 5.5 Total Goals (-112), which we rate lean confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 4 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Lightning vs Islanders, or as Islanders vs Lightning. The most recent game between them was Saturday 10 October 2026 at UBS Arena. The model has generated 20 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 10 Oct 2026Tampa Bay Lightning beat New York Islanders 5-3 on the road

Tampa Bay Lightning: last 5 results

  1. 29 Oct 2026Wonvs Winnipeg Jets 6-4
  2. 24 Oct 2026Lostat Utah Mammoth 4-5
  3. 23 Oct 2026Lostat Colorado Avalanche 3-6
  4. 20 Oct 2026Wonat Vegas Golden Knights 6-2
  5. 17 Oct 2026Wonvs Vancouver Canucks 4-2

New York Islanders: last 5 results

  1. 29 Oct 2026Wonat Minnesota Wild 4-3
  2. 27 Oct 2026Wonat Nashville Predators 4-3
  3. 25 Oct 2026Lostat Dallas Stars 3-6
  4. 22 Oct 2026Lostvs Los Angeles Kings 2-3
  5. 20 Oct 2026Wonvs Anaheim Ducks 3-2

Quick answers

Who won the last New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning game? Tampa Bay Lightning won their last meeting 5-3 on 10 October 2026.

How have Tampa Bay Lightning and New York Islanders done lately? Tampa Bay Lightning won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold. New York Islanders won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Tampa Bay Lightning 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Sat 10 Oct 2026, Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders: the Lightning won 5-3.

DateGameScoreWinner
10 Oct 2026Tampa Bay Lightning @ New York Islanders3–5Tampa Bay Lightning
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