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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ilya Sorokin is Over 22.5 on Saves.
On the Saves market the model assigns a model win probability of 56%, versus the book's implied 52%, for a model edge of +4.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:07PM UTC
NHL

Ilya Sorokin

New York Islanders

+4.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Saves Over 22.5 -108 (1.93)
+4.0% Edge
Toronto Maple Leafs @ New York Islanders
UBS Arena, New York, FUT · Indoor
Thu 9 Apr, 10:45PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
55.8%
Implied Probability
51.8%
Model Edge
+4.0%
Predicted Value
24.1 Saves

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Saves55.8%51.8%1.79+4.0%

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AI Analysis

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Ilya Sorokin (New York Islanders) Over 22.5 Saves (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the New York Islanders prepare to skate on their home ice against the Toronto Maple Leafs this Thursday, all eyes are on Ilya Sorokin. While Sorokin's home stats might not initially wow you, with an average of 19 saves over his last five home games, we're seeing an uptick in his overall performance. Across his last five games, regardless of venue, he's been stopping an average of 24.6 shots. His tenacity is undeniable, and it's been paying off – he's hit the over in 14 of his last 20 games. Now, we know the Leafs are no lightweights when it comes to peppering the net, and Sorokin will certainly have his work cut out for him. However, given his solid performance and the Leafs' persistent attacking style, Sorokin has a great shot at making over 22.5 saves. So, let's ride the momentum and back Sorokin to go over his total saves line.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
SavesModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
24.1projected saves (model)
Line22.5Model proj24.1Last oppTORListed12

Ilya Sorokin (New York Islanders) NHL Saves: BetBetter's model projects 24.1 saves against a market line of 22.5 vs TOR. 12 matchups tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Apr 26 Toronto Maple Leafs @ New York Islanders Saves 22.5 Over -108 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Ilya Sorokin (New York Islanders) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ilya Sorokin is Over 22.5 on Saves. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.0% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders on Thursday 9 April at UBS Arena, New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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