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Model picks & player props
NHL
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Indoor
Sat 17 Oct 2026, 7:00 PM ET
New York Islanders
VS
Toronto Maple Leafs

New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 20 markets for New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs and backs Over 1.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $200.

20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Over 1.5 1st period total goals
Over 1.5 1st Period Total Goals
You bet$10 If it wins$20.00Best price+100
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win58.0%
The price says50.0%

The model graded 20 markets for New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $200 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 17 Oct 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
1st Period Total Goals Over 1.5 Lean58% chance +100
Total Goals Members only High81% chance Members
2nd Period Total Goals Members only High64% chance Members
3-Way Moneyline Members only Long-shot34% chance Members
Spread Members only High67% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean41% chance Members
Puck Lines Members only High80% chance Members
2nd Period 3-Way Moneyline Members only Long-shot27% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

New York Islanders and Toronto Maple Leafs last met on Sat 17 Oct 2026: New York Islanders won 4-1. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NHL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
1st Period Total Goals
Over
1.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Over1st Period Total GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Over2nd Period Total GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York Islanders3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York IslandersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York IslandersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York IslandersPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York IslandersPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York Islanders2nd Period 3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Islanders

  • Ryan Pulock DDay-to-day
  • Matias Maccelli LWOut
  • Calum Ritchie COut
  • Alexander Romanov DOut
  • Mathew Barzal COut

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Kirill Marchenko RWOut
  • Miles Wood LWOut
  • Chris Tanev DOut
  • Nick Blankenburg DOut
  • Marshall Rifai DOut
  • John Tavares COut
  • Max Domi COut
  • Cade Webber DOut
  • Elvis Merzlikins GOut
  • William Villeneuve DOut
Availability updated Oct 30, 1:07AM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 15 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability15 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans New York IslandersNo line posted
3-2last 5 record
GF/G3.0GA/G3.0Shots/G26.8vs Leafs2-3

New York Islanders @ Toronto Maple Leafs moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineNew York Islanders +1.5No line posted
3-2last 5 record
GF/G3.0GA/G3.0Shots/G26.8vs Leafs2-3

New York Islanders @ Toronto Maple Leafs puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

New York Islanders @ Toronto Maple Leafs total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

New York Islanders @ Toronto Maple Leafs — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs — recent results

Toronto Maple Leafs have won 3 of their last 5 games; New York Islanders have won 3 of their last 5.

Toronto Maple Leafs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–5SEAAway
L2–5CGYAway
W7–2EDMAway
W5–4NYRHome
W6–2CBJAway
New York Islanders — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–3MINAway
W4–3NSHAway
L3–6DALAway
L2–3LAHome
W3–2ANAHome

New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs — recent meetings

These two have met 5 times recently: Toronto Maple Leafs won 1, New York Islanders won 4.

DateToronto Maple LeafsNew York IslandersWinner
Oct 1714New York Islanders
Sep 3021Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 935New York Islanders
Mar 1713New York Islanders
Jan 434New York Islanders

Who’s out or in doubt

15 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Toronto Maple Leafs
PlayerStatus
Kirill Marchenko RWOUT
Miles Wood LWOUT
Chris Tanev DOUT
Nick Blankenburg DOUT
Marshall Rifai DOUT
John Tavares COUT
Max Domi COUT
Cade Webber DOUT
New York Islanders
PlayerStatus
Ryan Pulock DDAY-TO-DAY
Matias Maccelli LWOUT
Calum Ritchie COUT
Alexander Romanov DOUT
Mathew Barzal COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Islanders @ Toronto Maple Leafs — model preview

Toronto Maple Leafs v New York Islanders, 18 October 2026. Top of the list: Matthew Schaefer (New York Islanders) Over 0.5 Points.

On October 17, 2026 our model has run New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is New York Islanders To Win (+110), which we rate long shot confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Islanders vs Leafs, or as Leafs vs Islanders. The most recent game between them was Saturday 17 October 2026 at Scotiabank Arena. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 17 Oct 2026New York Islanders beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4-1 on the road
  • 30 Sep 2026Toronto Maple Leafs beat New York Islanders 2-1 at home
  • 9 Apr 2026New York Islanders beat Toronto Maple Leafs 5-3 at home

New York Islanders: last 5 results

  1. 29 Oct 2026Wonat Minnesota Wild 4-3
  2. 27 Oct 2026Wonat Nashville Predators 4-3
  3. 25 Oct 2026Lostat Dallas Stars 3-6
  4. 22 Oct 2026Lostvs Los Angeles Kings 2-3
  5. 20 Oct 2026Wonvs Anaheim Ducks 3-2

Toronto Maple Leafs: last 5 results

  1. 28 Oct 2026Lostat Seattle Kraken 4-5
  2. 26 Oct 2026Lostat Calgary Flames 2-5
  3. 24 Oct 2026Wonat Edmonton Oilers 7-2
  4. 22 Oct 2026Wonvs New York Rangers 5-4
  5. 20 Oct 2026Wonat Columbus Blue Jackets 6-2

Quick answers

Who won the last Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders game? New York Islanders won their last meeting 4-1 on 17 October 2026.

How have New York Islanders and Toronto Maple Leafs done lately? New York Islanders won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold. Toronto Maple Leafs won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs head-to-head record

Final scores · 5 meetings on record
New York Islanders 4–1 across the last 5 meetings · these games average 5.4 goals

Last meeting: Sat 17 Oct 2026, New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs: the Islanders won 4-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
17 Oct 2026New York Islanders @ Toronto Maple Leafs1–4New York Islanders
30 Sep 2026New York Islanders @ Toronto Maple Leafs2–1Toronto Maple Leafs
9 Apr 2026Toronto Maple Leafs @ New York Islanders5–3New York Islanders
17 Mar 2026New York Islanders @ Toronto Maple Leafs1–3New York Islanders
4 Jan 2026Toronto Maple Leafs @ New York Islanders4–3New York Islanders
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