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Model picks & player props
NHL
PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Indoor
Sat 10 Oct 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Dallas Stars
VS
Pittsburgh Penguins

Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 21 markets for Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins and backs Pittsburgh Penguins 1.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $154.

19
Game markets graded
2
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Pittsburgh Penguins
with a 1.5-goal head start
Pittsburgh Penguins 1.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$15.41Best price-185
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win61.3%
The price says63.1%

The model graded 21 markets for Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $154 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 10 Oct 2026, 7:00 PM ET at PPG Paints Arena.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Pittsburgh Penguins 1.5 High61% chance -185
Puck Lines Members only High63% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot36% chance Members
3-Way Moneyline Members only Long-shot31% chance Members
3rd Period Moneyline Members only Long-shot38% chance Members
3rd Period Puck Line Members only Lean51% chance Members
2nd Period Moneyline Members only Long-shot37% chance Members
3rd Period 3-Way Moneyline Members only Long-shot27% chance Members
2nd Period 3-Way Moneyline Members only Long-shot26% chance Members
Saves × 1 prop Highup to 61% Members
Shots on Goal × 1 prop Leanup to 44% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Dallas Stars and Pittsburgh Penguins last met on Sat 10 Oct 2026: Pittsburgh Penguins won 2-1. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NHL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Pittsburgh Penguins
+1.5
+ 18 more markets
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All 19 game markets and 2 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 71,685+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Pittsburgh PenguinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PenguinsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PenguinsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PenguinsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas StarsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh Penguins3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh Penguins3rd Period MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh Penguins3rd Period Puck LineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh Penguins2nd Period MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PenguinsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh Penguins3rd Period 3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PenguinsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh Penguins2nd Period 3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PenguinsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh Penguins3rd Period Puck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PenguinsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh Penguins3rd Period Puck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Dallas Stars

  • Oskar Back COut
  • Esa Lindell DOut
  • Sam Steel COut
  • Radek Faksa CDay-to-day
  • Matt Duchene COut
  • Luke Krys DOut
  • Cameron Hughes COut

Pittsburgh Penguins

  • Evgeni Malkin CDay-to-day
  • Egor Chinakhov RWDay-to-day
  • Samuel Girard DOut
  • Bryan Rust RWOut
  • Ben Kindel COut
  • Trevor van Riemsdyk DOut
  • Justin Brazeau RWOut
  • Ryan Graves DOut
Availability updated Oct 25, 1:09PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 15 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability15 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jake Oettinger Dallas Stars Saves
Evgeni Malkin Pittsburgh Penguins Shots on Goal

+ 2 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Pittsburgh PenguinsNo line posted

Dallas Stars @ Pittsburgh Penguins moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LinePittsburgh Penguins +1.5No line posted

Dallas Stars @ Pittsburgh Penguins puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Dallas Stars @ Pittsburgh Penguins total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Dallas Stars @ Pittsburgh Penguins — what the model found

Our model graded 21 betting markets for Dallas Stars at Pittsburgh Penguins — 19 on the game itself and 2 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

19
Game markets graded
2
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 21 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 20 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins — recent results

Pittsburgh Penguins have won 2 of their last 5 games; Dallas Stars have won 4 of their last 5.

Pittsburgh Penguins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–2NSHHome
W4–0FLAHome
L4–5UTAAway
L2–6VGKAway
L2–5COLAway
Dallas Stars — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–2WPGHome
W3–2BOSHome
W4–0CHIAway
W3–2COLAway
L2–3COLHome

Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Pittsburgh Penguins won 1, Dallas Stars won 1.

DatePittsburgh PenguinsDallas StarsWinner
Oct 1021Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 2836Dallas Stars

Who’s out or in doubt

15 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Pittsburgh Penguins
PlayerStatus
Evgeni Malkin CDAY-TO-DAY
Egor Chinakhov RWDAY-TO-DAY
Samuel Girard DOUT
Bryan Rust RWOUT
Ben Kindel COUT
Trevor van Riemsdyk DOUT
Justin Brazeau RWOUT
Ryan Graves DOUT
Dallas Stars
PlayerStatus
Oskar Back COUT
Esa Lindell DOUT
Sam Steel COUT
Radek Faksa CDAY-TO-DAY
Matt Duchene COUT
Luke Krys DOUT
Cameron Hughes COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Dallas Stars @ Pittsburgh Penguins — model preview

Pittsburgh Penguins v Dallas Stars, 11 October 2026. Top of the list: Rickard Rakell (Pittsburgh Penguins) Over 0.5 Points. Here is why, in plain English.

On October 10, 2026 our model has run Dallas Stars at Pittsburgh Penguins and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Pittsburgh Penguins To Win (+150), which we rate lean confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Stars vs Penguins, or as Penguins vs Stars. The most recent game between them was Saturday 10 October 2026 at PPG Paints Arena. The model has generated 19 game picks and 2 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Even at 1–1 across the last 2 meetings

Last meeting: Sat 10 Oct 2026, Dallas Stars at Pittsburgh Penguins: the Penguins won 2-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
10 Oct 2026Dallas Stars @ Pittsburgh Penguins2–1Pittsburgh Penguins
28 Mar 2026Dallas Stars @ Pittsburgh Penguins3–6Dallas Stars
Today's selected board

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