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Model picks & player props
Dallas Stars
VS
Pittsburgh Penguins

Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins Picks & Predictions

Model updated Oct 3, 1:37AM UTC

Our model graded 4 markets for Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins and backs Pittsburgh Penguins 1.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $143.

NHL
PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Indoor
Sat 28 Mar 2026, 9:00PM
4
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Pittsburgh Penguins 1.5 Spread -233

The model graded 4 markets for Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $143 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 28 Mar 2026, 9:00PM at PPG Paints Arena.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win78.5%
The price says69.9%
Best price-233
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Pittsburgh Penguins 1.5 High79% chance -233
Moneyline Members only High66% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NHL game on today's board →

Dallas Stars and Pittsburgh Penguins last met on Sat 28 Mar 2026. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every NHL game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Dallas Stars · $100 returned $170

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Pittsburgh Penguins
+1.5
-233
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Pittsburgh PenguinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas StarsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Dallas Stars

  • Matt Duchene COut
  • Harrison Scott COut
  • Luke Krys DOut
  • Cameron Hughes COut
  • Tristan Bertucci DOut
  • Jaxon Fuder COut

Pittsburgh Penguins

  • Ben Kindel COut
  • Blake Lizotte CDay-to-day
  • Bryan Rust RWOut
  • Justin Brazeau RWOut
  • Ryan Graves DOut
Availability updated Oct 1, 6:03PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 11 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability11 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Dallas StarsNo line posted
2-3last 5 record
GF/G2.8GA/G3.4Shots/G31.6vs Penguins4-1

Dallas Stars @ Pittsburgh Penguins moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LinePittsburgh Penguins +1.5No line posted
6-5Free board · puck line
L53-2GF/G3.2GA/G2.0Shots/G30.4vs Stars2-3

Dallas Stars @ Pittsburgh Penguins puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Dallas Stars @ Pittsburgh Penguins total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Dallas Stars @ Pittsburgh Penguins — what the model found

Our model graded 4 betting markets for Dallas Stars at Pittsburgh Penguins — 4 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 4 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 3 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins — recent results

Pittsburgh Penguins have won 3 of their last 5 games; Dallas Stars have won 4 of their last 5.

Pittsburgh Penguins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–0PHIAway
W3–1BUFAway
L0–4CBJAway
L4–7DETHome
W4–1BUFHome
Dallas Stars — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W2–1MINAway
W2–0MINHome
W2–1STLHome
W2–1STLAway
L2–5MINAway

Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Pittsburgh Penguins won 0, Dallas Stars won 1.

DatePittsburgh PenguinsDallas StarsWinner
Mar 2836Dallas Stars

Who’s out or in doubt

11 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Pittsburgh Penguins
PlayerStatus
Ben Kindel COUT
Blake Lizotte CDAY-TO-DAY
Bryan Rust RWOUT
Justin Brazeau RWOUT
Ryan Graves DOUT
Dallas Stars
PlayerStatus
Matt Duchene COUT
Harrison Scott COUT
Luke Krys DOUT
Cameron Hughes COUT
Tristan Bertucci DOUT
Jaxon Fuder COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
28 Mar 26 Moneyline Dallas Stars ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Stars vs Penguins, or as Penguins vs Stars. The most recent game between them was Saturday 28 March 2026 at PPG Paints Arena. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Dallas Stars 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
28 Mar 2026Dallas Stars @ Pittsburgh Penguins3–6Dallas Stars

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