Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Model picks & player props
MLB
Nationals Park, Washington
Outdoor
Sun 27 Sep 2026, 3:05 PM ET
New York Mets
VS
Washington Nationals

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for New York Mets vs Washington Nationals and backs Washington Nationals hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $194.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
You bet$10 If it wins$19.43Best price-106
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win51.0%
The price says49.8%

The model graded 70 markets for New York Mets vs Washington Nationals (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $194 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 27 Sep 2026, 3:05 PM ET at Nationals Park.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Washington Nationals Lean51% chance -106
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot11% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean46% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Long-shot7% chance Members
Spread Members only Long-shot21% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot8% chance Members
Pitcher - Outs × 1 prop Highup to 69% Members
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 2 props Highup to 84% Members
Batter - RBIs × 6 props Leanup to 41% Members
Batter - Strikeouts × 1 prop Long-shotup to 16% Members
Batter - Hits × 11 props Leanup to 46% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 8 props Leanup to 51% Members
Batter - Walks × 2 props Long-shotup to 32% Members
Batter - Singles × 3 props Long-shotup to 13% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

New York Mets and Washington Nationals last met on Sun 27 Sep 2026: Washington Nationals won 6-4. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

Unlock every pick for this game

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
Washington Nationals
+ 19 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,149+ members.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Washington NationalsMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsMoneylineThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Mets

  • Jared Young 1BOut
  • Reed Garrett RPOut
  • Tylor Megill SPOut
  • Jonathan Pintaro RPOut
  • Christian Scott SPOut
  • Daniel Duarte RPOut
  • Robert Stock SPOut
  • Jorge Polanco DHOut

Washington Nationals

  • Matt Waldron RPOut
  • Drew Millas COut
  • Orlando Ribalta RPOut
  • PJ Poulin RPOut
  • Mitchell Parker RPOut
  • Ken Waldichuk RPOut
Availability updated Oct 1, 5:19PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Mets vs Washington Nationals: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 14 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability14 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
DJ Herz Pitcher - Outs
Sean Manaea Pitcher - Strikeouts
Jacob Young Batter - RBIs
Nasim Nunez WSN Batter - Strikeouts
Dylan Crews Batter - Hits

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

Unlock every player prop for this game

The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

Bet Better Unlock player props
Cancel anytime

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineWashington NationalsNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.4L5 RA5.0Home L53-2vs New York Mets L51-4

Washington Nationals moneyline form: last five 3-2, 3.4 runs/gm.

Run LineWashington Nationals run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.4L5 RA5.0Home L53-2vs New York Mets L51-4

Washington Nationals spread form: last five 3-2, 3.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Washington Nationals vs New York MetsNo line posted

Washington Nationals total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsWashington Nationals team totalNo line posted
3.3runs we expect
L5 RF3.4L5 RA5.0Home L53-2vs New York Mets L51-4

Washington Nationals team total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.4 runs/gm.

New York Mets @ Washington Nationals — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for New York Mets at Washington Nationals — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals — recent results

Washington Nationals have won 4 of their last 5 games; New York Mets have won 2 of their last 5.

Washington Nationals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W6–4NYMHome
L1–7NYMHome
W7–6NYMHome
W4–2DETAway
W3–1DETAway
New York Mets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–6WSHAway
W7–1WSHAway
L6–7WSHAway
W7–2TEXAway
L1–3TEXAway

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: Washington Nationals won 4, New York Mets won 6.

DateWashington NationalsNew York MetsWinner
Sep 2764Washington Nationals
Sep 2617New York Mets
Sep 2576Washington Nationals
Aug 1634New York Mets
Aug 1545New York Mets
Aug 1414New York Mets
May 2112New York Mets
May 2084Washington Nationals
May 1996Washington Nationals
May 18716New York Mets

Who’s out or in doubt

14 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Washington Nationals
PlayerStatus
Matt Waldron RPOUT
Drew Millas COUT
Orlando Ribalta RPOUT
PJ Poulin RPOUT
Mitchell Parker RPOUT
Ken Waldichuk RPOUT
New York Mets
PlayerStatus
Jared Young 1BOUT
Reed Garrett RPOUT
Tylor Megill SPOUT
Jonathan Pintaro RPOUT
Christian Scott SPOUT
Daniel Duarte RPOUT
Robert Stock SPOUT
Jorge Polanco DHOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

New York Mets @ Washington Nationals — model preview

Our New York Mets at Washington Nationals prediction for September 27, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 27, 2026 our model has run New York Mets at Washington Nationals and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Francisco Alvarez (NYM) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-217), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Mets vs Washington Nationals in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Mets vs Nationals, or as Nationals vs Mets. The most recent game between them was Sunday 27 September 2026 at Nationals Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals head-to-head record

Final scores · 75 meetings on record
New York Mets 39–35 across the last 75 meetings · 1 draw · these games average 9.8 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sun 27 Sep 2026, New York Mets at Washington Nationals: the Nationals won 6-4.

DateGameScoreWinner
27 Sep 2026New York Mets @ Washington Nationals6–4Washington Nationals
26 Sep 2026New York Mets @ Washington Nationals1–7New York Mets
25 Sep 2026New York Mets @ Washington Nationals7–6Washington Nationals
16 Aug 2026Washington Nationals @ New York Mets4–3New York Mets
15 Aug 2026Washington Nationals @ New York Mets5–4New York Mets
14 Aug 2026Washington Nationals @ New York Mets4–1New York Mets
21 May 2026New York Mets @ Washington Nationals1–2New York Mets
20 May 2026New York Mets @ Washington Nationals8–4Washington Nationals
19 May 2026New York Mets @ Washington Nationals9–6Washington Nationals
18 May 2026New York Mets @ Washington Nationals7–16New York Mets

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 75 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.