On Saturday 3 October 2026, Liverpool play Manchester City in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Manchester City +0 Goal Handicap, priced at -120 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Liverpool vs Manchester City: Manchester City +0 Goal Handicap (-120)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing As Liverpool gears up to face Manchester City, the stats tell a compelling story that leans heavily in favor of the visitors. Liverpool has struggled at home recently, with just one win in their last five matches at Anfield, averaging a mere 1.4 goals per game. On the flip side, City is riding high on an impressive five-match winning streak, scoring 2.6 goals per game and showcasing a potent attack that has registered 17.4 shots per outing away from home. Recent encounters between these two have seen City hold their own, too, with two wins in the last five meetings. Liverpool’s shaky defense, coupled with City's relentless form, suggests that backing Manchester City on a handicap of 0 is a savvy play. Given their attacking prowess and Liverpool's recent woes, City looks poised to capitalize and leave Anfield with at least a point—if not more.
Liverpool vs Manchester City: Manchester City Moneyline (+155)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing As Liverpool hosts Manchester City, the scales tip in favor of the visitors. Manchester City is riding a wave of momentum, boasting an impressive five-game winning streak that has them averaging 2.6 goals per match while conceding just one. Their attacking prowess, evident in 17.4 shots per game away, keeps them constantly threatening. Liverpool, on the other hand, has struggled at Anfield recently, with just two wins in their last five home matches and a modest scoring average of 1.4 per game. Their recent form shows a decline in creativity and goal-scoring, reflected in a concerning 15.2 shots but only 4.2 on target at home. Considering Manchester City’s overall dominance and their strong head-to-head record against Liverpool, a bet on City to win seems not just wise, but almost inevitable in this clash of titans.
That is how our model reads Liverpool v Manchester City. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.