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Model picks & player props
Tennis
Sun 11 Oct 2026, 7:10 AM ET
Frances Tiafoe
VS
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Frances Tiafoe vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 10 markets for Frances Tiafoe vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and backs Under 22 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $238.

9
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Under 22 total games
Under 22 Total Games
You bet$10 If it wins$23.80Best price+138
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win49.5%
The price says40.5%

The model graded 10 markets for Frances Tiafoe vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $238 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 11 Oct 2026, 7:10 AM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Games Under 22 Lean49% chance +138
Total Games Members only High61% chance Members
Spread Members only Long-shot40% chance Members
Moneyline × 1 prop Leanup to 51% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Tennis game on today's board →

Frances Tiafoe and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina last met on Sun 11 Oct 2026. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every Tennis game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Games
Under
23.5
-128
+ 8 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alejandro Davidovich FokinaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alejandro Davidovich FokinaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alejandro Davidovich FokinaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Frances Tiafoe

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Frances Tiafoe vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GamesAlejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances TiafoeNo line posted
61%model under %
1.91fair price
PickUnder 23.5Model61.1%Fair1.91Odds-128

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe — Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 23.5 at -128, fair price 1.91; our model makes it 61.1% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Game HandicapAlejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances TiafoeNo line posted
54%model cover %
1.95fair price
PickAlejandro Davidovich Fokina 0.5Model53.7%Fair1.95Odds-120

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe — Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 0.5 at -120, fair price 1.95; our model makes it 53.7% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Frances Tiafoe @ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina — what the model found

Our model graded 10 betting markets for Frances Tiafoe at Alejandro Davidovich Fokina — 9 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

9
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 10 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 9 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Frances Tiafoe vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Tiafoe vs Fokina, or as Fokina vs Tiafoe. The most recent game between them was Sunday 11 October 2026. The model has generated 9 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Frances Tiafoe vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 11 Oct 2026Alejandro Davidovich Fokina beat Frances Tiafoe 7-6 4-6 7-6 at Shanghai Masters
  • 22 Mar 2025Frances Tiafoe beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 7-5 7-6 at Miami Open
  • 27 Feb 2025Alejandro Davidovich Fokina beat Frances Tiafoe 6-3 6-7 6-3 at Abierto Mexicano

Frances Tiafoe: last 5 matches

  1. 28 Oct 2026Lostvs Lorenzo Musetti 7-6 7-5Erste Bank Open · 1st Round
  2. 11 Oct 2026Lostvs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 7-6 4-6 7-6Shanghai Masters · 3rd Round · Hard
  3. 9 Oct 2026Wonvs Yannick Hanfmann 6-4 6-4Shanghai Masters · 2nd Round · Hard
  4. 2 Oct 2026Lostvs Arthur Fils 6-3 7-5Japan Open Tennis Championships · 2nd Round · Hard
  5. 1 Oct 2026Wonvs Kei Nishikori 6-4 6-4Japan Open Tennis Championships · 1st Round · Hard

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: last 5 matches

  1. 18 Oct 2026Wonvs Rafael Jodar 1-6 7-6 6-4Shanghai Masters · Final · Hard
  2. 17 Oct 2026Wonvs Alexander Zverev 5-7 6-4 6-3Shanghai Masters · Semifinals · Hard
  3. 15 Oct 2026Wonvs Arthur Gea 4-1 stopped earlyShanghai Masters · Quarterfinals · Hard
  4. 13 Oct 2026Wonvs Hubert Hurkacz 1-6 6-3 7-6Shanghai Masters · 4th Round · Hard
  5. 11 Oct 2026Wonvs Frances Tiafoe 7-6 4-6 7-6Shanghai Masters · 3rd Round · Hard

Quick answers

Who won the last Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe match? Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won their last meeting 7-6 4-6 7-6 at Shanghai Masters on 11 October 2026.

How have Frances Tiafoe and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina done lately? Frances Tiafoe won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 matches we hold. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won 5 and lost 0 of the last 5 matches we hold.

Main-tour matches only. Qualifying and most smaller events are left out.

Head-to-head record

Completed matches · last 5 meetings
Frances Tiafoe 3–2 across the last 5 meetings
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
11 Oct 2026Alejandro Davidovich Fokina7-6 4-6 7-6Shanghai Masters · 3rd RoundHard
22 Mar 2025Frances Tiafoe7-5 7-6Miami Open · 2nd RoundHard
27 Feb 2025Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-3 6-7 6-3Abierto Mexicano · 2nd RoundHard
13 Aug 2024Frances Tiafoe6-3 7-6Western & Southern Financial Group Masters · 1st RoundHard
29 Apr 2022Frances Tiafoe7-6 5-7 7-5Millennium Estoril Open · QuarterfinalsClay
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