Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders Prediction & Picks

On October 10, 2026 our model has run Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Over 5.5 Total Goals (-112), which we rate lean confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Over 5.5 Total Goals (-112)

For the bet to win, the total goals scored in the game between the New York Islanders and the Tampa Bay Lightning needs to be more than 5.5. The Lightning have been scoring well lately, winning 5 out of their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Islanders are struggling, with only 3 wins in their last 10. This means both teams might find the net a few times. The matchup is rated as close to a coin flip, so it's not a sure thing. A real concern is that the Islanders have some players who are still getting used to playing at this level, with many not reaching ten games yet. Still, with the Lightning's strong recent form, this game could see quite a few goals.

New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning: New York Islanders 2nd Period Moneyline (+126)

The odds for the New York Islanders to win the second period are looking promising at +126. They are playing at home, which usually gives a nice boost. While the Islanders have only won three out of their last ten games, they are facing the Tampa Bay Lightning, who have won five of their last ten. This matchup is nearly even, making it a bit of a toss-up. The risk here is that the Islanders have had some struggles this season, with many players still getting used to the team. However, home ice might give them the spark they need. Given the close nature of this game, a bet on the Islanders to take the second period could pay off nicely.

New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning: New York Islanders 3rd Period Moneyline (+128)

The odds for the New York Islanders to win the third period are tempting at +128, especially since they are playing at home in UBS Arena. While they've only won 3 of their last 10 games, this matchup is rated close to even, which means it could go either way. The Tampa Bay Lightning have won 5 of their last 10, but they have a lot of players who shoot left, which could affect their scoring chances. One big concern is that the Islanders have not had the best run lately, which makes this a risky bet. However, home ice could give them a boost, and they might feel more comfortable in front of their fans. If they can find a way to score in the third period, they could surprise the Lightning. Just keep in mind that both teams are looking for a win.

New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Tony DeAngelo Over 1.5 Points (+1600)

For Tony DeAngelo to score more than 1.5 points tonight, he needs to have a big game against the New York Islanders. The Islanders have struggled lately, winning only 3 out of their last 10 games, which could give DeAngelo a chance to shine. Plus, the Tampa Bay Lightning have had better form, winning 5 out of their last 10, so there's a good chance they'll be creating scoring opportunities. However, it is important to note that DeAngelo is still adjusting to his new team, and this could be a close match. The Islanders have some solid defenders, which might make it tough for him to rack up points. Still, with the Lightning's strong offense, DeAngelo could find ways to contribute and surprise everyone tonight.

That is the full board for this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

On Sunday 11 October 2026, New York Islanders play Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Ilya Sorokin (New York Islanders) Over 19.5 Saves, priced at -455 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Ilya Sorokin (New York Islanders) Over 19.5 Saves (-455)

New York Islanders play Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL. The bet we are looking at is Ilya Sorokin (New York Islanders) Over 19.5 Saves. It was priced at -455 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Anthony Cirelli (Tampa Bay Lightning) Over 0.5 Shots On Goal (-357)

New York Islanders play Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL. The bet we are looking at is Anthony Cirelli (Tampa Bay Lightning) Over 0.5 Shots On Goal. It was priced at -357 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads New York Islanders v Tampa Bay Lightning. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.