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Model picks & player props
Oklahoma City Thunder
VS
Portland Trail Blazers

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:23AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
3
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Under 132.5 (Team Total Points)
For Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers (NBA), model win probability 96.2%, fair odds 1.04, book price -588, model edge +10.7%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Team Total Points
Under
132.5
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Oklahoma City ThunderPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • Otega Oweh GDay-to-day
  • Aday Mara CDay-to-day
  • Bennett Stirtz GDay-to-day
  • Ajay Mitchell GDay-to-day
  • Thomas Sorber CDay-to-day
  • Jalen Williams GDay-to-day
  • Nikola Topic GDay-to-day

Portland Trail Blazers

  • Ja Morant GDay-to-day
  • Damian Lillard GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 19, 10:56PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsOklahoma City Thunder @ Portland Trail BlazersNo line posted

Portland Trail Blazers and Oklahoma City Thunder combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadPortland Trail Blazers spreadNo line posted

Portland Trail Blazers (season record) meet Oklahoma City Thunder; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylinePortland Trail Blazers to winNo line posted

Portland Trail Blazers (season record) host or visit Oklahoma City Thunder; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Portland Trail Blazers totalNo line posted

Portland Trail Blazers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Oklahoma City Thunder; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Oklahoma City Thunder totalNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Portland Trail Blazers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Portland Trail Blazers — model preview

<p>Unlock potential winning bets for Portland Trail Blazers playing Oklahoma City Thunder. Featuring picks like NA props. Analysis includes same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder : Under 255.5 Total Points (-1429)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Under 255.5' for the Total Points in the Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder game is a good choice due to both teams' recent scoring trends. The Trail Blazers' last five home games averaged a total score of 99.4, while the Thunder averaged 117 in their last five away games. This suggests a combined score of around 216.4, significantly lower than the 255.5 threshold. Additionally, the model prediction estimates a total of 211.77 points, further supporting an 'Under' bet. Lastly, recent defensive performances show the Trail Blazers and Thunder allowing 131.4 and 116.6 points respectively in their last five games. This demonstrates neither has significantly outperformed the other defensively, making a high-scoring game less likely.

Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder : Oklahoma City Thunder Under 132.5 Team Total Points (-588)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Oklahoma City Thunder Under 132.5' for the Team Total Points is a statistically supported choice. The Thunder's scoring average over their last five games is 117.8 points, notably lower than the bet's threshold of 132.5 points. This trend holds even when looking at Thunder's away games, where they scored an average of 117 points. The model's prediction also supports this under bet, forecasting a total of 113.16 points for the Thunder. Furthermore, Thunder's 2-3 record in their last five games suggests they are not in their peak scoring form. This data collectively indicates the Thunder may struggle to exceed the 132.5 total points, making the under bet a good choice.

Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder : Oklahoma City Thunder -11 (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Oklahoma City Thunder has a strong betting rationale based on their recent performance and comparative statistics. The Thunder have outscored the Trail Blazers in the last five games, with an average score of 117.8 to Portland's 113.8. They also have a superior away record, winning 2 out of the last 5 games, while Portland has lost all past 5 home games. Furthermore, the Thunder have consistently defeated the Trail Blazers in their last four encounters. More importantly, Portland's defense has been notably weaker, allowing an average of 131.4 points at home, compared to the Thunder's 116.6 points allowed on the road. This shows that the Thunder are more capable of maintaining a high score margin, making the bet on 'Oklahoma City Thunder -11' a well-grounded choice.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers in the NBA. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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