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NBA

Damian Lillard

Milwaukee Bucks

Value call
🔥 5 Consecutive Hits

Damian Lillard (Milwaukee Bucks) has one live pick today: under 26.5 pts rebs asts that pays $240 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
67 in 100
Predicted
23.7 Pts + Rebs + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 67.3% · before adjusting for past results 66.7% · the book's price implies 41.7% · gap +25.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Phoenix Suns @ Portland Trail Blazers
Moda Center, Portland, OR · Indoor
Wed 21 Oct, 10:00 PM ET
Damian Lillard
under 26.5 pts rebs asts
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 26.5 +140 (2.40) · $100→$240
Value call
HIGHWins about 67 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$24.00 Odds+140
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Damian Lillard is Under 26.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists.
On Points + Rebounds + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 67 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 67%, the price says 42%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 3:23PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs + Asts66.7%67.3%41.7%1.49+25.1%

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AI Analysis

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Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns: Damian Lillard Under 26.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts (+140)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Damian Lillard faces a tough challenge against the Phoenix Suns, who are known for their solid defense. The Suns allow a bit fewer rebounds and three-point attempts than average, which could limit Lillard's chances to rack up points and assists. With both teams likely to focus on defense, this game might not see a lot of high-scoring plays. Given Lillard's recent performances and the way the Suns play, betting on him to score under 26.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists looks like a smart move. The most concrete risk is that Lillard can still go off on a good day, but the matchup doesn't set him up for an easy night.

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Pick History & Track Record

Damian Lillard — 2024-25 season averages

Over 64 games in the 2024-25 season, Damian Lillard averaged 23.4 points, 4.5 rebounds and 6.7 assists in 34.6 minutes per game, shooting 44.3% from the field and 37.5% from three-point range.

23.4
PPG
4.5
RPG
6.7
APG
1.2
SPG
0.2
BPG
34.6
MPG
44.3%
FG%
37.5%
3P%

Damian Lillard — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Damian Lillard has played 28.4 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

28.4
MPG (L5)
11.2
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Damian Lillard — points hit rate

Damian Lillard has scored over 25.5 points in 41% of 821 career games.

o11.594%
o12.592%
o15.584%
o20.562%
o25.541%
o30.524%
o35.510%

Damian Lillard — home vs away scoring

At home Damian Lillard averages 23.8 points per game; on the road, 23.0. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

23.8
PPG at home
23.0
PPG on the road

Damian Lillard — scoring by opponent

Damian Lillard scores most against the DAL, averaging 32.9 points per game in that matchup.

32.9
DAL
31.3
ORL
30.8
WSH
30.6
NO
29.6
SA
29.2
LAL

Damian Lillard — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Damian Lillard has averaged 16.6 points, 4.3 rebounds and 5.7 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
27 Aprvs IND6022
25 Aprvs IND32735
22 Apr@ IND371437
18 Mar@ GS381634
16 Marvs OKC291912
15 Marvs IND3725108
13 Marvs LAL3422610
11 Mar@ IND3715311
9 Marvs CLE352254
8 Marvs ORL362674
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Oct 26 Phoenix Suns @ Portland Trail Blazers Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
21 Oct 26 Phoenix Suns @ Portland Trail Blazers Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
21 Oct 26 Phoenix Suns @ Portland Trail Blazers Points — — — Pending
21 Oct 26 Phoenix Suns @ Portland Trail Blazers 3-Pointers — — — Pending
21 Oct 26 Phoenix Suns @ Portland Trail Blazers Pts + Asts — — — Pending

See the complete track record

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About This Player

Damian Lillard (Milwaukee Bucks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Damian Lillard is currently on a 5-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Damian Lillard is Under 26.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +25.1% on this pick. Their next game is Phoenix Suns vs Portland Trail Blazers on Wednesday 21 October at Moda Center, Portland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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