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Model picks & player props
Dallas Mavericks
VS
Philadelphia 76ers

Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:19AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
4
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Dallas Mavericks 2.5 (Point Spread)
For Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers (NBA), model win probability 65.0%, fair odds 1.54, book price -105, model edge +13.7%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
Dallas Mavericks
2.5
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Dallas MavericksPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas MavericksMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Dallas Mavericks

  • Morez Johnson Jr. FDay-to-day
  • Santi Aldama FDay-to-day
  • Dereck Lively II CDay-to-day
  • Naji Marshall FDay-to-day
  • Cooper Flagg FDay-to-day
  • P.J. Washington FDay-to-day
  • Caleb Martin FDay-to-day
  • Kyrie Irving GDay-to-day

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Johni Broome FDay-to-day
  • Labaron Philon Jr. GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 18, 9:00PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 10 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability10 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsDallas Mavericks @ Philadelphia 76ersNo line posted

Philadelphia 76ers and Dallas Mavericks combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadPhiladelphia 76ers spreadNo line posted

Philadelphia 76ers (season record) meet Dallas Mavericks; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylinePhiladelphia 76ers to winNo line posted

Philadelphia 76ers (season record) host or visit Dallas Mavericks; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Philadelphia 76ers totalNo line posted

Philadelphia 76ers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Dallas Mavericks; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Dallas Mavericks totalNo line posted

Dallas Mavericks averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Philadelphia 76ers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Dallas Mavericks @ Philadelphia 76ers — model preview

<p>Winning bets for Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks? We break down odds and insights. Featuring picks like NA props. Explore same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks : Over 202.5 Total Points (-2500)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Both Philadelphia 76ers and Dallas Mavericks have shown a consistent scoring pattern in their recent five games, averaging 115.6 and 120.8 points respectively. This combined average of 236.4 points is significantly higher than the outcome point of 202.5. The teams' defensive records also suggest a high-scoring game, with opponents averaging 116.6 and 126.6 points against the 76ers and Mavericks respectively. Even when considering home/away performance, both teams consistently score and concede well over the set total points target. The model prediction of 236.7 points further supports this trend. Therefore, betting on 'Over 202.5' is a statistically sound choice, indicating a high probability of a cumulative score exceeding this threshold.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks : Philadelphia 76ers Over 104.5 Team Total Points (-588)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Philadelphia 76ers have a solid record of scoring in recent games, averaging 115.6 points in their overall last 5 matches and 108.4 points in their last 5 home matches. Both of these averages are well over the 104.5 point line set for this game. Moreover, the model prediction suggests the 76ers will score approximately 118.14 points, again exceeding the set line. Considering their home record of 3-2, the 76ers demonstrate a consistent ability to score well, especially on their home court. Therefore, betting on the Philadelphia 76ers to score over 104.5 points seems a sound choice based on their past performance and the model's prediction.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks : Dallas Mavericks 2.5 (-105)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

This bet on Dallas Mavericks +2.5 in the Point Spread market is backed by their superior scoring statistics. Despite a poor away record in their last five games (1-4), the Mavericks have maintained an impressive overall team score of 120.8 and an away team score of 118.2. These figures not only exceed the 76ers' home and overall scores (108.4 and 115.6 respectively), but also the opponent team scores for both at home and away games for the 76ers. Furthermore, when looking at the head-to-head record, the teams are evenly matched at 1-1. Given the Mavericks' scoring prowess coupled with the 76ers' recent defensive issues, the bet on the Mavericks gaining at least 2.5 points is a solid choice.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers in the NBA. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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