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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for P.J. Washington is Over 13.5 on Points + Assists.
On Points + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 70 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 70%, implied 56%, edge +14.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 14, 2:38PM UTC
NBA

P.J. Washington

Dallas Mavericks

+14.0% Edge
🔥 6 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Asts Over 13.5 -127 (1.79) · $100→$179
+14.0% Edge
Dallas Mavericks @ New Orleans Pelicans
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA · Indoor
Tue 17 Mar, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
70 in 100
Predicted
16.9 Pts + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 69.8% · the book's price implies 55.9% · gap +14.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts69.8%55.9%1.43+14.0%

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AI Analysis

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P.J. Washington (Dallas Mavericks) Over 13.5 Points + Assists (-127)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Pelicans face off against the Mavericks, all eyes should be on P.J. Washington to shine. With an impressive average of 20.6 points and 2 assists over his last five games, he's proven to be a key contributor. Even better, when playing away, his scoring jumps to 15.8 points per game. Against the Mavericks, Washington has consistently found his rhythm, averaging 14.8 points recently and hitting 16 points in his last away game against them.With a perfect hit rate in his last six games, he's not just hot; he's on fire! His ability to blend scoring with playmaking makes the Over 13.5 points + assists bet particularly enticing. Moreover, his recent form against Dallas, where he's averaged 3.5 assists away, suggests he'll easily surpass this mark. As the Pelicans look to make a statement, expect Washington to rise to the occasion and deliver the goods.

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Pick History & Track Record

P.J. Washington — 2024-25 season averages

Over 59 games in the 2024-25 season, P.J. Washington averaged 14.5 points, 7.7 rebounds and 2.3 assists in 32.2 minutes per game, shooting 44.7% from the field and 37.1% from three-point range.

14.5
PPG
7.7
RPG
2.3
APG
1.1
SPG
1.0
BPG
32.2
MPG
44.7%
FG%
37.1%
3P%

P.J. Washington — recent role

Across his last 5 games, P.J. Washington has played 30.8 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

30.8
MPG (L5)
11.4
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

P.J. Washington — points hit rate

P.J. Washington has scored over 11.5 points in 50% of 189 career games.

o11.550%
o12.544%
o15.526%

P.J. Washington — home vs away scoring

At home P.J. Washington averages 13.8 points per game; on the road, 15.1. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

13.8
PPG at home
15.1
PPG on the road

P.J. Washington — scoring by opponent

P.J. Washington scores most against the SAC, averaging 18.9 points per game in that matchup.

18.9
SAC
17.6
OKC
16.3
GS
16.0
POR
15.4
ATL
14.7
DET

P.J. Washington — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, P.J. Washington has averaged 14.1 points, 6.0 rebounds and 2.6 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
18 Apr@ MEM27063
16 Apr@ SAC371794
11 Aprvs TOR271484
9 Aprvs LAL331453
5 Apr@ LAC301251
4 Apr@ LAC289102
31 Marvs BKN311352
29 Mar@ CHI321972
24 Mar@ BKN311625
21 Marvs DET382730
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Mar 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Charlotte Hornets Pts + Asts 14.5 Over -130 ✓ HIT
07 Mar 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Boston Celtics Pts + Rebs + Asts Pending
04 Mar 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Charlotte Hornets Pts + Rebs + Asts Pending

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About This Player

P.J. Washington (Dallas Mavericks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. P.J. Washington is currently on a 6-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for P.J. Washington is Over 13.5 on Points + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.0% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans on Tuesday 17 March at Smoothie King Center, New Orleans. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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