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The latest Bet Better model pick for P.J. Washington is Over 13.5 on Pts + Asts.
On the Pts + Asts market the model assigns a model win probability of 70%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +14.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 25, 11:49AM UTC
NBA

P.J. Washington

Dallas Mavericks

+14.0% Edge
🔥 6 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Asts Over 13.5 -127 (1.79)
+14.0% Edge
Dallas Mavericks @ New Orleans Pelicans
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA · Indoor
Tue 17 Mar, 12:00AM
DAY-TO-DAY
Washington (elbow) could be in danger of losing minutes during the 2026-27 campaign, especially if Morez Johnson and Tobi Lawal develop faster than anticipated.
updated Jun 26, 12:31AM UTC · 29d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
69.8%
Implied Probability
55.9%
Model Edge
+14.0%
Predicted Value
16.9 Pts + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts69.8%55.9%1.43+14.0%

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AI Analysis

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P.J. Washington (Dallas Mavericks) Over 13.5 Points + Assists (-127)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Pelicans face off against the Mavericks, all eyes should be on P.J. Washington to shine. With an impressive average of 20.6 points and 2 assists over his last five games, he's proven to be a key contributor. Even better, when playing away, his scoring jumps to 15.8 points per game. Against the Mavericks, Washington has consistently found his rhythm, averaging 14.8 points recently and hitting 16 points in his last away game against them.With a perfect hit rate in his last six games, he's not just hot; he's on fire! His ability to blend scoring with playmaking makes the Over 13.5 points + assists bet particularly enticing. Moreover, his recent form against Dallas, where he's averaged 3.5 assists away, suggests he'll easily surpass this mark. As the Pelicans look to make a statement, expect Washington to rise to the occasion and deliver the goods.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
2.6avg · last 10
L53.0Szn2.3Home2.2Away2.5Best8
2+63%
4+20%
6+7%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 2.6 · hi 5 · lo 0
0522213443

P.J. Washington is averaging 2.6 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.3, best 8). He clears 2+ in 63% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
16.7avg · last 10
L514.4Szn16.8Home16.0Away17.7Best48
7+90%
12+71%
17+49%
22+31%
27+12%
Game log vs O 16.5avg 16.7 · hi 27 · lo 3
2721211511131718213

P.J. Washington is averaging 16.7 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 16.8, best 48). He clears 17+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
22.7avg · last 10
L521.0Szn24.5Home23.2Away26.0Best54
15+85%
20+63%
25+47%
30+34%
35+15%
Game log vs O 24.5avg 22.7 · hi 30 · lo 9
3023282021182226309

P.J. Washington is averaging 22.7 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 24.5, best 54). He clears 25+ in 47% of 2024-25 games.

Steals2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
1.0avg · last 10
L51.4Szn1.1Home1.2Away1.0Best5
1+75%
2+27%
3+10%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1 · hi 2 · lo 0
2100002122

P.J. Washington is averaging 1.0 steals over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.1, best 5). He clears 1+ in 75% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Mar 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Boston Celtics Pts + Rebs + Asts 20.5 Over -125 ✗ MISS
04 Mar 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Charlotte Hornets Pts + Rebs + Asts 20.5 Over -125 ✗ MISS
04 Mar 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Charlotte Hornets Pts + Asts 14.5 Over -130 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

P.J. Washington (Dallas Mavericks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. P.J. Washington is currently on a 6-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for P.J. Washington is Over 13.5 on Pts + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.0% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans on Tuesday 17 March at Smoothie King Center, New Orleans. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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