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The latest Bet Better model pick for Brice Sensabaugh is Under 23.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 77%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +23.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
NBA

Brice Sensabaugh

Utah Jazz

+23.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 23.5 -114 (1.88)
+23.7% Edge
Utah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA · Indoor
Wed 8 Apr, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
76.9%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+23.7%
Predicted Value
19.2 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points76.9%—53.2%1.30+23.7%

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AI Analysis

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Brice Sensabaugh (Utah Jazz) Under 23.5 Points (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Utah Jazz gear up to face the New Orleans Pelicans, all eyes will be on Brice Sensabaugh. While he averages an impressive 25.2 points over his last five games, his performance against the Pelicans tells a different story, with just 15.4 points on average in their previous matchups. The trend continues when he plays away, where he's managed only 13 points against the Pelicans. Given that Sensabaugh's recent away hit rate stands at a remarkable 12 out of 17, it's tempting to expect a big night. However, the data suggests a regression is on the horizon. With an expected stat value of 19.23, taking the under on 23.5 seems prudent. The Jazz's defensive schemes have stifled him in the past, and with the pressure of an away game, it's a solid bet to predict he'll fall short of that mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
100%hit · L10
4.0avg · last 10
L54.6Szn2.2Home2.4Away2.0Best7
1+76%
2+61%
3+45%
4+20%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 4 · hi 6 · lo 2
3525233656

Brice Sensabaugh is averaging 4.0 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.2, best 7). He clears 2+ in 61% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
2.9avg · last 10
L53.0Szn1.5Home1.4Away1.7Best6
2+41%
4+14%
6+1%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 2.9 · hi 6 · lo 0
5015302463

Brice Sensabaugh is averaging 2.9 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.5, best 6). He clears 2+ in 41% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
16.0avg · last 10
L518.6Szn10.9Home11.2Away10.5Best34
1+94%
6+76%
11+48%
16+25%
21+11%
Game log vs O 10.5avg 16 · hi 25 · lo 9
917121910915222522

Brice Sensabaugh is averaging 16.0 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 10.9, best 34). He clears 11+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
90%hit · L10
18.9avg · last 10
L521.6Szn12.4Home12.6Away12.2Best36
2+94%
7+75%
12+51%
17+28%
22+15%
Game log vs O 11.5avg 18.9 · hi 31 · lo 9
1417132413917263125

Brice Sensabaugh is averaging 18.9 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 12.4, best 36). He clears 12+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
20.4avg · last 10
L524.6Szn13.8Home13.8Away13.9Best41
4+90%
9+70%
14+48%
19+28%
24+13%
Game log vs O 13.5avg 20.4 · hi 30 · lo 10
10211720131919263029

Brice Sensabaugh is averaging 20.4 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 13.8, best 41). He clears 14+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
100%hit · L10
23.3avg · last 10
L527.6Szn15.4Home15.2Away15.6Best43
5+87%
10+72%
15+52%
20+28%
25+17%
Game log vs O 14.5avg 23.3 · hi 36 · lo 15
15211825161921303632

Brice Sensabaugh is averaging 23.3 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 15.4, best 43). He clears 15+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
4.4avg · last 10
L56.0Szn3.0Home2.6Away3.3Best12
1+93%
3+56%
5+20%
7+4%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 4.4 · hi 10 · lo 1
14513104457

Brice Sensabaugh is averaging 4.4 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.0, best 12). He clears 3+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
90%hit · L10
7.3avg · last 10
L59.0Szn4.5Home4.0Away5.1Best13
2+83%
5+45%
8+13%
11+1%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 7.3 · hi 11 · lo 4
6466610681110

Brice Sensabaugh is averaging 7.3 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.5, best 13). He clears 5+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans Points 23.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
08 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans Pts + Rebs 28.5 Under -111 ✓ HIT
08 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans Pts + Rebs + Asts 31.5 Under -106 ✓ HIT
08 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans Pts + Asts — — — Pending
08 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
08 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Brice Sensabaugh (Utah Jazz) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brice Sensabaugh is Under 23.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.7% on this pick. Their next game is Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday 8 April at Smoothie King Center, New Orleans. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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