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NBA

Brice Sensabaugh

Utah Jazz

+20.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Points Under 22.5 -111 (1.90)
+20.0% Edge
Utah Jazz @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City
Sun 5 Apr, 11:00PM
Model Probability
72.6%
Implied Probability
52.6%
Model Edge
+20.0%
Predicted Value
19.0 Points

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Brice Sensabaugh (Utah Jazz) Under 22.5 Points (-111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Utah Jazz take on the Oklahoma City Thunder, all eyes will be on Brice Sensabaugh, but betting on him to go under 22.5 points seems like the savvy move. Sure, he's averaged 21 points over his last five outings, but those figures skew higher at home. When you break it down, his average drops to just 7.7 points against the Thunder in away matchups, revealing a troubling trend. Moreover, his recent form against Oklahoma City shows he can struggle, only netting 10.6 points per game against them. With a hit rate of just 2 out of 3 in his last three games, and considering he's hit the under in 12 of his last 16 away games, this looks like a prime opportunity to capitalize on Sensabaugh's challenges in hostile territory. He might be feeling the pressure under the bright lights of OKC, making the under a compelling play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 50.0% (3/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Oklahoma City Thunder Points 22.5 Under -111 ✗ MISS
05 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Oklahoma City Thunder 3-Pointers 3.5 Under -135 ✗ MISS
16 Mar 26 Utah Jazz @ Sacramento Kings Rebs + Asts 6.5 Under -159 ✓ HIT
16 Mar 26 Utah Jazz @ Sacramento Kings Assists — — — Pending
14 Mar 26 Utah Jazz @ Portland Trail Blazers Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
14 Mar 26 Utah Jazz @ Portland Trail Blazers Assists — — — Pending

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About This Player

Brice Sensabaugh (Utah Jazz) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (3/6). The latest model pick for Brice Sensabaugh is Under 22.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.0% on this pick. Their next game is Utah Jazz vs Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday 5 April at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.