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The latest Bet Better model pick for Brice Sensabaugh is Under 28.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On the Points + Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 52%, for a model edge of +22.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 6:59AM UTC
NBA

Brice Sensabaugh

Utah Jazz

+22.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 28.5 -109 (1.92) · $100→$192
+22.1% Edge
Utah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA · Indoor
Wed 8 Apr, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
74.2%
Implied Probability
52.1%
Model Edge
+22.1%
Predicted Value
24.0 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs74.2%—52.1%1.35+22.1%

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AI Analysis

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Brice Sensabaugh (Utah Jazz) Under 28.5 Points + Rebounds (-109)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Utah Jazz gear up to face the New Orleans Pelicans, Brice Sensabaugh is a player to watch closely, particularly for those considering the points and rebounds prop bet. His recent performances paint a picture of a player who's been hitting a wall against strong defenses. Averaging just 13 points on the road against the Jazz and tallying a modest 3.5 rebounds, Sensabaugh's numbers suggest he might struggle to eclipse the 28.5 mark tonight. He's only hit this threshold in 12 of his last 18 outings and has a remarkable under streak, hitting the under in 13 of his last 17 away games. With the Pelicans' defense tightening up and Sensabaugh's average against them sitting at 15.4 points, it's hard to envision him breaking out tonight. The data leans heavily toward the under, making this a compelling angle for bettors eyeing value.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
100%hit · L10
4.0avg · last 10
L54.6Szn2.2Home2.4Away2.0Best7
1+76%
2+61%
3+45%
4+20%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 4 · hi 6 · lo 2
3525233656

Brice Sensabaugh is averaging 4.0 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.2, best 7). He clears 2+ in 61% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
2.9avg · last 10
L53.0Szn1.5Home1.4Away1.7Best6
2+41%
4+14%
6+1%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 2.9 · hi 6 · lo 0
5015302463

Brice Sensabaugh is averaging 2.9 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.5, best 6). He clears 2+ in 41% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
16.0avg · last 10
L518.6Szn10.9Home11.2Away10.5Best34
1+94%
6+76%
11+48%
16+25%
21+11%
Game log vs O 10.5avg 16 · hi 25 · lo 9
917121910915222522

Brice Sensabaugh is averaging 16.0 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 10.9, best 34). He clears 11+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
90%hit · L10
18.9avg · last 10
L521.6Szn12.4Home12.6Away12.2Best36
2+94%
7+75%
12+51%
17+28%
22+15%
Game log vs O 11.5avg 18.9 · hi 31 · lo 9
1417132413917263125

Brice Sensabaugh is averaging 18.9 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 12.4, best 36). He clears 12+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
20.4avg · last 10
L524.6Szn13.8Home13.8Away13.9Best41
4+90%
9+70%
14+48%
19+28%
24+13%
Game log vs O 13.5avg 20.4 · hi 30 · lo 10
10211720131919263029

Brice Sensabaugh is averaging 20.4 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 13.8, best 41). He clears 14+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
100%hit · L10
23.3avg · last 10
L527.6Szn15.4Home15.2Away15.6Best43
5+87%
10+72%
15+52%
20+28%
25+17%
Game log vs O 14.5avg 23.3 · hi 36 · lo 15
15211825161921303632

Brice Sensabaugh is averaging 23.3 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 15.4, best 43). He clears 15+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
4.4avg · last 10
L56.0Szn3.0Home2.6Away3.3Best12
1+93%
3+56%
5+20%
7+4%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 4.4 · hi 10 · lo 1
14513104457

Brice Sensabaugh is averaging 4.4 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.0, best 12). He clears 3+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
90%hit · L10
7.3avg · last 10
L59.0Szn4.5Home4.0Away5.1Best13
2+83%
5+45%
8+13%
11+1%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 7.3 · hi 11 · lo 4
6466610681110

Brice Sensabaugh is averaging 7.3 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.5, best 13). He clears 5+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Brice Sensabaugh (Utah Jazz) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brice Sensabaugh is Under 28.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.1% on this pick. Their next game is Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday 8 April at Smoothie King Center, New Orleans. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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