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NBA

Brice Sensabaugh

Utah Jazz

+24.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Points Under 23.5 -112 (1.89)
+24.0% Edge
Utah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
Wed 8 Apr, 12:00AM
Model Probability
76.9%
Implied Probability
52.9%
Model Edge
+24.0%
Predicted Value
19.2 Points

AI Analysis

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Brice Sensabaugh (Utah Jazz) Under 23.5 Points (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Brice Sensabaugh takes the court against the New Orleans Pelicans, there's a compelling case to consider him for the Under on 23.5 points. Yes, his recent form shows an impressive average of 25.2 points overall and 26.8 away, but let's not overlook the matchup with the Pelicans. Historically, Sensabaugh has struggled against them, averaging just 15.4 points in their recent encounters, and even worse at 13 points per game in away scenarios. With an overall hit rate of 11 for 18 this season, it seems that Sensabaugh might be due for a regression. The model suggests an expected stat value near 19.23, aligning with his recent away performance. Given these trends and the Pelicans' defensive schemes, it's sensible to lean toward the Under. Sometimes, the numbers tell a story-this one hints at a quieter night for Sensabaugh.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 100.0% (6/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans Points 23.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
08 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans Pts + Asts 27.5 Under -118 ✓ HIT
08 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans Pts + Rebs 28.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
08 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
08 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
08 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Brice Sensabaugh (Utah Jazz) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (6/6). The latest model pick for Brice Sensabaugh is Under 23.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +24.0% on this pick. Their next game is Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday 8 April at Smoothie King Center, New Orleans. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.