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Model picks & player props
Boston Celtics
VS
New Orleans Pelicans

Boston Celtics vs New Orleans Pelicans Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 2:12PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
3
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Boston Celtics 1.5 (Point Spread)
For Boston Celtics vs New Orleans Pelicans (NBA), model win probability 86.5%, fair odds 1.16, book price -110, model edge +34.1%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
Boston Celtics
1.5
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Boston CelticsPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston CelticsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Boston Celtics

  • Chris Cenac Jr. FDay-to-day
  • Dillon Mitchell FDay-to-day
  • Hugo Gonzalez GDay-to-day
  • Jayson Tatum FDay-to-day

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Micah Peavy GDay-to-day
  • Karlo Matkovic FDay-to-day
  • Zion Williamson FDay-to-day
  • Dejounte Murray GDay-to-day
  • Trey Murphy III FDay-to-day
  • Yves Missi CDay-to-day
  • Bryce McGowens GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 19, 2:57AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Boston Celtics vs New Orleans Pelicans: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 11 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability11 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsBoston Celtics @ New Orleans PelicansNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans and Boston Celtics combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadNew Orleans Pelicans spreadNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans (season record) meet Boston Celtics; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineNew Orleans Pelicans to winNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans (season record) host or visit Boston Celtics; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)New Orleans Pelicans totalNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Boston Celtics; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Boston Celtics totalNo line posted

Boston Celtics averaged their season scoring ahead of facing New Orleans Pelicans; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Boston Celtics @ New Orleans Pelicans — model preview

<p>Deep dive into New Orleans Pelicans vs Boston Celtics. Find value betting opportunities. Featuring picks like NA props. Check out same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

New Orleans Pelicans vs Boston Celtics : New Orleans Pelicans Under 126.5 Team Total Points (-500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on 'New Orleans Pelicans Under 126.5' for the Team Total Points is backed by the Pelicans' recent scoring data. In their last five games, the Pelicans have an average score of 116.8 points overall and 118.2 at home, both of which are significantly lower than the betting line of 126.5. Additionally, our model predicts a score of 124.06, which is also under the 126.5 point threshold. Furthermore, the Celtics' recent defensive performance, which has limited the Pelicans' opponents to an average of 113.4 points at home, suggests that the Celtics could hold the Pelicans under the 126.5 point line. Therefore, the Pelicans scoring fewer than 126.5 points is a statistically sound bet.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Boston Celtics : Boston Celtics 1.5 (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Boston Celtics at 1.5 in the point spread market appears promising due to several factors. First, the Celtics have a strong recent away record, winning 4 out of their last 5 games. Additionally, they have consistently outperformed the Pelicans in their last 5 meetings, with a record of 2-0. The Celtics also boast a lower average opponent team score (105.2) over the last 5 games compared to the Pelicans (116.8), indicating a stronger defense. Despite the Pelicans scoring slightly higher at home, the Celtics have demonstrated superior scoring away, with an average of 120.2 points compared to the Pelicans' 118.2. This suggests the Celtics are well-positioned to cover the point spread.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Boston Celtics : Boston Celtics win (+105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting rationale for the Boston Celtics in the Moneyline market is underpinned by their superior recent form and head-to-head record against the New Orleans Pelicans. The Celtics possess a strong Away Record Overall in the last 5 games (4-1) demonstrating their recent form and capability to win on the road. Their superior record against the Pelicans (2-0) in recent encounters highlights their dominance in this specific matchup. Furthermore, the Celtics' Away Team Score in the last 5 games (120.2) exceeds the Pelicans' Home Team Score (118.2), indicating their strong scoring prowess in away games. Despite the model prediction favouring the Pelicans, the performance data suggests the Celtics are a strong bet in this game.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Boston Celtics vs New Orleans Pelicans in the NBA. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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