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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Neemias Queta is Under 8.5 on Rebounds.
On Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 62 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 62%, implied 49%, edge +13.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 18, 7:59PM UTC
NBA

Neemias Queta

Boston Celtics

+13.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rebounds Under 8.5 +106 (2.06) · $100→$206
+13.0% Edge
Toronto Raptors @ Boston Celtics
TD Garden, Boston, MA · Indoor
Sun 5 Apr, 7:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
62 in 100
Predicted
7.8 Rebounds
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 61.5% · the book's price implies 48.5% · gap +13.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds61.5%48.5%1.63+13.0%

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AI Analysis

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Neemias Queta (Boston Celtics) Under 8.5 Rebounds (+106)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Boston Celtics prepare to face the Toronto Raptors, all eyes will be on Neemias Queta to see if he can control the boards. However, the numbers suggest a different narrative. While Queta has averaged 9 rebounds over his last five games, his performance at home tells a more cautionary tale, bringing that average down to 7.2. Against the Raptors, he's managed just 5.4 boards recently, dipping to 5.8 when playing in Boston. With an expected stat value of 7.79, it appears the 8.5 mark is a bit rich. Moreover, Queta has only cleared that threshold in three of his last five home games. Given these trends and the Celtics' overall rebounding dynamics, targeting the under on Queta's rebounds looks like a savvy play. He may be solid, but hitting that 8.5 number at home against Toronto seems like a stretch.

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Pick History & Track Record

Neemias Queta — 2024-25 season averages

Over 64 games in the 2024-25 season, Neemias Queta averaged 4.9 points, 3.7 rebounds and 0.7 assists in 13.6 minutes per game, shooting 65.4% from the field and 0.0% from three-point range.

4.9
PPG
3.7
RPG
0.7
APG
0.3
SPG
0.7
BPG
13.6
MPG
65.4%
FG%
0.0%
3P%

Neemias Queta — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Neemias Queta has played 13.8 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

13.8
MPG (L5)
4.8
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Neemias Queta — home vs away scoring

At home Neemias Queta averages 4.6 points per game; on the road, 5.2. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

4.6
PPG at home
5.2
PPG on the road

Neemias Queta — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Neemias Queta has averaged 4.5 points, 2.8 rebounds and 1.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
10 May@ NY2000
29 Aprvs ORL4401
13 Aprvs CHA26264
11 Aprvs CHA12711
9 Apr@ ORL251172
6 Aprvs WSH7601
4 Aprvs PHX2220
2 Aprvs MIA19772
26 Mar@ PHX6430
24 Mar@ SAC1220
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Neemias Queta (Boston Celtics) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Neemias Queta is Under 8.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.0% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics on Sunday 5 April at TD Garden, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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