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NBA

Neemias Queta

Boston Celtics

+13.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Rebounds Under 8.5 +106 (2.06)
+13.0% Edge
Toronto Raptors @ Boston Celtics
TD Garden, Boston
Sun 5 Apr, 7:30PM
Model Probability
61.5%
Implied Probability
48.5%
Model Edge
+13.0%
Predicted Value
7.8 Rebounds

AI Analysis

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Neemias Queta (Boston Celtics) Under 8.5 Rebounds (+106)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Boston Celtics prepare to face the Toronto Raptors, all eyes will be on Neemias Queta to see if he can control the boards. However, the numbers suggest a different narrative. While Queta has averaged 9 rebounds over his last five games, his performance at home tells a more cautionary tale, bringing that average down to 7.2. Against the Raptors, he's managed just 5.4 boards recently, dipping to 5.8 when playing in Boston. With an expected stat value of 7.79, it appears the 8.5 mark is a bit rich. Moreover, Queta has only cleared that threshold in three of his last five home games. Given these trends and the Celtics' overall rebounding dynamics, targeting the under on Queta's rebounds looks like a savvy play. He may be solid, but hitting that 8.5 number at home against Toronto seems like a stretch.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (8 picks) 75.0% (6/8)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Apr 26 Toronto Raptors @ Boston Celtics Rebounds 8.5 Under +106 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Toronto Raptors @ Boston Celtics Points 9.5 Over +132 ✓ HIT
04 Apr 26 Boston Celtics @ Milwaukee Bucks Rebounds 8.5 Under -102 ✗ MISS
04 Apr 26 Boston Celtics @ Milwaukee Bucks Rebounds Pending
04 Apr 26 Boston Celtics @ Milwaukee Bucks Rebounds Pending
25 Mar 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Boston Celtics Rebounds Pending

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About This Player

Neemias Queta (Boston Celtics) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 8 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 75.0% (6/8). The latest model pick for Neemias Queta is Under 8.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.0% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics on Sunday 5 April at TD Garden, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.