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The latest Bet Better model pick for T.J. McConnell is Over 11.5 on Pts + Asts.
On the Pts + Asts market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +17.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 25, 11:49AM UTC
NBA

T.J. McConnell

Indiana Pacers

+17.4% Edge
🔥 3 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Asts Over 11.5 -128 (1.78)
+17.4% Edge
Indiana Pacers @ Los Angeles Lakers
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA · Indoor
Sat 7 Mar, 3:30AM
DAY-TO-DAY
McConnell (hamstring) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Pistons.
updated Jun 16, 2:36PM UTC · 38d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
73.6%
Implied Probability
56.2%
Model Edge
+17.4%
Predicted Value
15.6 Pts + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts73.6%—56.2%1.36+17.4%

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AI Analysis

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T.J. McConnell (Indiana Pacers) Over 11.5 Points + Assists (-128)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Listen up, NBA fans. Let's talk about the man of the hour: T.J. McConnell of the Indiana Pacers. This dynamo is outperforming himself this season, with his recent away games showing an impressive hit rate of 7/7. The guy's averaging 12.2 points and dishing out 4.4 assists on the road. Now, he's up against the Lakers, a team he seems to have figured out. He's been dropping an average of 12.8 points, with an additional 4.8 assists in their recent match-ups. Although his point average does dip slightly when playing in LA, his assists tend to ramp up. When you consider that we're targeting an over of 11.5 points + assists, it looks like McConnell's got it in the bag. So, if you're looking for a smart bet, this might be your golden ticket. Trust the numbers, trust the performance, trust T.J. McConnell.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
4.4avg · last 10
L54.2Szn4.4Home4.5Away4.4Best17
2+88%
4+64%
6+30%
8+12%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 4.4 · hi 8 · lo 2
5456322782

T.J. McConnell is averaging 4.4 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.4, best 17). He clears 4+ in 64% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
8.6avg · last 10
L57.2Szn9.1Home9.4Away8.8Best30
4+89%
9+51%
14+15%
19+1%
Game log vs O 8.5avg 8.6 · hi 18 · lo 0
116015187412130

T.J. McConnell is averaging 8.6 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 9.1, best 30). He clears 9+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
13.0avg · last 10
L511.4Szn13.5Home13.8Away13.2Best38
3+97%
8+84%
13+57%
18+27%
23+2%
Game log vs O 12.5avg 13 · hi 21 · lo 2
1610521219619212

T.J. McConnell is averaging 13.0 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 13.5, best 38). He clears 13+ in 57% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
16.2avg · last 10
L514.4Szn16.0Home16.4Away15.7Best43
6+96%
11+80%
16+54%
21+22%
26+4%
Game log vs O 15.5avg 16.2 · hi 25 · lo 5
18159242410925235

T.J. McConnell is averaging 16.2 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 16.0, best 43). He clears 16+ in 54% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
3.2avg · last 10
L53.0Szn2.5Home2.5Away2.5Best10
1+90%
3+44%
5+13%
7+2%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 3.2 · hi 6 · lo 1
2543313623

T.J. McConnell is averaging 3.2 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.5, best 10). He clears 3+ in 44% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Mar 26 Indiana Pacers @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Asts 11.5 Over -128 ✓ HIT
07 Mar 26 Indiana Pacers @ Los Angeles Lakers Points 7.5 Over -135 ✓ HIT
07 Mar 26 Indiana Pacers @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs + Asts 13.5 Over -128 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

T.J. McConnell (Indiana Pacers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. T.J. McConnell is currently on a 3-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for T.J. McConnell is Over 11.5 on Pts + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.4% on this pick. Their next game is Indiana Pacers vs Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday 7 March at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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