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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for T.J. McConnell is Over 11.5 on Points + Assists.
On Points + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 74%, implied 56%, edge +17.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 14, 2:38PM UTC
NBA

T.J. McConnell

Indiana Pacers

+17.4% Edge
🔥 3 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Asts Over 11.5 -128 (1.78) · $100→$178
+17.4% Edge
Indiana Pacers @ Los Angeles Lakers
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA · Indoor
Sat 7 Mar, 3:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
15.6 Pts + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 73.6% · the book's price implies 56.2% · gap +17.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts73.6%—56.2%1.36+17.4%

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AI Analysis

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T.J. McConnell (Indiana Pacers) Over 11.5 Points + Assists (-128)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Listen up, NBA fans. Let's talk about the man of the hour: T.J. McConnell of the Indiana Pacers. This dynamo is outperforming himself this season, with his recent away games showing an impressive hit rate of 7/7. The guy's averaging 12.2 points and dishing out 4.4 assists on the road. Now, he's up against the Lakers, a team he seems to have figured out. He's been dropping an average of 12.8 points, with an additional 4.8 assists in their recent match-ups. Although his point average does dip slightly when playing in LA, his assists tend to ramp up. When you consider that we're targeting an over of 11.5 points + assists, it looks like McConnell's got it in the bag. So, if you're looking for a smart bet, this might be your golden ticket. Trust the numbers, trust the performance, trust T.J. McConnell.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

T.J. McConnell — 2024-25 season averages

Over 89 games in the 2024-25 season, T.J. McConnell averaged 9.1 points, 2.5 rebounds and 4.4 assists in 17.8 minutes per game, shooting 51.9% from the field and 32.7% from three-point range.

9.1
PPG
2.5
RPG
4.4
APG
1.0
SPG
0.2
BPG
17.8
MPG
51.9%
FG%
32.7%
3P%

T.J. McConnell — recent role

Across his last 5 games, T.J. McConnell has played 15.6 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

15.6
MPG (L5)
7.2
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

T.J. McConnell — home vs away scoring

At home T.J. McConnell averages 9.4 points per game; on the road, 8.8. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

9.4
PPG at home
8.8
PPG on the road

T.J. McConnell — scoring by opponent

T.J. McConnell scores most against the SAC, averaging 10.6 points per game in that matchup.

10.6
SAC
10.4
MIL
10.0
HOU
10.0
LAC
9.8
DAL
9.4
SA

T.J. McConnell — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, T.J. McConnell has averaged 8.6 points, 3.2 rebounds and 4.4 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 May@ CLE10032
11 Mayvs CLE181328
9 Mayvs CLE211267
6 May@ CLE14432
4 May@ CLE15712
29 Aprvs MIL171833
27 Apr@ MIL221536
25 Apr@ MIL17045
22 Aprvs MIL16654
19 Aprvs MIL151125
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Mar 26 Indiana Pacers @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Asts 11.5 Over -128 ✓ HIT
07 Mar 26 Indiana Pacers @ Los Angeles Lakers Points 7.5 Over -135 ✓ HIT
07 Mar 26 Indiana Pacers @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs + Asts 13.5 Over -128 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

T.J. McConnell (Indiana Pacers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. T.J. McConnell is currently on a 3-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for T.J. McConnell is Over 11.5 on Points + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.4% on this pick. Their next game is Indiana Pacers vs Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday 7 March at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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