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Model picks & player props
Dallas Mavericks
VS
Chicago Bulls

Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 1:10PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
4
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Dallas Mavericks 2.5 (Point Spread)
For Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls (NBA), model win probability 80.6%, fair odds 1.24, book price -114, model edge +27.5%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
Dallas Mavericks
2.5
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Dallas MavericksPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas MavericksMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Dallas Mavericks

  • Morez Johnson Jr. FDay-to-day
  • Santi Aldama FDay-to-day
  • Dereck Lively II CDay-to-day
  • Naji Marshall FDay-to-day
  • Cooper Flagg FDay-to-day
  • P.J. Washington FDay-to-day
  • Caleb Martin FDay-to-day
  • Kyrie Irving GDay-to-day

Chicago Bulls

  • Noa Essengue FDay-to-day
  • Caleb Wilson FDay-to-day
  • Dailyn Swain GDay-to-day
  • Zach Collins FDay-to-day
  • Jalen Smith FDay-to-day
  • Josh Giddey GDay-to-day
  • Nic Claxton CDay-to-day
  • Isaac Okoro FDay-to-day
  • Rob Dillingham GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 18, 2:41AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsDallas Mavericks @ Chicago BullsNo line posted

Chicago Bulls and Dallas Mavericks combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadChicago Bulls spreadNo line posted

Chicago Bulls (season record) meet Dallas Mavericks; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineChicago Bulls to winNo line posted

Chicago Bulls (season record) host or visit Dallas Mavericks; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Chicago Bulls totalNo line posted

Chicago Bulls averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Dallas Mavericks; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Dallas Mavericks totalNo line posted

Dallas Mavericks averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Chicago Bulls; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Dallas Mavericks @ Chicago Bulls — model preview

<p>Deep dive into Chicago Bulls vs Dallas Mavericks. Find value betting opportunities. Featuring picks like NA props. Check out same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

Chicago Bulls vs Dallas Mavericks : Over 205.5 Total Points (-5000)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

This bet on 'Over 205.5' points in the Chicago Bulls vs Dallas Mavericks game is driven by consistent high-scoring performances from both teams. Over the last 5 games, the Bulls and Mavericks have scored an average of 108.6 and 120.8 points respectively. Furthermore, when playing at home, the Bulls score an average of 107.4 points and when playing away, the Mavericks score an average of 118.2 points. The opponent team scores also indicate a trend towards high-scoring games, with the Bulls allowing an average of 109.6 points at home, while the Mavericks allow an average of 118.2 points away. Thus, considering these statistics, it is highly likely that the total points in this game will surpass the 205.5 mark.

Chicago Bulls vs Dallas Mavericks : Chicago Bulls Over 106.5 Team Total Points (-667)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The statistical data overwhelmingly points to the Chicago Bulls surpassing the 106.5 total points mark in their game against the Dallas Mavericks. The model prediction of 128.24 indicates an expectation that the Bulls will score well above the betting line. Recent performance also suggests a high-scoring outcome, with the Bulls' overall team score in the last five games averaging 108.6, and their team score at home averaging 107.4. Despite a mixed home record, their scoring has remained consistently high. Furthermore, their opponents' scores have also been higher, suggesting a pattern of high-scoring games. Therefore, the evidence strongly suggests that betting on the Chicago Bulls to score over 106.5 points is a good choice.

Chicago Bulls vs Dallas Mavericks : Dallas Mavericks 2.5 (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Dallas Mavericks are the preferred bet in the Point Spread market due to their superior scoring potential, as evidenced by their average of 120.8 points per game over the last five games, compared to the Chicago Bulls' average of 108.6. Despite their recent away record, the Mavericks have consistently outscored the Bulls, even when playing away. The Bulls have also shown vulnerability at home, allowing an average of 109.6 points to their opponents. Additionally, the Mavericks have a higher model prediction of -8.38, indicating a statistically higher chance of winning by more than 2.5 points. This data suggests that the Mavericks are likely to cover the point spread against the Bulls in their upcoming match.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

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DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls in the NBA. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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