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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ian Seymour is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 54 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 54%, the price says 49%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 1.50 ERlanded 6 of the last 10
Under 7.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10
Under 5.50 SOlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 20, 10:20PM UTC
MLB

Ian Seymour

TBR

Value call

Ian Seymour has one live pick today: Pitcher - Strikeouts Under 5.5 that pays $206 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Under 5.5 +106 (2.06) · $100→$206
Value call
Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida · Indoor
Fri 18 Sep, 11:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts overs: 164 of 342 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
54 in 100
Predicted
5.0 Pitcher - Strikeouts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 54.1% · before adjusting for past results 61.2% · the book's price implies 48.5% · gap +5.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts61.2%54.1%48.5%1.85+12.7%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games10/10

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AI Analysis

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Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox: Ian Seymour Under 5.5 Pitcher - Strikeouts (+106)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The Tampa Bay Rays have been on fire lately, scoring 1.3 runs more than their opponents in the last 12 games. Boston Red Sox have also been strong, winning 7 of their last 10 games. This matchup looks pretty close, but Ian Seymour is the key player to watch. He's facing a tough lineup, especially since the Red Sox hit well against left-handed pitchers. Betting on Seymour to get fewer than 5.5 strikeouts makes sense right now. The Rays have a good offense, and with the way both teams are swinging the bat, he might not get as many chances to rack them up. The most concrete risk is that both teams are so evenly matched right now, which can lead to surprises.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Ian Seymour has gone over 3.5 SO in 10% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o3.510%
o4.520%
o5.510%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%
o9.50%
o10.50%
o11.50%
Quick answers:How many strikeouts does Ian Seymour average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays Pitcher - Strikeouts 5.5 Under +106 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays Pitcher - Walks 0.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under -120 ✓ HIT
18 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending
18 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays Pitcher - Outs — — — Pending
18 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ian Seymour (TBR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ian Seymour is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.7% on this pick. Their next game is Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays on Friday 18 September at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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