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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ian Seymour is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On the Pitcher - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 81%, versus the book's implied 69%, for a model edge of +11.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 2:48AM UTC
MLB

Ian Seymour

TBR

+11.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Under 1.5 -222 (1.45)
+11.7% Edge
Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies
Coors Field, Denver, Colorado · Outdoor
Tue 4 Aug, 12:40AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 498 of 903 right
Confirmed probable starter
Probable SP vs TB @ SEA
updated Aug 9, 8:10PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
80.7%
Implied Probability
69.0%
Model Edge
+11.7%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks80.7%—69.0%1.24+11.7%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Ian Seymour (TBR) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-222)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Colorado Rockies play Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Ian Seymour (TBR) Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-222). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at -222 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
L2061%
O 2.550%
O 3.520%

Ian Seymour MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -222 ✗ MISS
04 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -123 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Ian Seymour (TBR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ian Seymour is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.7% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Rays vs Colorado Rockies on Tuesday 4 August at Coors Field, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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