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Shane Bieber

CLE

Value call

Shane Bieber has one live pick today: under 5.5 hits allowed that pays $176 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
57 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 57.1% · before adjusting for past results 86.2% · the book's price implies 56.8% · gap +0.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida · Indoor
Thu 20 Aug, 1:10 PM ET
Shane Bieber
under 5.5 hits allowed
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Under 5.5 -132 (1.76) · $100→$176
Value call
LEANWins about 57 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.60 Odds-132
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Shane Bieber is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On Pitcher - Hits Allowed, our numbers say this bet wins about 57 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 57%, the price says 57%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 9:24AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 140 of 242 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Blue Jays manager John Schneider said Friday that it "would be tough" for Bieber (shoulder) to return from the 15-day injured list before the end of the regular season, Hazel Mae of Sportsnet reports.
updated Sep 18, 9:53PM UTC · 22d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed86.2%57.1%56.8%1.93+29.4%

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AI Analysis

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Shane Bieber (CLE) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-132)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Tampa Bay Rays play Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Shane Bieber (CLE) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-132). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -132 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.58 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Aug 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays Pitcher - Hits Allowed 5.5 Under -132 ✓ HIT
20 Aug 26 Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
14 Aug 26 New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under +141 ✓ HIT
14 Aug 26 New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending
14 Aug 26 New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending
14 Aug 26 New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending

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About This Player

Shane Bieber (CLE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Shane Bieber is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +29.4% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays on Thursday 20 August at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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