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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jorge Mateo is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 9 of the last 10
Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 9 of the last 10
Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 31, 8:21PM UTC
MLB

Jorge Mateo

BAL

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored Under 0.5 -278 (1.36) · $100→$136
San Diego Padres @ Tampa Bay Rays
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida · Indoor
Sun 30 Aug, 5:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 935 of 1,976 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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See the numbers

For the numbers: the book's price implies 73.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored——73.5%1.37—

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres: Jorge Mateo Under 0.5 Batter - Runs Scored (-278)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The matchup against Tampa Bay is tricky, especially since they know how to handle left-handed pitchers just fine. Mateo will be facing some solid Rays pitching, and they have a strong home record this season, winning a lot more games at Tropicana Field than they lose. Both teams are close in form right now, with each winning five of their last ten. The wind is blowing out, which usually helps hitters, but Mateo's recent struggles could be a big factor. With the way he's been hitting, it seems likely he might not score a run tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Recent form (last 5 games)

Jorge Mateo is averaging 0.2 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.2
Hits
0.0
HR
0.0
RBI
0.0
Runs
0.0
Walks
0.4
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

Jorge Mateo has gone over 1.5 total bases in 40% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.540%
o2.520%
o3.510%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Jorge Mateo is averaging 0.2 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.2 in home games, including his recent form against NYY.

0.2
Hits · Overall
0.2
Hits · Home
1.0
Hits · vs NYY
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Home
0.2
HR · vs NYY
Quick answers:How many home runs does Jorge Mateo hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Detroit Tigers Batter - Hits 0.5 Under -105 ✓ HIT
26 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Detroit Tigers Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -400 ✓ HIT
26 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Detroit Tigers Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -189 ✗ MISS
26 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Detroit Tigers Batter - Stolen Bases — — — Pending
24 Aug 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Detroit Tigers Batter - Doubles — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jorge Mateo (BAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jorge Mateo is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. Their next game is San Diego Padres vs Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday 30 August at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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