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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Chase Meidroth is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 76%, versus the book's implied 68%, for a model edge of +8.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 6:46PM UTC
MLB

Chase Meidroth

MLB

+8.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -213 (1.47)
+8.2% Edge
Boston Red Sox @ Chicago White Sox
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois · Outdoor
Thu 9 Jul, 6:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
76.2%
Implied Probability
68.0%
Model Edge
+8.2%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases76.2%68.0%1.31+8.2%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/5

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AI Analysis

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Chase Meidroth (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-213)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Chicago White Sox host the Boston Red Sox on July 9, all eyes will be on Chase Meidroth. Despite showing flashes of potential, Meidroth faces a challenging matchup that suggests he might struggle to exceed 1.5 total bases. The White Sox’s pitching staff, especially their starters, has been adept at stifling opposing hitters, boasting a combined WHIP that ranks among the league’s best. Moreover, Meidroth has been inconsistent lately, managing to rack up hits but often falling short of extra-base power against right-handed pitching. Given that the White Sox’s bullpen is formidable late in games, the likelihood of him being neutralized increases. With an implied probability hovering around 68%, it’s reasonable to lean toward the Under 1.5 total bases here. It’s a classic case of opportunity meeting execution, and in this matchup, the odds are against the young slugger.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Jul 26 Boston Red Sox @ Chicago White Sox Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -213 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Chase Meidroth is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Chase Meidroth is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.2% on this pick. Their next game is Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox on Thursday 9 July at Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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