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Model picks & player props
MLB
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
Outdoor
Thu 25 Jun 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Seattle Mariners
VS
Pittsburgh Pirates

Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 20 markets for Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates and backs Pittsburgh Pirates hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $219.

20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Pittsburgh Pirates
to win
Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$21.90Best price+119
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win53.4%
The price says45.7%

The model graded 20 markets for Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $219 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 25 Jun 2026, 12:35 PM ET at PNC Park.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Pittsburgh Pirates Lean53% chance +119
Total Runs Members only Long-shot26% chance Members
Spread Members only Long-shot29% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Seattle Mariners and Pittsburgh Pirates last met on Thu 25 Jun 2026: Pittsburgh Pirates won 5-1. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Pittsburgh Pirates
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,257+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Pittsburgh PiratesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PiratesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PiratesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PiratesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PiratesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PiratesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PiratesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PiratesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Seattle Mariners

  • Josh Naylor 1BOut
  • Cal Raleigh COut
  • Michael Toglia 1BOut
  • Kade Anderson SPDay-to-day
  • Andres Munoz RPOut
  • Brock Rodden SSOut
  • Nick Davila RPOut
  • Matt Brash RPOut
  • Brendan Donovan 3BOut
  • Brennen Davis CFOut
  • Colt Emerson SSOut
  • Emerson Hancock SPOut
  • Luke Raley RFOut
  • Cole Wilcox RPOut
  • Will Wilson 3BOut
  • Logan Evans SPOut

Pittsburgh Pirates

  • Oneil Cruz CFDay-to-day
  • Mitch Keller SPOut
  • Braxton Ashcraft SPOut
  • Esmerlyn Valdez RFOut
  • Isaac Mattson RPOut
  • Endy Rodriguez COut
Availability updated Oct 5, 6:37PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 22 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability22 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylinePittsburgh PiratesNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.2L5 RA3.4Home L52-3vs Seattle Mariners L53-2

Pittsburgh Pirates moneyline form: last five 3-2, 3.2 runs/gm.

Run LinePittsburgh Pirates run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.2L5 RA3.4Home L52-3vs Seattle Mariners L53-2

Pittsburgh Pirates spread form: last five 3-2, 3.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Pittsburgh Pirates vs Seattle MarinersNo line posted

Pittsburgh Pirates total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsPittsburgh Pirates team totalNo line posted
4.2runs we expect
L5 RF3.2L5 RA3.4Home L52-3vs Seattle Mariners L53-2

Pittsburgh Pirates team total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.2 runs/gm.

Seattle Mariners @ Pittsburgh Pirates — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Seattle Mariners at Pittsburgh Pirates — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates — recent results

Pittsburgh Pirates have won 2 of their last 5 games; Seattle Mariners have won 3 of their last 5.

Pittsburgh Pirates — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–2DETAway
L3–4DETAway
L7–8DETAway
W2–1STLHome
L1–5STLHome
Seattle Mariners — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W8–4LAAHome
W7–3LAAHome
L5–7LAAHome
L4–6LAAHome
W6–5HOUHome

Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Pittsburgh Pirates are scoring 4.8 runs per game (3-2) while Seattle Mariners are at 1.6 (3-2); Pittsburgh Pirates pitchers are allowing 1.2 earned runs per game versus 1.8 for Seattle Mariners.

4.8
Pittsburgh Pirates runs/G
1.6
Seattle Mariners runs/G
Last 5 gamesPittsburgh PiratesSeattle Mariners
Runs / game4.81.6
Hits / game7.03.0
Home runs / game0.40.4
Walks drawn / game1.00.8
Batter K / game2.83.4
Earned runs allowed / game1.21.8
Pitching K / game4.03.8
Walks allowed / game1.20.8
L5 record3-23-2

Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Pittsburgh Pirates won 2, Seattle Mariners won 1.

DatePittsburgh PiratesSeattle MarinersWinner
Jun 2551Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 24111Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 2323Seattle Mariners

Who’s out or in doubt

22 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Pittsburgh Pirates
PlayerStatus
Oneil Cruz CFDAY-TO-DAY
Mitch Keller SPOUT
Braxton Ashcraft SPOUT
Esmerlyn Valdez RFOUT
Isaac Mattson RPOUT
Endy Rodriguez COUT
Seattle Mariners
PlayerStatus
Josh Naylor 1BOUT
Cal Raleigh COUT
Michael Toglia 1BOUT
Kade Anderson SPDAY-TO-DAY
Andres Munoz RPOUT
Brock Rodden SSOUT
Nick Davila RPOUT
Matt Brash RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Seattle Mariners @ Pittsburgh Pirates — model preview

Unlock potential winning baseball bets for Pittsburgh Pirates playing Seattle Mariners. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Analysis includes MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Pittsburgh Pirates vs Seattle Mariners stats and odds.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Seattle Mariners : Pittsburgh Pirates Win (+119)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Mariners vs Pirates, or as Pirates vs Mariners. The most recent game between them was Thursday 25 June 2026 at PNC Park. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates head-to-head record

Final scores · 12 meetings on record
Seattle Mariners 7–5 across the last 12 meetings · these games average 7.7 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Thu 25 Jun 2026, Seattle Mariners at Pittsburgh Pirates: the Pirates won 5-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
25 Jun 2026Seattle Mariners @ Pittsburgh Pirates5–1Pittsburgh Pirates
24 Jun 2026Seattle Mariners @ Pittsburgh Pirates11–1Pittsburgh Pirates
23 Jun 2026Seattle Mariners @ Pittsburgh Pirates2–3Seattle Mariners
6 Jul 2025Pittsburgh Pirates @ Seattle Mariners1–0Seattle Mariners
5 Jul 2025Pittsburgh Pirates @ Seattle Mariners1–0Seattle Mariners
4 Jul 2025Pittsburgh Pirates @ Seattle Mariners6–0Seattle Mariners
18 Aug 2024Seattle Mariners @ Pittsburgh Pirates3–10Seattle Mariners
17 Aug 2024Seattle Mariners @ Pittsburgh Pirates7–2Pittsburgh Pirates
16 Aug 2024Seattle Mariners @ Pittsburgh Pirates5–3Pittsburgh Pirates
28 May 2023Pittsburgh Pirates @ Seattle Mariners6–3Seattle Mariners

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 12 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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