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Model picks & player props
Boston Red Sox
VS
Milwaukee Brewers

Boston Red Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 2:29PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
American Family Field, Milwaukee
Indoor
Mon 26 May 2025, 6:10PM
0
Game markets graded
8
Props graded

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
Under 9.5
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Player props & full board
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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Boston Red Sox

  • Adley Rutschman COut
  • Masataka Yoshida DHDay-to-day
  • Triston Casas 1BOut
  • Trevor Story SSOut
  • Roman Anthony LFOut
  • Garrett Crochet SPOut
  • Curtis Mead 3BOut
  • Zack Kelly RPOut
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2BOut
  • Tanner Houck SPOut
  • Johan Oviedo SPOut
  • Kutter Crawford SPOut

Probable pitcher

Erik Miller SP

Milwaukee Brewers

  • Joey Ortiz SSDay-to-day
  • Cooper Pratt SSOut
  • Sal Frelick RFOut
  • JoJo Romero RPOut
  • Joel Kuhnel RPOut
  • Brandon Woodruff SPOut
  • Rob Zastryzny RPOut
  • Brian Fitzpatrick RPOut
  • Quinn Priester SPOut
  • Angel Zerpa RPOut

Probable pitcher

Jacob Misiorowski SP
Availability updated Aug 9, 8:49PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Boston Red Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 22 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability22 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Garrett Crochet BOS Pitcher - Hits Allowed 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Brice Turang MIL Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Garrett Crochet BOS Pitcher - Walks 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Christian Yelich MIL Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jackson Chourio MIL Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Boston Red Sox @ Milwaukee Brewers — what the model found

Our model graded 8 betting markets for Boston Red Sox at Milwaukee Brewers — 0 on the game itself and 8 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

8
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 8 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Boston Red Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers — recent results

Milwaukee Brewers have won 4 of their last 5 games; Boston Red Sox have won 3 of their last 5.

Milwaukee Brewers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–3MINHome
W4–3MINHome
L6–8MINHome
W5–2PITHome
W4–2PITHome
Boston Red Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–4ATHHome
L3–7ATHHome
W13–1ATHHome
W12–11CHWHome
W4–0CHWHome

Who’s out or in doubt

22 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Milwaukee Brewers
PlayerStatus
Joey Ortiz SSDAY-TO-DAY
Cooper Pratt SSOUT
Sal Frelick RFOUT
JoJo Romero RPOUT
Joel Kuhnel RPOUT
Brandon Woodruff SPOUT
Rob Zastryzny RPOUT
Brian Fitzpatrick RPOUT
Boston Red Sox
PlayerStatus
Adley Rutschman COUT
Masataka Yoshida DHDAY-TO-DAY
Triston Casas 1BOUT
Trevor Story SSOUT
Roman Anthony LFOUT
Garrett Crochet SPOUT
Curtis Mead 3BOUT
Zack Kelly RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Boston Red Sox @ Milwaukee Brewers — model preview

Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Discover MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox stats and odds.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox : Over 1.5 alternate_team_totals (-345)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Milwaukee Brewers Over 1.5' for the Team Total Runs market is driven by the Brewers' consistent run-scoring performance, particularly at home. Over their last five games, the Brewers have averaged 5.8 runs overall and 5.6 runs at home. This is well above the 1.5 run line, indicating a strong likelihood of the Brewers scoring over this threshold. Additionally, the Brewers' batting average of 8.4 hits overall and 8.6 hits at home in their last five games further supports this likelihood. On the other hand, the Red Sox's pitching has allowed an average of 4.8 runs in their last five away games, which is higher than the 1.5 run line. These statistics suggest a high probability that the Brewers will score over 1.5 runs, making this a solid bet.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Boston Red Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Sox vs Brewers, or as Brewers vs Sox. The most recent game between them was Monday 26 May 2025 at American Family Field. The model has generated 8 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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