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Payton Tolle

MLB

Value call

Payton Tolle has one live pick today: under 6.5 strikeouts that pays $220 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
47 in 100
Predicted
6.0 strikeouts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 47.3% · before adjusting for past results 60.5% · the book's price implies 45.5% · gap +1.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Tue 29 Sep, 8:00 PM ET
Payton Tolle
under 6.5 strikeouts
Pitcher - Strikeouts Under 6.5 +120 (2.20) · $100→$220
Value call
LEANWins about 47 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$22.00 Odds+120
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Payton Tolle is Under 6.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 47 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 47%, the price says 45%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 12, 11:59PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 142 of 244 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts60.5%47.3%45.5%2.29+15.0%

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AI Analysis

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New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox: Payton Tolle Under 6.5 Pitcher - Strikeouts (+108)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Yankee Stadium is known for its home runs, but today, we're focusing on Payton Tolle's strikeouts. He's averaging around 62 strikes and 90 pitches in his games, which suggests he doesn't go deep into many at-bats. The Yankees can be tough but they've been inconsistent lately, which may limit his chances to rack up strikeouts. Tolle has a history of low hit batsmen, averaging just 0.4 in his time at Fenway Park, so he might find it tricky to dominate the plate here. Even though our numbers give this bet a good chance, it's important to note that the Yankees can score quickly, and that could put pressure on Tolle. Overall, this makes betting under 6.5 strikeouts a smart play.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
29 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Strikeouts 6.5 Under +120 ✓ HIT
29 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Strikeouts 7.5 Under -154 ✓ HIT
29 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Outs 17.5 Under -123 ✓ HIT
29 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending
29 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending
29 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Payton Tolle is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Payton Tolle is Under 6.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.0% on this pick. Their next game is Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees on Tuesday 29 September at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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