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MLB

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

LAD

+5.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 1.5 -270 (1.37)
+5.8% Edge
San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
Sat 20 Sep, 2:10AM
Model Probability
78.8%
Implied Probability
73.0%
Model Edge
+5.8%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-270)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Yoshinobu Yamamoto for Over 1.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is a statistically sound decision. Yamamoto's recent performance data shows a consistent pattern of allowing hits. His L5 overall hits allowed average is 3.6, while at home it's 3.2, both well above our target of 1.5. Against the Giants specifically, his average rises to 5 hits allowed. Furthermore, his current hit streak is 9 overall and even higher at home with 11. This means he has consistently allowed at least one hit in his recent games. Despite averaging around 5 innings per game, Yamamoto's outs average isn't enough to offset his tendency to allow hits. These statistics suggest a high likelihood that Yamamoto will allow more than 1.5 hits in the upcoming game.

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Pick History & Track Record

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