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The latest Bet Better model pick for Yoshinobu Yamamoto is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On Pitcher - Hits Allowed, our numbers say this bet wins about 38 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 38%, the price says 49%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 1.50 Hlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 2.50 SOlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 2.50 Hlanded 8 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Oct 4, 9:30AM UTC
MLB

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

MLB

Value call

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has one live pick today: Pitcher - Hits Allowed Under 4.5 that pays $203 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Under 4.5 +103 (2.03) · $100→$203
Value call
San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California · Outdoor
Thu 24 Sep, 2:10AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 131 of 230 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
38 in 100
Predicted
4.5 Pitcher - Hits Allowed
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 37.8% · before adjusting for past results 49.5% · the book's price implies 49.3% · gap -11.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed49.5%37.8%49.3%2.19+0.3%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Yoshinobu Yamamoto Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+103)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Los Angeles Dodgers play San Diego Padres in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Yoshinobu Yamamoto Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+103). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at +103 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Yoshinobu Yamamoto is averaging 3.6 hits, 0.4 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

3.6
Hits
0.4
HR
0.0
RBI
0.8
Runs
1.4
Walks
7.6
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has gone over 3.5 SO in 0% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o3.50%
o4.50%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%
o9.50%
o10.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Yoshinobu Yamamoto is averaging 3.6 hits per game over his last 5 and 3.2 in home games.

3.6
Hits · Overall
3.2
Hits · Home
0.4
HR · Overall
0.4
HR · Home
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Sep 26 San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under +103 ✗ MISS
24 Sep 26 San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Strikeouts 6.5 Under -118 ✓ HIT
24 Sep 26 San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Over +103 ✗ MISS
15 Sep 26 Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending
15 Sep 26 Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending
15 Sep 26 Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds Pitcher - Outs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Yoshinobu Yamamoto is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Yoshinobu Yamamoto is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.3% on this pick. Their next game is San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers on Thursday 24 September at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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