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Model picks & player props
Pittsburgh Pirates
VS
Colorado Rockies

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 1:07AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Coors Field, Denver
Outdoor
Sun 21 Jun 2026, 7:10PM
6
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 5.5 Total Runs +134

The model graded 6 markets for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $234 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 21 Jun 2026, 7:10PM at Coors Field.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win91.4%
The price says42.7%
Best price+134
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Over 5.5 High91% chance +134
Spread High66% chance
Moneyline High79% chance
Spread Long-shot13% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Over 5.5 · $100 returned $234

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 935 of 1,976 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Under 11.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $130
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Over
5.5
+ 5 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PiratesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PiratesMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Pittsburgh Pirates

  • Konnor Griffin SSOut
  • Endy Rodriguez COut
  • Ryan O'Hearn RFOut
  • Mitch Keller SPOut

Probable pitcher

Braxton Ashcraft SP

Colorado Rockies

  • Ryan Feltner SPDay-to-day
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Kyle Karros 3BOut
  • Kyle Freeland SPOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Mason Adams SP
Availability updated Aug 30, 6:15PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 14 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability14 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineColorado RockiesNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF0.6L5 RA0.6Home L51-4vs Pittsburgh Pirates L51-4

Colorado Rockies moneyline form: last five 1-4, 0.6 runs/gm.

Run LineColorado Rockies run lineNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF0.6L5 RA0.6Home L51-4vs Pittsburgh Pirates L51-4

Colorado Rockies spread form: last five 1-4, 0.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh PiratesNo line posted

Colorado Rockies total runs form: last five 1-4, 0.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsColorado Rockies team totalNo line posted
0.7runs we expect
L5 RF0.6L5 RA0.6Home L51-4vs Pittsburgh Pirates L51-4

Colorado Rockies team total runs form: last five 1-4, 0.6 runs/gm.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Colorado Rockies — what the model found

Our model graded 6 betting markets for Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies — 6 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 6 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 5 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies — recent results

Colorado Rockies have won 2 of their last 5 games; Pittsburgh Pirates have won 3 of their last 5.

Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2ATLAway
L4–6ATLAway
L1–7WSHAway
W13–1WSHAway
W3–1WSHAway
Pittsburgh Pirates — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–4STLAway
W6–2STLAway
W1–0SDAway
L0–3SDAway
W3–2SDAway

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Colorado Rockies are scoring 3.8 runs per game (4-1) while Pittsburgh Pirates are at 2.6 (3-2); Colorado Rockies pitchers are allowing 1.8 earned runs per game versus 1.6 for Pittsburgh Pirates.

3.8
Colorado Rockies runs/G
2.6
Pittsburgh Pirates runs/G
Last 5 gamesColorado RockiesPittsburgh Pirates
Runs / game3.82.6
Hits / game5.05.8
Home runs / game1.20.6
Walks drawn / game1.81.0
Batter K / game2.82.8
Earned runs allowed / game1.81.6
Pitching K / game2.43.2
Walks allowed / game2.21.2
L5 record4-13-2

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: Colorado Rockies won 3, Pittsburgh Pirates won 3.

DateColorado RockiesPittsburgh PiratesWinner
Jun 2121Colorado Rockies
Jun 2168Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 2043Colorado Rockies
May 1427Pittsburgh Pirates
May 13104Colorado Rockies
May 1213Pittsburgh Pirates

Who’s out or in doubt

14 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Ryan Feltner SPDAY-TO-DAY
Jose Quintana SPOUT
Kyle Karros 3BOUT
Kyle Freeland SPOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PlayerStatus
Konnor Griffin SSOUT
Endy Rodriguez COUT
Ryan O'Hearn RFOUT
Mitch Keller SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Colorado Rockies — model preview

Winning baseball bets for Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Brenton Doyle. Explore MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates stats and odds.

Brenton Doyle (COL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Brenton Doyle for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a strong choice given his recent performance statistics. Doyle's average stolen bases over the last five games, whether overall or at home, is only 0.2. This is significantly below the line of 0.5. Furthermore, when playing against the Pittsburgh Pirates, Doyle's stolen base average drops to zero. He also has a current hit streak of only three games overall, suggesting a lower likelihood of getting on base to attempt a steal. Additionally, the absence of caught stealing (Cs) instances indicates that Doyle is not often taking the risk to steal bases. Therefore, the statistical data strongly suggests that Doyle is unlikely to steal a base in the upcoming game, making the Under 0.5 bet a sensible choice.

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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
3
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
21 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 5.5 ✓ HIT
21 Jun 26 Spread Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 ✓ HIT
21 Jun 26 Moneyline Pittsburgh Pirates ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Pirates vs Rockies, or as Rockies vs Pirates. The most recent game between them was Sunday 21 June 2026 at Coors Field. The model has generated 6 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 24 meetings on record
Pittsburgh Pirates 14–10 across the last 24 meetings · these games average 9.8 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
21 Jun 2026Pittsburgh Pirates @ Colorado Rockies2–1Colorado Rockies
20 Jun 2026Pittsburgh Pirates @ Colorado Rockies4–3Colorado Rockies
19 Jun 2026Pittsburgh Pirates @ Colorado Rockies4–3Colorado Rockies
14 May 2026Colorado Rockies @ Pittsburgh Pirates7–2Pittsburgh Pirates
13 May 2026Colorado Rockies @ Pittsburgh Pirates4–10Colorado Rockies
12 May 2026Colorado Rockies @ Pittsburgh Pirates3–1Pittsburgh Pirates
24 Aug 2025Colorado Rockies @ Pittsburgh Pirates4–0Pittsburgh Pirates
23 Aug 2025Colorado Rockies @ Pittsburgh Pirates5–1Pittsburgh Pirates
22 Aug 2025Colorado Rockies @ Pittsburgh Pirates9–0Pittsburgh Pirates
3 Aug 2025Pittsburgh Pirates @ Colorado Rockies5–9Pittsburgh Pirates

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 24 meetings on file.

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