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Model picks & player props
Pittsburgh Pirates
VS
Colorado Rockies

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 7:17PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Coors Field, Denver
Outdoor
Sun 21 Jun 2026, 7:10PM
6
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Over 5.5 (Total Runs)
The model graded 6 markets for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $234 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 91.4%, fair odds 1.09, book price +134, model edge +48.7%. Tip-off Sun 21 Jun 2026, 7:10PM at Coors Field.
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Over 5.5 · $100 returned $234

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
Under 9.5
Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $170

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Total Runs
Over
5.5
+ 5 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PiratesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PiratesMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Pittsburgh Pirates

  • Konnor Griffin SSOut
  • Endy Rodriguez CDay-to-day
  • Oneil Cruz CFOut
  • Mitch Keller SPOut
  • Ryan O'Hearn RFOut

Colorado Rockies

  • Jaden Hill RPOut
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Jeff Criswell RPOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Gabriel Hughes SP
Availability updated Aug 11, 1:40AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 14 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability14 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineColorado RockiesNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF2.0L5 RA1.8Home L50-5vs Pittsburgh Pirates L51-4

Colorado Rockies moneyline form: last five 1-4, 2.0 runs/gm.

Run LineColorado Rockies run lineNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF2.0L5 RA1.8Home L50-5vs Pittsburgh Pirates L51-4

Colorado Rockies spread form: last five 1-4, 2.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh PiratesNo line posted

Colorado Rockies total runs form: last five 1-4, 2.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsColorado Rockies team totalNo line posted
2.5runs we expect
L5 RF2.0L5 RA1.8Home L50-5vs Pittsburgh Pirates L51-4

Colorado Rockies team total runs form: last five 1-4, 2.0 runs/gm.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Colorado Rockies — what the model found

Our model graded 6 betting markets for Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies — 6 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 6 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies — recent results

Colorado Rockies have won 1 of their last 5 games; Pittsburgh Pirates have won 1 of their last 5.

Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–7STLAway
L2–3STLAway
W8–6STLAway
L7–9TBHome
L0–4TBHome
Pittsburgh Pirates — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–11NYMHome
W9–0NYMHome
L4–6NYMHome
L2–5MILAway
L2–4MILAway

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Colorado Rockies are scoring 3.8 runs per game (4-1) while Pittsburgh Pirates are at 2.6 (3-2); Colorado Rockies pitchers are allowing 1.8 earned runs per game versus 1.6 for Pittsburgh Pirates.

3.8
Colorado Rockies runs/G
2.6
Pittsburgh Pirates runs/G
Last 5 gamesColorado RockiesPittsburgh Pirates
Runs / game3.82.6
Hits / game5.05.8
Home runs / game1.20.6
Walks drawn / game1.81.0
Batter K / game2.82.8
Earned runs allowed / game1.81.6
Pitching K / game2.43.2
Walks allowed / game2.21.2
L5 record4-13-2

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Colorado Rockies won 2, Pittsburgh Pirates won 1.

DateColorado RockiesPittsburgh PiratesWinner
Jun 2121Colorado Rockies
Jun 2168Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 2043Colorado Rockies

Who’s out or in doubt

14 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Jaden Hill RPOUT
Jose Quintana SPOUT
Jeff Criswell RPOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT
Pierson Ohl RPOUT
Pittsburgh Pirates
PlayerStatus
Konnor Griffin SSOUT
Endy Rodriguez CDAY-TO-DAY
Oneil Cruz CFOUT
Mitch Keller SPOUT
Ryan O'Hearn RFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Colorado Rockies — model preview

Winning baseball bets for Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Brenton Doyle. Explore MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates stats and odds.

Brenton Doyle (COL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Brenton Doyle for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a strong choice given his recent performance statistics. Doyle's average stolen bases over the last five games, whether overall or at home, is only 0.2. This is significantly below the line of 0.5. Furthermore, when playing against the Pittsburgh Pirates, Doyle's stolen base average drops to zero. He also has a current hit streak of only three games overall, suggesting a lower likelihood of getting on base to attempt a steal. Additionally, the absence of caught stealing (Cs) instances indicates that Doyle is not often taking the risk to steal bases. Therefore, the statistical data strongly suggests that Doyle is unlikely to steal a base in the upcoming game, making the Under 0.5 bet a sensible choice.

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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
3
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
21 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 5.5 ✓ HIT
21 Jun 26 Spread Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 ✓ HIT
21 Jun 26 Moneyline Pittsburgh Pirates ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Pirates vs Rockies, or as Rockies vs Pirates. The most recent game between them was Sunday 21 June 2026 at Coors Field. The model has generated 6 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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