Stephen Curry (Golden State Warriors) Over 14.5 Points (-250)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Golden State Warriors face off against the Houston Rockets, all eyes will be on Stephen Curry to light up the scoreboard. With a home hit rate of 100% over his last three games, Curry has been absolutely electric at the Chase Center. Averaging nearly 20 points at home recently, he clearly thrives in front of his fans. But it's not just a home court advantage; Curry has been in a zone, hitting the over on this prop in all six of his last outings, with an impressive average near 26 points. The Rockets, despite their youth and energy, struggle defensively, especially against elite scorers like Curry. The numbers suggest he's expected to drop around 28 points, which makes that 14.5 line feel like a gift. Expect him to exceed this total comfortably as he looks to cement his legacy in the postseason.

Amen Thompson (Houston Rockets) Under 10.5 Rebounds (-400)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Rockets gear up for their matchup against the Golden State Warriors, Amen Thompson's rebounding line of 10.5 feels a bit too ambitious. Sure, he's been impressive lately, averaging around 7.2 rebounds over his last five games, but when you zoom in on his away performances, that number drops to 6.6. Thompson has faced the Warriors before, and while he managed an average of 8.6 rebounds in those encounters, his recent trend points to a significant decline-especially on the road. With a perfect 7-for-7 hit rate in his last outings, it's tempting to ride the wave, but the underlying numbers suggest a correction is due here. At an implied probability of 80% for the under, this feels like a smart play. The Warriors are a solid rebounding team, and Thompson might find it tough to crack double digits in this one.

Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) Over 13.5 Points + Rebounds (-263)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Golden State Warriors host the Houston Rockets, all eyes should be on Gui Santos to surpass the 13.5 points and rebounds mark. Santos has been on a remarkable run, averaging 21.6 points and 5.4 rebounds over his last five games. At home, he's even more lethal, bumping those averages to 23.4 points and 3.8 rebounds. Against the Rockets, Santos has consistently found his groove, averaging 4.6 points and 1.8 rebounds in their recent matchups. The numbers paint a clear picture: he's exceeded this combined total in every game over the last five, and when he plays at home, he's a perfect 13-for-13 in hitting the over on this prop. With an expected stat value of 22.14, this looks like a fantastic opportunity to back Santos to shine in front of his home crowd. Don't miss it!

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