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Model picks & player props
Memphis Grizzlies
VS
Toronto Raptors

Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 2:13PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
5
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Memphis Grizzlies (Moneyline)
For Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors (NBA), model win probability 59.1%, fair odds 1.69, book price +160, model edge +20.6%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Memphis Grizzlies
+160
+ 4 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Memphis GrizzliesMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Memphis GrizzliesPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Toronto RaptorsPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Walter Clayton Jr. GDay-to-day
  • Karim Lopez FDay-to-day
  • GG Jackson FDay-to-day
  • Richie Saunders GOut
  • Jaylen Wells FDay-to-day
  • Zach Edey CDay-to-day
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope GDay-to-day
  • Cam Spencer GDay-to-day
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. GDay-to-day
  • Ty Jerome GDay-to-day

Toronto Raptors

  • Nate Bittle CDay-to-day
  • Alijah Martin GDay-to-day
  • Allen Graves FDay-to-day
  • Chucky Hepburn GDay-to-day
  • Collin Murray-Boyles FDay-to-day
  • Brandon Ingram FDay-to-day
  • Immanuel Quickley GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 20, 1:00AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsMemphis Grizzlies @ Toronto RaptorsNo line posted

Toronto Raptors and Memphis Grizzlies combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadToronto Raptors spreadNo line posted

Toronto Raptors (season record) meet Memphis Grizzlies; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineToronto Raptors to winNo line posted

Toronto Raptors (season record) host or visit Memphis Grizzlies; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Toronto Raptors totalNo line posted

Toronto Raptors averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Memphis Grizzlies; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Memphis Grizzlies totalNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Toronto Raptors; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Memphis Grizzlies @ Toronto Raptors — model preview

<p>Expert analysis and top betting picks for Toronto Raptors vs Memphis Grizzlies. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

Toronto Raptors vs Memphis Grizzlies : Under 263.5 Total Points (-2000)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Under 263.5' for the Total Points in the Toronto Raptors vs Memphis Grizzlies game is a solid choice given the scoring history of both teams. Over their last five games, the Raptors have averaged 112.8 points while the Grizzlies have averaged 118.8. Even when considering the highest scoring averages - 119.6 for the Grizzlies away games and 114.6 for the Raptors home games – the total is still significantly below the 263.5 threshold. Additionally, the model prediction of 225.04 points also supports this bet. Moreover, both teams have held their opponents to an average of around 120 points or less in their last five games. Therefore, the statistical evidence strongly suggests that the total points scored will be under 263.5.

Toronto Raptors vs Memphis Grizzlies : Toronto Raptors Under 132.5 Team Total Points (-625)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Toronto Raptors Under 132.5' for the Team Total Points is statistically justified considering the Raptors' scoring trends. Over their last five games, the Raptors have averaged 112.8 points overall and 114.6 points at home. Both averages are significantly lower than the 132.5-point threshold set for this bet. Additionally, the model prediction suggests the Raptors will score around 114.67 points in this game, supporting the likelihood of the bet outcome. The Raptors' recent performance and the model's prediction provide a compelling rationale to expect the Raptors' total points to be under 132.5 in their game against the Memphis Grizzlies.

Toronto Raptors vs Memphis Grizzlies : Memphis Grizzlies 5 (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Memphis Grizzlies on the Point Spread market is a solid choice due to their recent scoring performance. Despite their away record of 2-3, the Grizzlies have outscored the Raptors in their last five games, averaging 118.8 points compared to Toronto's 112.8. This trend continues when focusing on away games for the Grizzlies and home games for the Raptors, with Memphis still leading in average score (119.6 vs 114.6). The Grizzlies also have the advantage when comparing the teams' records against each other (1-1), given their higher scoring average. Although the Raptors have a better defensive record at home, the Grizzlies' offensive strength seems to outweigh this factor. Therefore, the Grizzlies' superior scoring power makes them a promising bet for the Point Spread market.

Track record for this matchup

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors in the NBA. The model has generated 5 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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