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The latest Bet Better model pick for Stephen Curry is Under 37.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists.
On Points + Rebounds + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 75%, implied 53%, edge +21.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 5:21PM UTC
NBA

Stephen Curry

Golden State Warriors

+21.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 37.5 -112 (1.89) · $100→$189
+21.7% Edge
Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns
Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ · Indoor
Sat 18 Apr, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
75 in 100
Predicted
32.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 74.6% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap +21.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs + Asts74.6%—52.9%1.34+21.7%

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AI Analysis

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Stephen Curry (Golden State Warriors) Under 37.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-112)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Warriors head to Phoenix, all eyes will be on Stephen Curry, but betting on him to hit the Over 37.5 points, rebounds, and assists feels risky. In his last five away games, Curry has averaged about 24.6 points, 2.6 rebounds, and 4.2 assists-totaling just over 31 per game. Against the Suns, he's managed roughly 20.6 points in away matchups, and with the Suns' defense tightening up, that could spell trouble for his overall production.Moreover, Curry's recent performance has been solid but not explosive. He's eclipsed this mark in only four out of his last five away games. Given these numbers and the Suns' ability to disrupt the rhythm of opposing offenses, betting on the Under 37.5 could be the smart play as Curry may struggle to reach those lofty combined totals in a tough road environment.

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Pick History & Track Record

Stephen Curry — 2024-25 season averages

Over 81 games in the 2024-25 season, Stephen Curry averaged 24.1 points, 4.6 rebounds and 5.8 assists in 32.0 minutes per game, shooting 45.0% from the field and 39.8% from three-point range.

24.1
PPG
4.6
RPG
5.8
APG
1.1
SPG
0.4
BPG
32.0
MPG
45.0%
FG%
39.8%
3P%

Stephen Curry — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Stephen Curry has played 32.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

32.6
MPG (L5)
18.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Stephen Curry — points hit rate

Stephen Curry has scored over 25.5 points in 43% of 1008 career games.

o11.590%
o12.588%
o15.579%
o20.563%
o25.543%
o30.525%
o35.513%

Stephen Curry — home vs away scoring

At home Stephen Curry averages 23.4 points per game; on the road, 24.9. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

23.4
PPG at home
24.9
PPG on the road

Stephen Curry — scoring by opponent

Stephen Curry scores most against the WSH, averaging 32.5 points per game in that matchup.

32.5
WSH
31.3
OKC
30.9
CLE
30.1
SAC
29.8
BKN
29.5
PHI

Stephen Curry — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Stephen Curry has averaged 25.4 points, 5.3 rebounds and 5.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
6 May@ MIN131311
4 May@ HOU4622107
2 Mayvs HOU422972
30 Apr@ HOU231337
28 Aprvs HOU391733
26 Aprvs HOU413679
23 Apr@ HOU372059
20 Apr@ HOU403163
15 Aprvs MEM393784
13 Aprvs LAC383636
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Stephen Curry (Golden State Warriors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Stephen Curry is Under 37.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.7% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns on Saturday 18 April at Footprint Center, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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