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Stephen Curry

Golden State Warriors

Value call

Stephen Curry (Golden State Warriors) has one live pick today: under 37.5 pts rebs asts that pays $189 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
75 in 100
Predicted
32.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 74.9% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap +22.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns
Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ · Indoor
Fri 17 Apr, 10:00 PM ET
Stephen Curry
under 37.5 pts rebs asts
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 37.5 -112 (1.89) · $100→$189
Value call
HIGHWins about 75 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.90 Odds-112
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Stephen Curry is Under 37.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists.
On Points + Rebounds + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 75%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 5:31AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs + Asts74.9%—52.9%1.34+22.0%

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AI Analysis

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Stephen Curry (Golden State Warriors) Under 37.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-112)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Warriors gear up to face the Suns, targeting Stephen Curry for an Under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists seems like a savvy play. While Curry dazzles on the court, his recent away performances tell a different story; he's averaging just 24.6 points, 2.6 rebounds, and 4.2 assists in his last five road games. That totals around 31.4, comfortably below our target. Against Phoenix, Curry has historically struggled, averaging just 20.6 points and 6.6 rebounds away. With the Suns' defense tightening, limiting star players is their specialty, as evidenced by their recent form. Curry's overall hit rate has dipped, too-he's hit this Under in four of his last five away games and seven of his last eight overall. With an expected stat value of 32.46, it's clear that this game might not be the one where he breaks through that 37.5 mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 5(60%)

Stephen Curry — 2024-25 season averages

Over 81 games in the 2024-25 season, Stephen Curry averaged 24.1 points, 4.6 rebounds and 5.8 assists in 32.0 minutes per game, shooting 45.0% from the field and 39.8% from three-point range.

24.1
PPG
4.6
RPG
5.8
APG
1.1
SPG
0.4
BPG
32.0
MPG
45.0%
FG%
39.8%
3P%

Stephen Curry — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Stephen Curry has played 32.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

32.6
MPG (L5)
18.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Stephen Curry — points hit rate

Stephen Curry has scored over 25.5 points in 43% of 1008 career games.

o11.590%
o12.588%
o15.579%
o20.563%
o25.543%
o30.525%
o35.513%

Stephen Curry — home vs away scoring

At home Stephen Curry averages 23.4 points per game; on the road, 24.9. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

23.4
PPG at home
24.9
PPG on the road

Stephen Curry — scoring by opponent

Stephen Curry scores most against the WSH, averaging 32.5 points per game in that matchup.

32.5
WSH
31.3
OKC
30.9
CLE
30.1
SAC
29.8
BKN
29.5
PHI

Stephen Curry — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Stephen Curry has averaged 25.4 points, 5.3 rebounds and 5.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
6 May@ MIN131311
4 May@ HOU4622107
2 Mayvs HOU422972
30 Apr@ HOU231337
28 Aprvs HOU391733
26 Aprvs HOU413679
23 Apr@ HOU372059
20 Apr@ HOU403163
15 Aprvs MEM393784
13 Aprvs LAC383636
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs + Asts 37.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Asts 33.5 Under -111 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Assists 5.5 Under -192 ✓ HIT
07 Apr 26 Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors Points — — — Pending
07 Apr 26 Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Stephen Curry (Golden State Warriors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Stephen Curry is Under 37.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.0% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns on Friday 17 April at Footprint Center, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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