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NBA

Gui Santos

Golden State Warriors

+13.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Rebounds Under 5.5 -145 (1.69)
+13.5% Edge
Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns
Footprint Center, Phoenix
Sat 18 Apr, 2:00AM
Model Probability
72.7%
Implied Probability
59.2%
Model Edge
+13.5%
Predicted Value
4.0 Rebounds

AI Analysis

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Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) Under 5.5 Rebounds (-145)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Golden State Warriors travel to face the Phoenix Suns, all eyes will be on Gui Santos, but betting against his rebounding prowess might be a wise play. Santos has been solid lately, averaging around 4.8 rebounds over his last five games. However, his away performances tell a different story, where he's managed just 4.8 boards against tough opponents.The Suns' frontcourt presents a considerable challenge, and historically, Santos has only averaged 4.2 rebounds against them. With an expected value of 4.03, the under on 5.5 rebounds seems enticing. Plus, Santos has hit the under in nearly 70% of his last 13 games. As the Warriors face one of the top rebounding teams in the league, the matchup dynamics strongly suggest that he may fall short of that 5.5 mark. Trust the data here-Santos is likely to come in under.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (11 picks) 90.9% (10/11)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Rebounds 5.5 Under -145 ✗ MISS
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Asts 17.5 Under -182 ✓ HIT
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs + Asts 20.5 Under -105 ✓ HIT
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Points — — — Pending
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 11 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 90.9% (10/11). The latest model pick for Gui Santos is Under 5.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.5% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns on Saturday 18 April at Footprint Center, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.