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The latest Bet Better model pick for Gui Santos is Under 17.5 on Pts + Asts.
On the Pts + Asts market the model assigns a model win probability of 86%, versus the book's implied 65%, for a model edge of +20.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
NBA

Gui Santos

Golden State Warriors

+20.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Asts Under 17.5 -189 (1.53)
+20.3% Edge
Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns
Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ · Indoor
Sat 18 Apr, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
85.7%
Implied Probability
65.4%
Model Edge
+20.3%
Predicted Value
10.7 Pts + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts85.7%—65.4%1.17+20.3%

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AI Analysis

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Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) Under 17.5 Points + Assists (-189)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to face the Golden State Warriors, all eyes will be on Gui Santos, but this might not be the night for him to shine. Averaging just 14.8 points and 3.6 assists over his last five games, Santos has struggled to find his rhythm, particularly on the road where those numbers dip to 11.8 points and 4.2 assists. Against the Warriors, he's averaged just 7.2 points and 2.4 assists in their past encounters, and when you factor in the pressure of playing away, those figures drop to 8.2 points and 3 assists. With a hit rate of only 3 out of his last 4 games falling under the 17.5 mark, it feels like we're set for another subdued performance. The combination of his current form and the matchup suggests that betting the under is the prudent choice here.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
2.7avg · last 10
L51.8Szn3.8Home3.4Away4.2Best19
4+42%
9+14%
14+6%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 2.7 · hi 7 · lo 0
3530720007

Gui Santos is averaging 2.7 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.8, best 19). He clears 4+ in 42% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
3.5avg · last 10
L52.8Szn5.2Home4.6Away5.7Best21
5+45%
10+17%
15+8%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 3.5 · hi 9 · lo 0
3540930029

Gui Santos is averaging 3.5 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.2, best 21). He clears 5+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
3.7avg · last 10
L52.4Szn6.6Home6.3Away6.9Best26
2+74%
7+42%
12+21%
17+8%
Game log vs O 6.5avg 3.7 · hi 9 · lo 0
6640920028

Gui Santos is averaging 3.7 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.6, best 26). He clears 7+ in 42% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
4.5avg · last 10
L53.4Szn7.9Home7.5Away8.3Best28
3+74%
8+44%
13+23%
18+11%
Game log vs O 7.5avg 4.5 · hi 11 · lo 0
665011300410

Gui Santos is averaging 4.5 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 7.9, best 28). He clears 8+ in 44% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
1.0avg · last 10
L50.6Szn2.8Home2.9Away2.6Best9
1+80%
3+47%
5+24%
7+14%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 1 · hi 3 · lo 0
3110200021

Gui Santos is averaging 1.0 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.8, best 9). He clears 3+ in 47% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
1.8avg · last 10
L51.6Szn4.1Home4.1Away4.1Best12
1+86%
4+48%
7+26%
10+6%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 1.8 · hi 4 · lo 0
3120410043

Gui Santos is averaging 1.8 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.1, best 12). He clears 4+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Asts 17.5 Under -189 ✓ HIT
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Points 14.5 Under -192 ✓ HIT
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs + Asts 23.5 Under -208 ✓ HIT
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Rebounds — — — Pending
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Gui Santos is Under 17.5 on Pts + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.3% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns on Saturday 18 April at Footprint Center, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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