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NBA

Gui Santos

Golden State Warriors

+20.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Points Under 14.5 -192 (1.52)
+20.8% Edge
Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns
Footprint Center, Phoenix
Sat 18 Apr, 2:00AM
Model Probability
86.6%
Implied Probability
65.8%
Model Edge
+20.8%
Predicted Value
8.1 Points

AI Analysis

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Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) Under 14.5 Points (-192)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to host the Golden State Warriors, all eyes will be on Gui Santos-but we might want to tread carefully when it comes to his scoring. Santos has been a solid contributor lately, averaging 14.8 points over his last five games. However, when you zoom in on his performance away from home, that number drops significantly to just 11.8. Facing the Warriors, who have tightened their defense, Santos has only managed to net an average of 7.2 points against them recently. With a hit rate of just 2 out of 3 in his last three outings and a more concerning 6 out of 8 when away, the signs are pointing towards a struggle to eclipse the 14.5 mark. Given these trends, taking the under on Santos feels like a savvy move in what could be a tightly contested matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (13 picks) 84.6% (11/13)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Points 14.5 Under -192 ✓ HIT
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs 20.5 Under -213 ✓ HIT
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Asts 17.5 Under -189 ✓ HIT
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Rebounds — — — Pending
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 13 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 84.6% (11/13). The latest model pick for Gui Santos is Under 14.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.8% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns on Saturday 18 April at Footprint Center, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.