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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Gui Santos is Under 5.5 on Rebounds.
On Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 73%, implied 63%, edge +10.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 6:37PM UTC
NBA

Gui Santos

Golden State Warriors

+10.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rebounds Under 5.5 -172 (1.58) · $100→$158
+10.1% Edge
Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns
Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ · Indoor
Sat 18 Apr, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
4.0 Rebounds
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 73.4% · the book's price implies 63.3% · gap +10.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds73.4%63.3%1.36+10.1%

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AI Analysis

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Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) Under 5.5 Rebounds (-172)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When looking at Gui Santos in the upcoming clash against the Phoenix Suns, the under on his rebounds feels like the right play. While he's shown flashes of potential, averaging 4.8 boards in his last five outings, the away setting presents a different challenge. On the road, his numbers dip slightly to 6.4, and historically against the Suns, he's pulling down just 4.2 rebounds per game. With the Suns boasting a robust frontcourt, Santos might find it tough to carve out the space he needs. Plus, with an expected stat value sitting at around 3.98, the under 5.5 looks increasingly enticing. Given his recent performance, hitting the under in 9 of his last 13 games, we can confidently lean towards this bet. It's not just about the numbers; it's about the matchup and the narrative that suggests Santos could struggle to find his rhythm on the boards in Phoenix.

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Pick History & Track Record

Gui Santos — 2024-25 season averages

Over 66 games in the 2024-25 season, Gui Santos averaged 3.8 points, 2.8 rebounds and 1.3 assists in 12.5 minutes per game, shooting 46.7% from the field and 34.2% from three-point range.

3.8
PPG
2.8
RPG
1.3
APG
0.4
SPG
0.2
BPG
12.5
MPG
46.7%
FG%
34.2%
3P%

Gui Santos — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Gui Santos has played 3.8 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

3.8
MPG (L5)
1.8
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Gui Santos — home vs away scoring

At home Gui Santos averages 3.4 points per game; on the road, 4.2. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

3.4
PPG at home
4.2
PPG on the road

Gui Santos — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Gui Santos has averaged 2.7 points, 1.0 rebounds and 0.8 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 Mayvs MIN5712
8 May@ MIN8022
6 May@ MIN4000
4 May@ HOU0000
2 Mayvs HOU2201
30 Apr@ HOU18722
28 Aprvs HOU1000
23 Apr@ HOU11311
20 Apr@ HOU7510
15 Aprvs MEM6330
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Gui Santos is Under 5.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.1% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns on Saturday 18 April at Footprint Center, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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