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MLB
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Outdoor
Sun 28 Jun 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Washington Nationals
VS
Baltimore Orioles

Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 21 markets for Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles and backs Under 8.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $204.

20
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Under 8.5 total runs
Under 8.5 Total Runs
You bet$10 If it wins$20.40Best price+104
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win64.7%
The price says49.0%

The model graded 21 markets for Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $204 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 28 Jun 2026, 1:35 PM ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Under 8.5 High65% chance +104
Moneyline Members only Lean53% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Lean56% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean43% chance Members
Batter - Hits × 1 prop Highup to 90% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Washington Nationals and Baltimore Orioles last met on Sun 28 Jun 2026: Washington Nationals won 6-4. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Under
8.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Washington Nationals

  • Drew Millas COut

Baltimore Orioles

  • Ryan Helsley RPOut
  • Kyle Bradish SPOut
  • Jordan Westburg 3BOut
  • Jackson Holliday 2BOut
  • Cade Povich SPOut
  • Reed Trimble LFDay-to-day
  • Cameron Foster RPDay-to-day
Availability updated Nov 3, 1:05AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 8 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability8 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Gunnar Henderson Batter - Hits

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineBaltimore OriolesNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.0L5 RA3.8Home L54-1vs Washington Nationals L52-3

Baltimore Orioles moneyline form: last five 3-2, 5.0 runs/gm.

Run LineBaltimore Orioles run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.0L5 RA3.8Home L54-1vs Washington Nationals L52-3

Baltimore Orioles spread form: last five 3-2, 5.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Baltimore Orioles vs Washington NationalsNo line posted

Baltimore Orioles total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsBaltimore Orioles team totalNo line posted
5.0runs we expect
L5 RF5.0L5 RA3.8Home L54-1vs Washington Nationals L52-3

Baltimore Orioles team total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.0 runs/gm.

Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles — what the model found

Our model graded 21 betting markets for Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles — 20 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 21 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 20 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles — recent results

Baltimore Orioles have won 4 of their last 5 games; Washington Nationals have won 4 of their last 5.

Baltimore Orioles — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–6NYYAway
W10–2NYYAway
W4–2TORHome
W4–2TORHome
W4–3TORHome
Washington Nationals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W6–4NYMHome
L1–7NYMHome
W7–6NYMHome
W4–2DETAway
W3–1DETAway

Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles — recent meetings

These two have met 8 times recently: Baltimore Orioles won 4, Washington Nationals won 4.

DateBaltimore OriolesWashington NationalsWinner
Jun 2846Washington Nationals
Jun 2734Washington Nationals
Jun 2631Baltimore Orioles
May 1773Baltimore Orioles
May 16313Washington Nationals
May 1523Washington Nationals
Mar 2320Baltimore Orioles
Mar 2281Baltimore Orioles

Who’s out or in doubt

8 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Baltimore Orioles
PlayerStatus
Ryan Helsley RPOUT
Kyle Bradish SPOUT
Jordan Westburg 3BOUT
Jackson Holliday 2BOUT
Cade Povich SPOUT
Reed Trimble LFDAY-TO-DAY
Cameron Foster RPDAY-TO-DAY
Washington Nationals
PlayerStatus
Drew Millas COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles — model preview

Deep dive into Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals stats and odds.

Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals : Under 11.5 Total Runs (-333)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Nationals vs Orioles, or as Orioles vs Nationals. The most recent game between them was Sunday 28 June 2026 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The model has generated 20 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 28 Jun 2026Washington Nationals beat Baltimore Orioles 6-4 on the road
  • 27 Jun 2026Washington Nationals beat Baltimore Orioles 4-3 on the road
  • 26 Jun 2026Baltimore Orioles beat Washington Nationals 3-1 at home

Washington Nationals: last 5 results

  1. 27 Sep 2026Wonvs New York Mets 6-4
  2. 26 Sep 2026Lostvs New York Mets 1-7
  3. 25 Sep 2026Wonvs New York Mets 7-6
  4. 23 Sep 2026Wonat Detroit Tigers 4-2
  5. 22 Sep 2026Wonat Detroit Tigers 3-1

Baltimore Orioles: last 5 results

  1. 25 Sep 2026Lostat New York Yankees 3-6
  2. 25 Sep 2026Wonat New York Yankees 10-2
  3. 23 Sep 2026Wonvs Toronto Blue Jays 4-2
  4. 23 Sep 2026Wonvs Toronto Blue Jays 4-2
  5. 21 Sep 2026Wonvs Toronto Blue Jays 4-3

Quick answers

Who won the last Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals game? Washington Nationals won their last meeting 6-4 on 28 June 2026.

How have Washington Nationals and Baltimore Orioles done lately? Washington Nationals won 4 and lost 1 of the last 5 results we hold. Baltimore Orioles won 4 and lost 1 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles: the season so far

From every final score this season

Washington Nationals are 77-85 this season and Baltimore Orioles are 79-82. Baltimore Orioles are 39-42 at home. Washington Nationals are 38-43 on the road. Baltimore Orioles score 4.5 runs a game and let in 4.6. Washington Nationals score 5.1 and let in 5.0. Baltimore Orioles games have averaged 9.0 runs in total; Washington Nationals games have averaged 10.1.

SeasonWashington NationalsBaltimore Orioles
Won-lost77-8579-82
At home39-4239-42
On the road38-4340-40
Last 106-46-4
Runs scored a game5.14.5
Runs let in a game5.04.6
Runs scored at home5.34.2
Runs scored away4.84.7
Against winning sides31-4729-46
Current runWon 1Lost 1
Biggest win23-4 at Athletics13-1 at St. Louis Cardinals
Heaviest loss15-1 at Athletics17-1 vs Boston Red Sox

Teams they have both played

  • Against New York Yankees: Baltimore Orioles lost 3-6 on the road; Washington Nationals lost 3-5 at home.
  • Against Toronto Blue Jays: Baltimore Orioles won 4-2 at home; Washington Nationals lost 2-5 at home.
  • Against Milwaukee Brewers: Baltimore Orioles lost 0-3 at home; Washington Nationals won 3-2 at home.

Quick answers

How are Baltimore Orioles doing this season? Baltimore Orioles are 79-82 this season: 39-42 at home and 40-40 on the road.

How many runs do Washington Nationals score a game? Washington Nationals score 5.1 runs a game this season and let in 5.0, across 162 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles head-to-head record

Final scores · 22 meetings on record
Even at 11–11 across the last 22 meetings · these games average 7.4 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sun 28 Jun 2026, Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles: the Nationals won 6-4.

DateGameScoreWinner
28 Jun 2026Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles4–6Washington Nationals
27 Jun 2026Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles3–4Washington Nationals
26 Jun 2026Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles3–1Baltimore Orioles
17 May 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Washington Nationals3–7Baltimore Orioles
16 May 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Washington Nationals13–3Washington Nationals
15 May 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Washington Nationals3–2Washington Nationals
23 Mar 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Washington Nationals0–2Baltimore Orioles
22 Mar 2026Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles8–1Baltimore Orioles
18 May 2025Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles4–10Washington Nationals
17 May 2025Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles6–10Washington Nationals

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 22 meetings on file.

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